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horiz0n
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x398d…c7c3 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
19
lifetime
PnL per $
-62%
historical realized
Win rate
19.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$140.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 19 resolved trades · -62% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
28
Distinct markets
11
Volume (90d)
$172.0K
avg $6,144 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$133.3K / $38.8K
net direction
Recent trades
last 28 · 90d windowMarkets active in
11 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | Other | 7 | $89.0K | +$89.0K |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Crypto | 9 | $34.2K | $-9,383 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | Crypto | 1 | $13.6K | +$13.6K |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Other | 1 | $12.1K | $-12,149 |
| 0xa8e8cdf6 | — | 2 | $8,529 | +$8,529 |
| 0x1b1a75d6 | — | 2 | $3,449 | +$3,449 |
| 0x667c01a1 | — | 1 | $3,310 | +$3,310 |
| Chirayu Rana sued? | Other | 2 | $3,025 | +$3,025 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | Other | 1 | $2,417 | $-2,417 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Other | 1 | $1,284 | $-1,284 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Tech | 1 | $1,145 | $-1,145 |