JhonAlexanderHinestroza

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x44c5…8d45 with our methodology badges per row.

0x44c58184f89a5c2f699dc8943009cb3d75a08d45·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

121

lifetime

PnL per $

-5%

historical realized

Win rate

60.0%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$803.1K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 121 resolved trades · -5% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$1.69M

avg $8,439 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$934.8K / $752.9K

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 19, 10:42 PM	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	BUY NO	0.750	$2,904	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 10:42 PM	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	BUY NO	0.746	$4,975	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 10:39 PM	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	BUY NO	0.729	$2,804	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 10:38 PM	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	BUY NO	0.714	$3,233	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 10:38 PM	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	BUY NO	0.709	$2,713	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 10:38 PM	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	BUY NO	0.695	$4,562	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 10:35 PM	Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.990	$8,460	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 10:34 PM	Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.950	$1,220	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:43 PM	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	BUY NO	0.795	$1,657	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:29 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.325	$3,968	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:28 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.286	$3,303	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 19, 09:22 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.690	$19.3K	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:12 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	SELL NO	0.942	$1,245	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:27 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	SELL NO	0.760	$10.9K	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:26 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	SELL NO	0.762	$13.8K	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:19 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.767	$3,457	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 04:44 AM	Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?	SELL YES	0.333	$2,311	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 04:38 AM	Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.383	$1,376	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 04:38 AM	Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.394	$6,016	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 02:34 AM	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-18?	SELL YES	0.770	$2,884	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 02:12 AM	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-18?	SELL YES	0.560	$1,677	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 01:57 AM	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-18?	SELL YES	0.560	$1,099	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 01:49 AM	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.430	$1,704	—
Jul 19, 01:48 AM	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.373	$2,224	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 12:47 AM	Will Cusco FC win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.950	$2,894	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 11:00 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.982	$15.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:55 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.980	$77.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 07:36 PM	Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.828	$1,101	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 02:34 AM	Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-17?	SELL NO	0.390	$3,463	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 12:26 AM	Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-17?	BUY NO	0.590	$1,018	—
Jul 17, 11:37 PM	Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-17?	BUY NO	0.597	$7,073	—
Jul 17, 04:01 AM	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-07-16?	SELL YES	0.680	$1,820	— (SELL)
Jul 17, 03:01 AM	Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-07-16?	SELL YES	0.910	$1,819	— (SELL)
Jul 17, 02:29 AM	Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.711	$1,329	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 02:29 AM	Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.630	$3,940	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 02:24 AM	Will Atlante FC win on 2026-07-16?	SELL YES	0.580	$5,267	— (SELL)
Jul 17, 02:24 AM	Will Atlante FC win on 2026-07-16?	SELL YES	0.590	$1,254	— (SELL)
Jul 17, 02:22 AM	Will Atlante FC win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.650	$2,047	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 02:22 AM	Will Atlante FC win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.640	$2,920	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 02:22 AM	Will Atlante FC win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.620	$2,401	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 02:21 AM	Will Atlante FC win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.617	$1,883	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 02:21 AM	Will Atlante FC win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.594	$4,803	—
Jul 17, 01:34 AM	Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-07-16?	SELL NO	0.550	$2,175	— (SELL)
Jul 17, 01:33 AM	Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-07-16?	SELL NO	0.550	$1,280	— (SELL)
Jul 17, 01:33 AM	Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-07-16?	BUY NO	0.565	$4,233	—
Jul 17, 12:25 AM	Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-16?	SELL YES	0.950	$4,363	— (SELL)
Jul 16, 11:49 PM	Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-16?	SELL NO	0.720	$1,459	— (SELL)
Jul 16, 06:36 PM	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?	SELL NO	0.460	$1,933	— (SELL)
