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thesingularityisnear

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x3a6a…458e with our methodology badges per row.

0x3a6a2e7a7707c720219228eb8efa7398bc0e458e·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
55
lifetime
PnL per $
-7%
historical realized
Win rate
14.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$2.65M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 55 resolved trades · -7% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
55
Distinct markets
11
Volume (90d)
$2.65M
avg $48.2K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$648.1K / $2.00M
net direction

Recent trades

last 55 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 20, 12:16 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.999$956.9K— (SELL)
Jul 20, 12:16 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.999$444.3K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 06:42 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.584$306.6K— (SELL)
Jul 19, 06:28 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL YES0.590$293.5K— (SELL)
Jul 6, 09:55 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.129$15.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 07:48 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.124$32.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 04:50 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY YES0.530$49.2K
Jul 4, 02:33 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.126$3,720Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 01:26 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.129$5,763Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 12:47 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.125$9,988Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 12:27 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.125$8,118Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 03:53 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.134$8,597Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 03:08 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.138$83.6KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 01:53 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.132$14.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 01:03 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.130$1,379Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 12:56 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.130$3,290Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 12:52 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.129$35.9KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 12:52 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.125$4,761Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 01:38 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.123$8,301Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 01:25 AMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.122$5,151Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 05:48 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.111$5,255Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 05:47 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.109$3,621Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 05:44 PMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.019$2,219
Jul 2, 05:43 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.110$3,459Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 05:42 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.109$35.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 10:41 AMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.019$8,552
Jul 1, 11:34 PMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.023$5,897
Jul 1, 10:52 PMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.023$2,712
Jul 1, 10:52 PMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.023$2,593
Jul 1, 07:40 PMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.026$10.7K
Jul 1, 07:31 PMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.020$7,644
Jul 1, 03:30 PMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.017$11.5K
Jul 1, 02:44 PMWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.005$1,525
Jul 1, 02:43 PMWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.004$6,779
Jul 1, 02:13 PMWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.009$7,199
Jul 1, 02:12 PMWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.008$9,716
Jul 1, 01:57 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.013$11.8K
Jul 1, 01:57 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.012$3,509
Jul 1, 01:57 PMWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.012$9,658
Jul 1, 11:37 AMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.024$14.4K
Jul 1, 09:56 AMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.028$14.3K
Jul 1, 09:55 AMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.023$17.3K
Jun 30, 10:43 PMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.028$5,069
Jun 30, 10:37 PMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY YES0.440$44.0K
Jun 30, 10:37 PMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.016$1,095
Jun 30, 06:48 PMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.031$23.8K
Jun 30, 06:48 PMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.029$14.5K
Jun 30, 06:47 PMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.029$26.5K
Jun 30, 03:19 AMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.026$9,277
Jun 30, 03:16 AMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.014$17.0K
Jun 30, 03:10 AMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.025$1,584
Jun 30, 02:30 AMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.013$8,130
Jun 30, 02:30 AMWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.027$2,591
Jun 30, 02:28 AMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.024$7,849
Jun 30, 02:26 AMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.024$1,000

Markets active in

11 markets · sorted by volume