| Jul 20, 12:44 PM | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY YES | 0.993 | $25.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 12:43 PM | Will Movement of Society for Peace (MSP) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $9,990 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 18, 06:34 PM | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $4,067 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 18, 05:00 PM | World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $6,014 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 04:55 PM | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY NO | 0.420 | $2,517 | —— |
| Jul 12, 12:52 AM | Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.985 | $34.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 12, 12:50 AM | Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.984 | $78.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 11, 11:48 PM | Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $100.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 07:58 PM | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | BUY YES | 0.260 | $6,500 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 6, 09:05 PM | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $249.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 06:59 PM | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY NO | 0.510 | $2,550 | —— |
| Jul 6, 03:10 AM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.140 | $3,802 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 6, 03:10 AM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.140 | $2,621 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 6, 03:09 AM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.139 | $1,738 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 6, 12:58 AM | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY YES | 0.380 | $1,900 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 5, 11:28 PM | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.054 | $4,370 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 5, 05:13 PM | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.013 | $13.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 4, 09:56 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.068 | $3,400 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 4, 04:58 PM | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY YES | 0.530 | $2,650 | —— |
| Jul 1, 11:56 PM | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY NO | 0.290 | $2,900 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 1, 10:46 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.999 | $9,524 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 1, 10:18 PM | 0xae6d3d20 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $15.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 1, 10:18 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL YES | 0.999 | $22.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 1, 10:18 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $18.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 1, 07:46 PM | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.014 | $7,700 | —— |
| Jul 1, 07:43 PM | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.014 | $2,100 | —— |
| Jul 1, 07:42 PM | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.014 | $4,200 | —— |
| Jul 1, 07:38 PM | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY YES | 0.500 | $7,500 | —— |
| Jun 30, 07:43 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.999 | $11.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 07:30 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY NO | 0.999 | $17.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 05:00 PM | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | BUY YES | 0.450 | $1,298 | —— |
| Jun 29, 05:30 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.105 | $1,750 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 29, 04:31 PM | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY YES | 0.190 | $4,747 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 29, 02:12 PM | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.390 | $1,950 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 29, 04:45 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.991 | $29.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 01:40 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.991 | $15.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 27, 08:26 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.102 | $3,400 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 27, 08:03 PM | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY YES | 0.550 | $2,750 | —— |
| Jun 27, 02:59 AM | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? | BUY YES | 0.830 | $2,075 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 06:43 PM | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | BUY NO | 0.620 | $6,200 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 05:31 PM | Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,390 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 24, 03:23 PM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $32.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 22, 06:13 PM | Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%? | BUY YES | 0.916 | $5,428 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 08:04 PM | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | BUY YES | 0.640 | $3,200 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 07:01 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.989 | $29.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 02:55 PM | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.860 | $2,208 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 21, 06:20 AM | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $2,762 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 06:20 AM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.840 | $2,448 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 12:41 PM | Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? | BUY YES | 0.580 | $1,258 | —— |
| Jun 13, 02:38 AM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.097 | $4,850 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 11:53 AM | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.730 | $1,823 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 11:38 AM | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.730 | $5,477 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 09:15 AM | Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY YES | 0.790 | $3,071 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 06:12 AM | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.790 | $5,861 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 05:16 AM | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.780 | $1,968 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 05:16 AM | Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY YES | 0.777 | $14.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 06:11 PM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.370 | $3,700 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 10, 09:02 AM | Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? | BUY NO | 0.755 | $1,016 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 04:32 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.890 | $1,907 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 11:17 PM | 0x2fd42d05 | BUY YES | 0.880 | $1,270 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:08 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.870 | $1,963 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:01 PM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.840 | $3,046 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 02:21 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY NO | 0.690 | $4,101 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 02:20 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY YES | 0.694 | $9,869 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:02 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.790 | $1,851 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:01 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.790 | $1,975 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:58 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.790 | $6,145 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:17 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY NO | 0.790 | $1,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:13 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.780 | $1,527 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:07 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.760 | $4,940 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:01 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.774 | $2,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 08:54 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.570 | $6,163 | —— |
| Jun 7, 07:41 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.520 | $10.4K | —— |
| Jun 6, 11:16 PM | 0x010310d0 | SELL YES | 0.311 | $1,207 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 05:37 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY YES | 0.376 | $3,540 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 6, 01:43 AM | Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.986 | $1,972 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 11:49 PM | 0xa1b02c3b | BUY NO | 0.982 | $1,905 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 10:35 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY NO | 0.390 | $3,956 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 5, 06:18 AM | Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.903 | $1,486 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 03:18 AM | 0x93ea83a4 | BUY NO | 0.998 | $8,628 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 01:38 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.568 | $3,737 | —— |
| Jun 5, 01:29 AM | 0x010310d0 | BUY YES | 0.340 | $1,414 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 5, 12:18 AM | 0x010310d0 | BUY YES | 0.280 | $1,043 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 4, 11:02 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY YES | 0.289 | $1,958 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 4, 10:50 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL YES | 0.710 | $16.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 10:50 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL YES | 0.720 | $7,619 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 10:49 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | SELL NO | 0.715 | $42.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 09:35 PM | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY NO | 0.805 | $3,525 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 09:13 PM | Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY YES | 0.770 | $3,408 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 08:46 PM | Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $4,008 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 02:07 AM | 0xc587bda9 | BUY YES | 0.998 | $32.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 01:43 AM | 0xc587bda9 | BUY YES | 0.997 | $25.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 01:37 AM | 0xc587bda9 | BUY YES | 0.998 | $10.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 01:13 AM | 0xc587bda9 | BUY YES | 0.995 | $10.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 01:13 AM | 0xc587bda9 | BUY YES | 0.997 | $4,631 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 01:06 AM | 0x4d1f3c89 | BUY YES | 0.999 | $1,279 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 12:59 AM | 0xc587bda9 | BUY YES | 0.995 | $19.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 12:56 AM | 0x17231937 | BUY YES | 0.994 | $2,362 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 12:51 AM | 0xfbda5ef7 | BUY YES | 0.999 | $6,605 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 12:46 AM | 0xebf57e5d | BUY NO | 0.999 | $8,444 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 12:46 AM | 0x9f8ef513 | BUY YES | 0.998 | $59.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 12:40 AM | 0x11fb30d1 | BUY NO | 0.998 | $4,313 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 12:40 AM | 0xfbae01b3 | BUY YES | 0.997 | $2,332 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 12:40 AM | 0xfbae01b3 | BUY YES | 0.993 | $2,459 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 11:45 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $2,994 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 08:10 PM | 0x9f8ef513 | BUY YES | 0.996 | $5,080 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 07:36 PM | 0xc587bda9 | SELL YES | 0.439 | $1,912 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 07:25 PM | 0xc587bda9 | SELL YES | 0.285 | $1,678 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 07:23 PM | 0xc587bda9 | SELL YES | 0.266 | $2,643 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 03:05 PM | 0x774c2d69 | BUY NO | 0.700 | $1,347 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 10:11 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $149.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 09:56 AM | 0x3f099ddf | BUY NO | 0.840 | $2,514 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 06:07 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | SELL YES | 0.731 | $36.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 06:07 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | SELL NO | 0.743 | $9,842 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 10:14 PM | 0xdeb647fd | BUY YES | 0.910 | $4,550 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 10:14 PM | 0x7441be9a | BUY NO | 0.910 | $4,732 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 05:15 PM | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY YES | 0.240 | $1,200 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 2, 02:18 AM | 0xebf57e5d | BUY YES | 0.110 | $1,764 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 07:45 PM | 0x43941f7a | BUY NO | 0.997 | $1,257 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 07:44 PM | 0xd4c87ad6 | BUY NO | 0.995 | $1,098 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 07:43 PM | 0x9284c3d8 | BUY NO | 0.999 | $1,264 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 10:26 AM | 0xc587bda9 | BUY YES | 0.120 | $2,100 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 02:53 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $46.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 02:34 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $3,293 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 02:17 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $29.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 02:16 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $15.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 02:16 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $4,990 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:23 AM | 0xc00920db | SELL NO | 0.996 | $1,878 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 12:23 AM | 0xb611b3a7 | SELL YES | 0.994 | $2,795 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 11:31 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $7,448 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 10:28 PM | 0x6cd7f5a0 | BUY NO | 0.999 | $2,772 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 10:28 PM | 0x1ffa8611 | BUY NO | 0.999 | $1,927 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 08:46 PM | Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | SELL NO | 0.970 | $1,258 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 06:24 PM | 0xa1d97efb | BUY NO | 0.999 | $5,129 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 05:57 PM | 0xb7dd41c1 | BUY NO | 0.981 | $4,043 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 05:09 PM | 0xb7dd41c1 | BUY NO | 0.980 | $3,516 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 01:53 PM | 0xbf1d0865 | BUY NO | 0.992 | $2,191 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 12:48 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.984 | $4,920 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 10:37 AM | 0xb7dd41c1 | BUY NO | 0.970 | $2,479 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 10:35 AM | 0x80d8661e | BUY NO | 0.999 | $4,234 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 01:13 AM | 0xb03509e2 | SELL NO | 0.996 | $1,827 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 12:47 AM | 0xb7dd41c1 | BUY NO | 0.950 | $5,539 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 09:17 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.780 | $3,120 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 09:15 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.780 | $2,058 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 07:00 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $25.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:35 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $25.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:32 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $25.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:22 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $9,440 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:19 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $5,324 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 03:58 PM | 0x5dc96d5b | BUY YES | 0.330 | $3,300 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 30, 03:46 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.112 | $4,712 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 30, 02:43 PM | 0xa1d97efb | BUY NO | 0.993 | $7,330 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 11:18 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $3,803 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 08:45 PM | 0xa1d97efb | BUY NO | 0.992 | $5,393 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 08:41 PM | Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | SELL NO | 0.983 | $1,426 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 01:39 PM | 0xb03509e2 | BUY NO | 0.820 | $2,050 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 01:32 PM | 0xb03509e2 | BUY NO | 0.820 | $4,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 11:05 AM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.776 | $21.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 07:51 PM | 0xc4c3dbcc | BUY YES | 0.730 | $1,966 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 06:58 PM | 0x9fd95559 | BUY YES | 0.460 | $2,300 | —— |
| May 27, 03:43 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $3,850 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 12:46 PM | 0x4f7f1f84 | SELL NO | 0.987 | $1,240 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 01:53 AM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY NO | 0.699 | $2,136 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 11:35 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $1,477 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 10:46 PM | 0x2cd24d17 | BUY NO | 0.701 | $6,603 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 06:09 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.980 | $2,450 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 05:35 AM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.470 | $4,828 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 01:58 PM | 0x4a97117e | BUY NO | 0.999 | $5,135 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 01:10 PM | 0x94c74245 | BUY NO | 0.460 | $1,380 | —— |
| May 22, 07:19 AM | 0xcb454090 | BUY YES | 0.978 | $2,786 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 10:41 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.200 | $6,000 | — (SELL) |
| May 20, 06:21 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.760 | $3,042 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 11:28 PM | 0xbffe7025 | SELL YES | 0.860 | $1,683 | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 06:38 PM | 0xf4819a7e | BUY NO | 0.560 | $2,013 | —— |
| May 19, 11:09 AM | 0xe3033b16 | BUY NO | 0.550 | $18.9K | —— |
| May 19, 04:26 AM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.710 | $3,550 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 09:51 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.710 | $7,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 12:48 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.110 | $2,200 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 18, 11:48 AM | 0x098afead | BUY NO | 0.870 | $4,350 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 07:41 AM | 0x4bab360a | BUY NO | 0.420 | $1,493 | —— |
| May 17, 02:05 AM | 0xeee445be | BUY YES | 0.998 | $1,122 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 11:08 PM | 0xf32a5d0c | BUY NO | 0.999 | $4,337 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 11:07 PM | 0x21e69900 | BUY NO | 0.999 | $4,645 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 11:06 PM | 0x4cb414aa | BUY YES | 0.999 | $8,139 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 11:06 PM | 0x6e5b0f17 | BUY YES | 0.999 | $5,145 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 10:48 PM | 0x7a1959a9 | BUY NO | 0.999 | $1,051 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 10:48 PM | 0x7e974f07 | BUY NO | 0.999 | $1,830 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 10:48 PM | 0xfe5ac936 | BUY NO | 0.999 | $1,190 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 05:59 AM | 0xab4d1616 | BUY NO | 0.957 | $1,249 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 10:36 PM | 0xe3033b16 | BUY NO | 0.397 | $1,425 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 13, 04:42 AM | 0x4bab360a | BUY NO | 0.450 | $11.1K | —— |
| May 13, 03:20 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.170 | $3,784 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 13, 12:46 AM | 0x20f68095 | BUY NO | 0.200 | $2,000 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 12, 06:26 PM | 0xe3033b16 | BUY NO | 0.300 | $1,669 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 11, 01:17 PM | 0x4bab360a | BUY NO | 0.540 | $1,817 | —— |
| May 8, 09:25 PM | 0x781a06aa | BUY YES | 0.408 | $2,652 | —— |
| May 8, 08:41 PM | 0x78b569c9 | BUY NO | 0.999 | $2,886 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 07:22 PM | 0xa93b28a6 | BUY NO | 0.764 | $3,044 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 06:56 PM | 0xa93b28a6 | BUY NO | 0.720 | $1,618 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 06:47 PM | 0xc381b79b | BUY YES | 0.999 | $3,527 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |