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Nah-id-gamble
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x38ce…1581 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
5
lifetime
PnL per $
+24%
historical realized
Win rate
89.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$59.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 5 resolved trades · 24% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
6
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$78.2K
avg $13.0K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$78.2K / $0
net direction
Recent trades
last 6 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 08:32 PM | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY NO | 0.739 | $15.2K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 19, 07:19 PM | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY NO | 0.510 | $4,712 | — |
| Jul 10, 07:41 PM | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY NO | 0.385 | $1,075 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jul 9, 07:46 PM | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY NO | 0.752 | $33.1K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 07:12 PM | Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? | BUY NO | 0.670 | $5,193 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 11:16 AM | Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY NO | 0.720 | $18.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
5 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Other | 1 | $33.1K | +$33.1K |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | Tech | 2 | $19.9K | +$19.9K |
| Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? | Other | 1 | $18.9K | +$18.9K |
| Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Other | 1 | $5,193 | +$5,193 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | Tech | 1 | $1,075 | +$1,075 |