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maksimsoldout

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x4572…5e86 with our methodology badges per row.

0x45721362269008ac5988bec2e5c22ca463af5e86·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
12
lifetime
PnL per $
+100%
historical realized
Win rate
79.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$40.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
16
Distinct markets
15
Volume (90d)
$74.8K
avg $4,676 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$63.5K / $11.3K
net direction

Recent trades

last 16 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 9, 10:05 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.833$6,280Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 12:38 AMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY NO0.340$3,457Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 01:01 AMWill Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY NO0.780$22.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 07:11 PMWill Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?SELL NO0.740$7,501— (SELL)
Jul 1, 07:28 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?SELL NO0.510$1,428— (SELL)
Jul 1, 06:45 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?BUY NO0.900$2,268Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 06:44 PMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?BUY NO0.900$1,202Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 01:59 AMWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?BUY NO0.720$4,925Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 12:40 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-27?BUY NO0.140$1,652Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 04:40 PMWill Iraq win on 2026-06-26?BUY NO0.930$1,685Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 07:01 PMWill Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?BUY NO0.670$4,690Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 09:15 PMWill England win on 2026-06-23?BUY NO0.360$5,760Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 12:29 PMWill Austria win on 2026-06-22?BUY NO0.890$1,072Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 07:18 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY NO0.300$6,615Conviction tier
Jun 21, 04:04 PMWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?BUY NO0.100$1,710Killed band — neutral expectation
May 23, 08:55 PM0xd0ad962dSELL YES0.318$2,348— (SELL)

Markets active in

15 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Other1$22.2K+$22.2K
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?Other1$7,501$-7,501
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Other1$6,615+$6,615
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Other1$6,280+$6,280
Will England win on 2026-06-23?Other1$5,760+$5,760
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?Other1$4,925+$4,925
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Other1$4,690+$4,690
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?Other2$3,470+$3,470
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Other1$3,457+$3,457
0xd0ad962d1$2,348$-2,348
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Tech1$1,710+$1,710
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?Other1$1,685+$1,685
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Other1$1,652+$1,652
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Other1$1,428$-1,428
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Other1$1,072+$1,072