Jul 16, 06:20 PM	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?	SELL YES	0.500	$1,043	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 07:50 PM	Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-14?	BUY YES	0.126	$1,337	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 06:35 PM	Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.818	$2,962	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 01:11 PM	Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.502	$3,473	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 01:11 PM	Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.279	$2,940	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 12, 02:34 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	SELL YES	0.500	$1,894	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:31 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY YES	0.398	$2,551	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 02:31 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.631	$4,276	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:31 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.681	$9,711	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:47 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.780	$2,301	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:40 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.688	$3,314	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:40 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.680	$4,337	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:39 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.692	$3,108	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:35 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.657	$23.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:28 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.641	$21.5K	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 10:27 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.644	$24.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:24 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.619	$8,011	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:17 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.742	$1,149	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 06:21 PM	Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-07-09?	SELL YES	0.424	$2,006	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 06:08 PM	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-09?	SELL YES	0.580	$1,081	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 06:07 PM	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-09?	SELL YES	0.590	$2,244	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 05:28 PM	Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-07-09?	SELL YES	0.570	$1,576	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 05:23 PM	Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-07-09?	SELL YES	0.620	$1,127	— (SELL)
Jul 5, 10:03 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.990	$3,490	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 10:03 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	SELL YES	0.971	$14.5K	— (SELL)
Jul 5, 09:51 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.970	$21.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 09:51 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.960	$1,536	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 08:14 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	SELL YES	0.520	$3,168	— (SELL)
Jul 5, 08:10 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.550	$2,170	—
Jul 5, 01:26 PM	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.813	$1,728	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 12:54 PM	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.712	$2,073	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 12:54 PM	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.860	$1,842	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:29 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.597	$24.9K	—
Jul 4, 10:29 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.580	$8,418	—
Jul 4, 09:06 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.810	$1,219	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:46 PM	Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.800	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:46 PM	Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.825	$1,478	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 12:45 PM	Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-04?	BUY YES	0.790	$2,266	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 11:33 AM	Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-07-04?	SELL NO	0.700	$4,065	— (SELL)
Jul 4, 11:27 AM	Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-07-04?	BUY NO	0.517	$1,372	—
Jul 3, 11:50 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	SELL YES	0.250	$2,105	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 11:49 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.470	$1,039	—
Jul 3, 12:49 PM	Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-03?	SELL YES	0.570	$3,165	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 12:47 PM	Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-03?	SELL YES	0.580	$2,320	— (SELL)
Jul 3, 12:42 PM	Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.539	$1,916	—
Jul 3, 01:05 AM	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	BUY YES	0.700	$9,997	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 01:05 AM	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	BUY YES	0.700	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 01:45 AM	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	SELL YES	0.740	$6,409	— (SELL)
Jul 1, 04:43 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	BUY YES	0.560	$1,835	—
Jun 30, 09:20 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	SELL NO	0.280	$5,459	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 05:48 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	SELL NO	0.350	$11.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 05:46 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	SELL NO	0.361	$11.7K	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 05:45 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	SELL NO	0.361	$6,345	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 05:45 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.367	$22.5K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 01:36 AM	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	SELL YES	0.379	$16.2K	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 01:35 AM	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.399	$37.4K	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 10:24 PM	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.060	$3,161	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 07:01 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	SELL YES	0.992	$77.5K	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 07:00 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.980	$70.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 05:43 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	SELL YES	0.240	$3,538	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 05:14 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	SELL YES	0.530	$28.6K	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 05:12 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	SELL YES	0.530	$6,446	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 05:09 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.550	$77.8K	—
