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acfc8
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x4154…e7a8 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
37
lifetime
PnL per $
-62%
historical realized
Win rate
35.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$387.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 37 resolved trades · -62% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
38
Distinct markets
10
Volume (90d)
$388.9K
avg $10.2K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$361.3K / $27.6K
net direction
Recent trades
last 38 · 90d windowMarkets active in
10 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 26 | $265.7K | +$210.5K |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 2 | $54.4K | +$54.4K |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $50.8K | +$50.8K |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | Other | 2 | $3,864 | +$3,864 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Other | 2 | $3,660 | +$3,660 |
| Lionel Messi: 3+ goals | Other | 1 | $2,643 | +$2,643 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Other | 1 | $2,480 | +$2,480 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | Other | 1 | $2,050 | +$2,050 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Other | 1 | $1,740 | +$1,740 |
| Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | Other | 1 | $1,600 | +$1,600 |