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ultrahypedmike
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x45c3…59bf with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
10
lifetime
PnL per $
-37%
historical realized
Win rate
40.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$499.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 10 resolved trades · -37% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
10
Distinct markets
7
Volume (90d)
$499.3K
avg $49.9K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$253.5K / $245.8K
net direction
Recent trades
last 10 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 05:36 PM | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY YES | 0.540 | $21.9K | — |
| Jul 18, 09:35 PM | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | SELL YES | 0.150 | $7,800 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 18, 02:31 PM | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY YES | 0.520 | $26.5K | — |
| Jul 15, 05:10 PM | England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY YES | 0.530 | $19.6K | — |
| Jul 14, 06:55 PM | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.330 | $9,603 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 10, 10:26 AM | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $6,958 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 10, 09:24 AM | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY NO | 0.835 | $134.5K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 09:57 PM | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $139.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 7, 02:02 AM | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $98.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 6, 09:36 PM | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? | BUY YES | 0.350 | $34.4K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
Markets active in
7 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | Other | 2 | $141.5K | +$141.5K |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | Other | 1 | $139.9K | $-139,858 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? | Other | 2 | $132.5K | $-63,752 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | Other | 2 | $34.3K | +$18.7K |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | Tech | 1 | $21.9K | +$21.9K |
| England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | Other | 1 | $19.6K | +$19.6K |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | Tech | 1 | $9,603 | +$9,603 |