| Jun 20, 11:24 PM | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | BUY NO | 0.945 | $14.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 11:23 PM | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 21? | BUY NO | 0.955 | $1,603 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 11:20 PM | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21? | BUY NO | 0.971 | $1,011 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 11:16 PM | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | BUY NO | 0.947 | $14.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 09:19 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $4,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:12 PM | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | BUY NO | 0.956 | $14.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:06 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21? | BUY YES | 0.984 | $10.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:06 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 21? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $4,413 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:05 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 20? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $6,534 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:05 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 20? | BUY NO | 0.941 | $5,881 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 06:58 PM | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 21? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $1,037 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 12:56 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $1,731 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 12:49 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? | BUY NO | 0.978 | $5,679 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 12:48 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? | BUY YES | 0.988 | $5,503 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 12:48 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $2,997 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 05:52 AM | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | BUY NO | 0.938 | $3,933 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 05:50 AM | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.953 | $3,810 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 05:43 AM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $1,656 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 05:42 AM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? | BUY YES | 0.988 | $2,963 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 05:39 AM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 14, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.941 | $1,953 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 05:37 AM | Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $9,769 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 05:33 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $6,072 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 05:32 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $4,450 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 05:31 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $1,871 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 05:30 AM | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | BUY NO | 0.937 | $4,683 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 05:21 AM | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | BUY NO | 0.933 | $4,667 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 05:20 AM | Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | BUY NO | 0.842 | $4,209 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 05:18 AM | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13? | BUY NO | 0.974 | $1,172 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 05:13 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? | BUY NO | 0.972 | $4,860 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 05:13 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $2,448 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 05:12 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $1,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:41 PM | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $3,850 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:34 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | SELL NO | 0.929 | $10.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 07:31 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? | BUY NO | 0.968 | $1,837 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:30 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? | BUY YES | 0.985 | $2,295 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:29 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? | BUY YES | 0.992 | $1,008 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:29 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? | BUY YES | 0.991 | $2,282 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:29 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $5,118 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:25 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $3,653 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:23 PM | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $2,976 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:19 PM | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 13? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $1,064 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:18 PM | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 13? | BUY NO | 0.983 | $1,111 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 07:13 PM | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $3,968 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:04 PM | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $3,841 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:04 PM | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $1,086 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 09:02 AM | Israel closes its airspace by June 12? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $1,651 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 09:00 AM | Israel closes its airspace by June 11? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,997 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 01:38 AM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.964 | $1,129 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:34 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? | BUY NO | 0.968 | $2,784 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:27 AM | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 12? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $1,476 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:26 AM | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $1,383 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:24 AM | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $1,230 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:18 AM | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $1,213 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 01:16 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $3,567 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 12:59 AM | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 12? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $1,045 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 12:56 AM | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on June 12? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $1,160 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:02 PM | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $2,262 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 08:56 PM | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.981 | $1,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 08:54 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? | BUY NO | 0.978 | $8,052 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 08:53 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $5,810 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 08:52 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? | BUY YES | 0.989 | $10.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 08:51 PM | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $36.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 08:50 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,359 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 07:36 PM | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $13.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 04:05 PM | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12? | BUY NO | 0.983 | $1,951 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:27 PM | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $11.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:25 PM | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $9,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 01:16 PM | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $6,501 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:15 AM | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on June 11? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $3,396 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 12:08 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $5,599 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 12:01 AM | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on June 11? | BUY NO | 0.983 | $1,982 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:49 PM | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 11? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $1,057 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:45 PM | Israel closes its airspace by June 11? | BUY NO | 0.939 | $4,688 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:41 PM | GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.938 | $1,836 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:39 PM | President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? | BUY NO | 0.951 | $4,785 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:37 PM | President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $1,125 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:34 PM | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $4,945 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:14 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? | BUY YES | 0.972 | $6,679 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:14 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? | BUY NO | 0.977 | $6,172 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:13 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $2,213 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:12 PM | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11? | BUY NO | 0.964 | $1,531 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 09:35 PM | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? | BUY YES | 0.920 | $2,840 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 09:25 PM | Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $1,187 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 07:59 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $2,608 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 07:56 PM | Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? | BUY NO | 0.961 | $11.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 05:35 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $1,163 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:48 AM | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 10? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $1,365 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 11:15 AM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.979 | $1,218 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 09:57 AM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $3,102 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 12:25 AM | Will Iceland win on 2026-06-09? | BUY NO | 0.959 | $5,611 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 12:23 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $6,485 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 11:38 PM | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 10? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $1,166 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 11:37 PM | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 10? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $1,235 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 11:20 PM | Will Iceland win on 2026-06-09? | BUY NO | 0.958 | $11.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 08:58 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? | BUY YES | 0.982 | $1,768 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 08:58 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? | BUY YES | 0.981 | $3,072 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 08:53 PM | Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $4,250 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 08:06 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? | BUY NO | 0.966 | $3,718 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 08:05 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 9? | BUY NO | 0.972 | $4,858 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 07:52 PM | Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $1,665 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 07:51 PM | Will Liberia win on 2026-06-09? | BUY YES | 0.980 | $1,662 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 05:04 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 9? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $5,269 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 03:56 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $2,856 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 03:36 PM | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 10? | BUY NO | 0.978 | $3,381 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 03:34 PM | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 10? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $1,093 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 03:30 PM | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 9? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $1,120 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 03:29 PM | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $2,215 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 03:28 PM | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $2,595 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 03:24 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $7,248 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 11:23 AM | Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? | BUY NO | 0.790 | $2,373 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 11:17 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $2,767 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 12:47 AM | Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $15.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 12:31 AM | Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,249 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 12:26 AM | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 9? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $1,004 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 12:12 AM | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on June 9? | BUY NO | 0.978 | $1,489 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 12:11 AM | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9? | BUY NO | 0.981 | $1,165 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 11:47 PM | Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? | BUY NO | 0.966 | $2,247 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 11:42 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.978 | $1,087 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 11:42 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $3,794 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 11:35 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? | BUY NO | 0.973 | $3,305 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 11:35 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? | BUY YES | 0.980 | $7,497 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 11:34 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? | BUY NO | 0.969 | $3,735 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 11:25 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.955 | $1,190 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 11:24 PM | Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.989 | $1,836 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 11:16 PM | Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? | BUY NO | 0.963 | $3,481 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 11:12 PM | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 9? | BUY NO | 0.985 | $1,068 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 11:09 PM | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $1,425 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 11:08 PM | Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? | BUY NO | 0.959 | $1,243 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 10:14 PM | Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? | BUY NO | 0.958 | $1,503 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 06:52 PM | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $2,196 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 05:13 PM | Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-08? | BUY NO | 0.963 | $4,816 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 05:13 PM | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? | BUY NO | 0.944 | $4,718 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 04:41 PM | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $3,378 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 02:38 PM | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.977 | $3,304 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 02:08 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $3,239 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 02:08 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? | BUY YES | 0.989 | $2,788 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 10:29 AM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $1,620 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:56 AM | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $2,494 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:33 AM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? | BUY NO | 0.982 | $2,821 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:32 AM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8? | BUY YES | 0.988 | $6,383 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:55 PM | Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $4,927 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:33 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.928 | $6,285 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:31 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $9,355 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:17 PM | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 8? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $1,184 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:16 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 7? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $1,040 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:15 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 7? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $1,217 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:13 PM | Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $4,311 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:06 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? | BUY NO | 0.934 | $2,347 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:05 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? | BUY YES | 0.960 | $1,872 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:02 PM | Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,995 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 11:02 PM | Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-07? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $7,997 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 11:01 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | SELL YES | 0.995 | $20.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 09:29 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.954 | $5,238 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 09:28 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.948 | $6,902 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 09:15 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.916 | $2,065 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 07:47 PM | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 8? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $1,217 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 07:45 PM | Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $4,650 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 07:45 PM | Will Kosovo win on 2026-06-07? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $8,017 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 07:02 PM | Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07? | SELL NO | 0.965 | $7,142 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 06:52 PM | Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-07? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $7,685 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 06:50 PM | Will Kosovo win on 2026-06-07? | BUY YES | 0.940 | $7,544 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 05:33 PM | Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $7,439 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 05:30 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $12.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 02:00 PM | Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-07? | BUY YES | 0.950 | $5,985 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 08:43 AM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? | BUY NO | 0.945 | $1,031 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 08:41 AM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? | BUY YES | 0.960 | $12.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 08:32 AM | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.983 | $4,915 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 08:31 AM | Will Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-06-07? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $1,732 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 08:15 AM | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 8? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $1,516 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 08:13 AM | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 8? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $1,060 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 01:44 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 6? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $4,963 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 01:35 AM | Will Honduras win on 2026-06-06? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $10.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 12:53 AM | Will Honduras win on 2026-06-06? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $3,551 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 12:53 AM | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? | BUY YES | 0.944 | $4,721 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 12:51 AM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.891 | $1,760 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 12:44 AM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? | BUY YES | 0.969 | $2,534 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 12:21 AM | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 7? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $1,734 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 12:21 AM | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 7? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $2,104 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 12:18 AM | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 7? | BUY NO | 0.976 | $1,139 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 12:12 AM | Will Honduras win on 2026-06-06? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $2,295 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 12:11 AM | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $6,260 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 12:11 AM | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $11.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 12:09 AM | Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 6? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $6,370 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 12:08 AM | Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 6? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $1,754 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 11:56 PM | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? | BUY YES | 0.915 | $2,543 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 11:45 PM | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? | BUY YES | 0.904 | $1,215 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 11:20 PM | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $4,940 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 11:20 PM | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.934 | $4,670 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 11:15 PM | Will England win on 2026-06-06? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $10.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 11:12 PM | Will Honduras win on 2026-06-06? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $4,360 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 10:36 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $9,880 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 09:43 PM | Will England win on 2026-06-06? | BUY YES | 0.946 | $5,677 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 09:01 PM | Will England win on 2026-06-06? | BUY YES | 0.940 | $4,397 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 04:38 PM | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.966 | $2,272 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 03:06 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $1,233 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 03:04 PM | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 7? | BUY NO | 0.988 | $2,005 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 03:01 PM | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 7? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $1,373 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 02:44 PM | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 6? | BUY NO | 0.975 | $2,810 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 02:44 PM | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 6? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $3,060 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 02:42 PM | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? | BUY YES | 0.978 | $1,317 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |