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0x440a147C6b2b82bad733E001957Ba209f716035A-1768332833240
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x440a…035a with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
14
lifetime
PnL per $
-75%
historical realized
Win rate
6.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$242.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 14 resolved trades · -75% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
27
Distinct markets
18
Volume (90d)
$372.7K
avg $13.8K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$305.4K / $67.3K
net direction
Recent trades
last 27 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 08:50 PM | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY YES | 0.170 | $15.7K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 19, 08:50 PM | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY YES | 0.160 | $17.6K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 19, 01:43 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.091 | $8,769 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 19, 01:43 PM | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.081 | $6,231 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 19, 04:49 AM | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY YES | 0.034 | $25.0K | — |
| Jul 15, 08:04 PM | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY YES | 0.258 | $15.5K | Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 14, 06:24 PM | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY YES | 0.372 | $31.7K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 11, 09:02 PM | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY YES | 0.230 | $21.8K | Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 11, 09:02 PM | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY YES | 0.240 | $8,242 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Jul 7, 07:01 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.328 | $50.5K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 5, 09:49 PM | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY YES | 0.048 | $4,881 | — |
| Jul 1, 05:16 PM | Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | BUY YES | 0.300 | $9,786 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 24, 10:38 PM | Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? | BUY YES | 0.296 | $9,859 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 22, 07:15 PM | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.056 | $16.6K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 30, 08:52 PM | 0x6e9f90a6 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $15.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 05:49 PM | 0x6e9f90a6 | BUY YES | 0.700 | $1,212 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 05:49 PM | 0x6e9f90a6 | BUY YES | 0.615 | $8,183 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 08:17 PM | 0x08529def | BUY YES | 0.554 | $2,573 | — |
| May 24, 08:17 PM | 0x08529def | BUY YES | 0.253 | $11.4K | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 24, 08:08 PM | 0x08529def | BUY YES | 0.571 | $10,000 | — |
| May 23, 06:33 PM | 0xdecf8423 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $30.3K | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 05:31 PM | 0xdecf8423 | BUY YES | 0.252 | $7,640 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 17, 02:24 PM | 0xaa18c0e9 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $22.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 11:16 AM | 0x5e9b626a | BUY YES | 0.373 | $5,000 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 17, 10:35 AM | 0xaa18c0e9 | BUY YES | 0.454 | $10,000 | — |
| May 10, 08:29 PM | 0x739ecb61 | BUY YES | 0.370 | $2,835 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 10, 07:29 PM | 0x9493c40e | BUY YES | 0.084 | $4,342 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
Markets active in
18 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $50.5K | +$50.5K |
| 0xdecf8423 | — | 2 | $37.9K | $-22,663 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | Other | 2 | $33.3K | +$33.3K |
| 0xaa18c0e9 | — | 2 | $32.0K | $-12,009 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | Other | 1 | $31.7K | +$31.7K |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | Other | 2 | $30.0K | +$30.0K |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | Tech | 1 | $25.0K | +$25.0K |
| 0x6e9f90a6 | — | 3 | $24.4K | $-5,624 |
| 0x08529def | — | 3 | $24.0K | +$24.0K |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $16.6K | +$16.6K |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | Other | 1 | $15.5K | +$15.5K |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 2 | $15.0K | +$15.0K |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? | Tech | 1 | $9,859 | +$9,859 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | Other | 1 | $9,786 | +$9,786 |
| 0x5e9b626a | — | 1 | $5,000 | +$5,000 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | Other | 1 | $4,881 | +$4,881 |
| 0x9493c40e | — | 1 | $4,342 | +$4,342 |
| 0x739ecb61 | — | 1 | $2,835 | +$2,835 |