Back to whale feed

0x3DFb153c197D4C19D3B31c1ecD2c7B6860eeabAf-1722957908185

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x3dfb…abaf with our methodology badges per row.

0x3dfb153c197d4c19d3b31c1ecd2c7b6860eeabaf·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
28
lifetime
PnL per $
+4754%
historical realized
Win rate
15.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$541.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
43
Distinct markets
17
Volume (90d)
$1.18M
avg $27.4K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$476.3K / $701.0K
net direction

Recent trades

last 43 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 10:19 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.999$297.5K— (SELL)
Jun 20, 09:45 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.260$1,155Conviction tier
Jun 20, 09:45 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.280$2,178Conviction tier
Jun 20, 09:44 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.280$1,866Conviction tier
Jun 20, 09:42 PMWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY YES0.540$4,383
Jun 20, 09:39 PMWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY YES0.500$2,778
Jun 20, 09:39 PMWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY YES0.490$2,178
Jun 20, 09:38 PMWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY YES0.480$5,333
Jun 20, 09:37 PMWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY YES0.470$7,311
Jun 20, 08:49 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.290$6,436Conviction tier
Jun 20, 08:49 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.290$3,222Conviction tier
Jun 20, 07:39 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.670$93.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 07:39 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?SELL YES0.660$66.0K— (SELL)
Jun 20, 07:34 PMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY YES0.670$134.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 05:31 AMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY YES0.580$42.6K
Jun 12, 09:08 PMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?SELL YES0.999$78.8K— (SELL)
Jun 12, 08:31 PMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?BUY YES0.330$2,933Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 08:31 PMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?BUY YES0.330$7,333Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 08:31 PMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?BUY YES0.330$9,168Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 08:19 PMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?BUY YES0.330$3,872Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 07:21 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.530$17.7K
Jun 12, 07:03 PMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY YES0.530$29.4K
Jun 12, 05:08 AMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?SELL YES0.999$199.8K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:51 AMWill Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?BUY NO0.412$1,328
May 30, 03:59 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY YES0.380$26.6KKilled band — neutral expectation
Apr 29, 12:14 AMNew York Yankees vs. Texas RangersBUY YES0.520$8,000
Apr 28, 10:12 PMWashington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5BUY YES0.460$2,969
Apr 28, 12:35 AMPistons vs. MagicBUY YES0.442$4,348
Apr 27, 11:57 PMNew York Yankees vs. Texas RangersBUY YES0.420$3,714
Apr 27, 09:53 PMSpread: Pistons (-3.5)BUY YES0.500$7,880
Apr 27, 10:04 AMLakers vs. RocketsSELL YES0.999$14.8K— (SELL)
Apr 27, 01:47 AMSpread: Rockets (-5.5)BUY YES0.438$3,933
Apr 27, 01:46 AMSpread: Rockets (-5.5)BUY YES0.483$7,876
Apr 27, 01:44 AMLakers vs. RocketsBUY YES0.610$9,043Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 01:41 AMSpread: Celtics (-7.5)SELL YES0.995$32.8K— (SELL)
Apr 26, 10:21 PMSpread: Celtics (-7.5)BUY YES0.490$2,051
Apr 26, 10:06 PMSpread: Celtics (-7.5)BUY YES0.500$2,955
Apr 26, 10:04 PMSpread: Celtics (-7.5)BUY YES0.500$1,970
Apr 26, 09:04 PMSpread: Celtics (-7.5)BUY YES0.530$4,180
Apr 26, 09:01 PMCavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5SELL YES0.999$11.3K— (SELL)
Apr 26, 06:32 PMSpread: Celtics (-7.5)BUY YES0.530$5,881
Apr 26, 04:54 PMCavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5BUY YES0.520$1,281
Apr 26, 04:39 PMCavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5BUY YES0.520$4,613

Markets active in

17 markets · sorted by volume