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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x30e4…5102 with our methodology badges per row.

0x30e443872ddf63b2908a49f92cd690c304a55102·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
20
lifetime
PnL per $
-68%
historical realized
Win rate
19.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$178.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 20 resolved trades · -68% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
29
Distinct markets
14
Volume (90d)
$196.0K
avg $6,760 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$42.6K / $153.5K
net direction

Recent trades

last 29 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 20, 05:39 PMWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?SELL YES0.991$9,910— (SELL)
Jul 20, 08:41 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.934$23.0K— (SELL)
Jul 20, 08:40 AMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL NO0.936$17.7K— (SELL)
Jul 16, 04:33 PMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL NO0.690$2,214— (SELL)
Jul 15, 01:09 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.610$3,863— (SELL)
Jul 14, 01:41 PMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL NO0.935$9,116— (SELL)
Jul 14, 01:37 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.930$5,581— (SELL)
Jul 14, 01:36 PMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL NO0.935$20.7K— (SELL)
Jul 13, 03:32 PMWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL YES0.278$1,607— (SELL)
Jul 11, 05:48 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL NO0.210$2,162— (SELL)
Jul 10, 06:57 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.230$1,782Cheap band — no rep
Jul 10, 03:49 PMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL NO0.846$14.4K— (SELL)
Jul 8, 06:46 PMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.784$15.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 12:57 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.770$20.0K— (SELL)
Jul 6, 03:48 PMFed rate hike in 2026?SELL NO0.520$2,176— (SELL)
Jul 3, 03:28 PMWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY YES0.067$1,286Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 11:51 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY NO0.463$1,542—
Jul 2, 10:40 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.900$9,400Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 05:24 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.790$10.8K— (SELL)
Jun 29, 04:13 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.810$5,670— (SELL)
Jun 28, 07:05 PMWill South Africa win on 2026-06-28?BUY NO0.790$1,755Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 07:03 PMWill South Africa win on 2026-06-28?BUY NO0.800$2,666Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 01:17 AMWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?BUY YES0.105$1,575Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 6, 11:08 PMWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?BUY YES0.283$3,957Cheap band — no rep
Jun 3, 10:15 PMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?SELL NO0.530$1,528— (SELL)
Jun 2, 01:27 AMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?BUY YES0.100$1,600Killed band — neutral expectation
May 23, 02:42 AMWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL YES0.231$1,779— (SELL)
May 23, 12:06 AM0xde5ed16bBUY YES0.044$1,319—
May 9, 04:52 PMWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL YES0.065$1,300— (SELL)

Markets active in

14 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance8$78.4K$-56,024
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance5$77.6K$-46,195
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Politics1$9,910$-9,910
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Crypto2$5,532+$5,532
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Other2$4,422+$4,422
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Finance1$3,863$-3,863
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics2$3,386$-3,386
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Crypto2$3,128+$72
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance1$2,214$-2,214
Fed rate hike in 2026?Finance1$2,176$-2,176
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Other1$1,542+$1,542
0xde5ed16b—1$1,319+$1,319
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics1$1,300$-1,300
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics1$1,286+$1,286