Jun 28, 12:23 PM	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-06-28?	BUY YES	0.649	$1,334	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 12:06 PM	Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-06-28?	SELL NO	0.830	$1,512	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 11:46 AM	Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-06-28?	SELL NO	0.800	$1,969	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 11:34 AM	Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-06-28?	SELL NO	0.810	$1,418	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 10:49 PM	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.960	$3,502	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 10:37 PM	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	SELL YES	0.660	$4,432	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 10:34 PM	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.649	$2,010	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 01:47 PM	Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-06-27?	SELL YES	0.770	$1,296	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 01:47 PM	Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-06-27?	SELL YES	0.680	$2,630	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 01:46 PM	Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.282	$1,792	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 27, 01:21 PM	Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-06-27?	BUY NO	0.393	$1,437	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 11:26 AM	Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-06-27?	SELL YES	0.760	$3,206	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 11:21 AM	Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.558	$7,382	—
Jun 26, 02:29 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.482	$2,359	—
Jun 25, 08:02 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.282	$1,111	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 23, 04:45 AM	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	BUY NO	0.136	$1,542	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 22, 01:36 AM	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	SELL NO	0.550	$8,356	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 10:43 PM	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.640	$1,526	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 10:41 PM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	SELL NO	0.660	$8,323	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 10:39 PM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	SELL NO	0.660	$1,237	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 10:36 PM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.620	$25.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 10:35 PM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	SELL YES	0.397	$45.8K	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 10:33 PM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.442	$49.1K	—
Jun 21, 10:33 PM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	SELL YES	0.438	$21.7K	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 10:11 PM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.710	$8,828	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 10:10 PM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	SELL YES	0.700	$73.5K	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 10:10 PM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.716	$76.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 08:20 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	SELL YES	0.580	$42.2K	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 07:26 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.540	$3,851	—
Jun 21, 07:26 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.575	$5,229	—
Jun 21, 01:44 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.390	$5,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 01:36 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	SELL YES	0.501	$28.9K	— (SELL)
Jun 21, 01:36 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.550	$9,687	—
Jun 21, 01:36 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.529	$21.1K	—
Jun 20, 09:22 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	SELL NO	0.470	$14.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 09:11 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	SELL NO	0.570	$27.9K	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 09:11 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	SELL YES	0.280	$20.5K	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 08:21 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.700	$1,366	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:21 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.690	$1,342	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:21 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.656	$8,741	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:21 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.679	$24.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 08:20 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.600	$25.0K	—
Jun 12, 02:47 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	SELL NO	0.660	$5,812	— (SELL)
Jun 12, 02:43 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	BUY NO	0.680	$5,904	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 10:57 PM	0xa2490188	SELL YES	0.680	$22.4K	— (SELL)
Jun 6, 10:54 PM	0xa2490188	BUY YES	0.750	$1,774	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 10:54 PM	0xa2490188	BUY YES	0.701	$17.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 04:05 PM	0x2a3151e6	SELL YES	0.490	$1,604	— (SELL)
May 31, 04:03 PM	0x2a3151e6	SELL YES	0.500	$1,567	— (SELL)
May 31, 03:59 PM	0x2a3151e6	SELL YES	0.500	$1,628	— (SELL)
May 31, 03:57 PM	0x2a3151e6	BUY YES	0.521	$8,407	—
May 31, 12:14 AM	0xa9115691	SELL NO	0.270	$2,571	— (SELL)
May 30, 11:53 PM	0xa9115691	SELL NO	0.250	$1,665	— (SELL)
May 30, 04:36 PM	0x5dc96d5b	BUY NO	0.460	$2,686	—
May 27, 10:21 PM	0xf2d5429a	BUY NO	0.300	$1,242	Cheap band — no rep
May 24, 08:21 PM	0xa4804869	BUY YES	0.849	$2,837	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 08:11 PM	Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?	BUY YES	0.850	$22.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 04:29 PM	0x6330fd33	SELL YES	0.260	$1,968	— (SELL)
May 24, 04:29 PM	0x6330fd33	SELL YES	0.270	$1,060	— (SELL)
May 24, 04:26 PM	0x6330fd33	SELL YES	0.274	$2,488	— (SELL)
May 24, 04:25 PM	0x719275ba	SELL YES	0.450	$1,693	— (SELL)
May 24, 03:21 PM	0xbd1f142f	SELL YES	0.573	$10.1K	— (SELL)
May 24, 03:20 PM	0xbd1f142f	SELL YES	0.550	$5,121	— (SELL)
May 24, 03:18 PM	0xbd1f142f	BUY YES	0.599	$2,336	—
May 24, 01:43 PM	0x9cf46e37	BUY YES	0.350	$1,568	Killed band — neutral expectation
May 24, 01:31 PM	0xf9334a15	SELL NO	0.880	$1,441	— (SELL)
May 24, 01:29 PM	0xf9334a15	SELL NO	0.860	$1,470	— (SELL)
May 24, 12:29 PM	0x50b7edcd	SELL YES	0.880	$4,184	— (SELL)
May 24, 12:19 PM	0x9cf46e37	SELL YES	0.570	$1,425	— (SELL)
May 24, 03:08 AM	0xde336b45	BUY YES	0.607	$1,474	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 10:08 PM	0x1620351c	SELL NO	0.340	$1,916	— (SELL)
May 23, 10:07 PM	0x1620351c	SELL NO	0.360	$1,422	— (SELL)
May 23, 10:07 PM	0x1620351c	BUY NO	0.393	$3,249	Killed band — neutral expectation
May 23, 08:42 PM	0x6f4da6a2	SELL YES	0.262	$3,004	— (SELL)
May 23, 08:41 PM	0x6f4da6a2	BUY YES	0.368	$3,313	Killed band — neutral expectation
May 23, 08:41 PM	0x6f4da6a2	BUY YES	0.309	$1,705	Killed band — neutral expectation
May 23, 07:30 PM	0x3a61be01	SELL YES	0.200	$1,328	— (SELL)
May 23, 07:29 PM	0x3a61be01	SELL YES	0.200	$1,493	— (SELL)
May 23, 07:27 PM	0x3a61be01	SELL YES	0.200	$1,843	— (SELL)
May 23, 12:43 PM	0xd8225e30	SELL NO	0.210	$2,251	— (SELL)
May 23, 12:43 PM	0xd8225e30	SELL NO	0.220	$1,862	— (SELL)
May 23, 12:38 PM	0xd8225e30	SELL NO	0.230	$6,893	— (SELL)
May 23, 12:37 PM	0x23a81558	SELL NO	0.711	$2,067	— (SELL)
May 23, 12:22 PM	0xd8225e30	BUY NO	0.258	$3,323	Cheap band — no rep
May 23, 12:20 PM	0xea0eabdd	SELL YES	0.410	$2,252	— (SELL)
May 23, 12:17 PM	0xea0eabdd	SELL YES	0.440	$1,802	— (SELL)
May 23, 12:16 PM	0xea0eabdd	SELL YES	0.415	$1,315	— (SELL)
May 23, 12:15 PM	0xea0eabdd	BUY YES	0.480	$1,154	—
May 21, 01:30 AM	0xfac55568	SELL YES	0.620	$2,612	— (SELL)

