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Sparkling8899

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x2e25…d49e with our methodology badges per row.

0x2e25b222e2080c377fc1fb2b9f926315f0f4d49e·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
17
lifetime
PnL per $
-54%
historical realized
Win rate
23.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$537.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 17 resolved trades · -54% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
18
Distinct markets
9
Volume (90d)
$578.6K
avg $32.1K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$578.6K / $0
net direction

Recent trades

last 18 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 16, 09:05 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY YES0.420$50.0K
Jul 15, 06:49 PMWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY YES0.340$15.3KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 11:16 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.430$8,891
Jul 11, 09:59 PMWill England win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.515$26.7K
Jul 11, 07:48 PMWill England win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.522$17.8K
Jul 11, 07:30 PMWill England win on 2026-07-11?BUY YES0.530$5,841
Jul 9, 04:40 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?BUY NO0.395$70.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 04:31 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?BUY NO0.390$2,255Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 04:31 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?BUY NO0.390$15.4KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 05:43 PMWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?BUY NO0.430$34.8K
Jun 27, 05:43 PMWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?BUY NO0.430$74.4K
Jun 27, 05:28 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?BUY NO0.520$48.7K
Jun 27, 05:28 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?BUY NO0.520$42.9K
Jun 22, 11:58 PMWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?BUY NO0.620$41.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 04:10 PMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.540$22.4K
Jun 12, 04:09 PMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.540$31.9K
Jun 12, 04:09 PMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.540$39.2K
Jun 12, 04:09 PMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY NO0.540$30.3K

Markets active in

9 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Other4$123.8K+$123.8K
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Other2$109.1K+$109.1K
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Other2$91.6K+$91.6K
Will France win on 2026-07-09?Other3$87.8K+$87.8K
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Other3$50.4K+$50.4K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Tech1$50.0K+$50.0K
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Other1$41.6K+$41.6K
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Other1$15.3K+$15.3K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Other1$8,891+$8,891