Markets active in

84 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Other	9	$309.8K	+$8,687
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Other	6	$264.1K	+$31.8K
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Other	2	$93.1K	+$93.1K
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Other	8	$91.0K	+$28.6K
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Other	6	$81.5K	+$40.6K
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Other	4	$64.7K	+$6,860
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Crypto	2	$53.5K	+$21.2K
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Other	4	$51.9K	$-6,963
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Other	3	$51.3K	$-33,148
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	Other	2	$42.3K	$-42,302
0xa2490188	—	3	$41.5K	$-3,225
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Other	4	$41.1K	+$12.2K
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Other	3	$34.5K	+$34.5K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Other	3	$28.2K	$-21,327
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Tech	3	$26.6K	$-19,993
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?	Other	1	$22.1K	+$22.1K
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Other	6	$21.2K	+$21.2K
Will Atlante FC win on 2026-07-16?	Other	7	$20.6K	+$7,534
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Other	2	$20.0K	+$20.0K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Other	4	$18.4K	+$6,093
0xbd1f142f	—	3	$17.5K	$-12,863
0xd8225e30	—	4	$14.3K	$-7,684
0x2a3151e6	—	4	$13.2K	+$3,608
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Other	2	$11.7K	+$92
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-06-27?	Tech	2	$10.6K	+$4,176
Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?	Other	3	$9,703	+$5,081
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	2	$9,681	$-7,240
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-18?	Other	5	$9,587	$-1,732
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-07-16?	Other	4	$9,507	$-1,041
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	Other	1	$8,356	$-8,356

Showing top 30 by volume.