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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x2b15…9b08 with our methodology badges per row.

0x2b15b1cab8917d786e44765002a07a78ee8c9b08·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
28
lifetime
PnL per $
+26574%
historical realized
Win rate
64.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$215.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
105
Distinct markets
54
Volume (90d)
$653.5K
avg $6,223 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$337.8K / $315.6K
net direction

Recent trades

last 105 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Apr 28, 01:10 PMSuns vs. ThunderSELL YES0.500$1,262— (SELL)
Apr 26, 03:28 AMUFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY YES0.999$9,440Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 03:15 AMUFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY YES0.420$2,063—
Apr 26, 03:13 AMUFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY YES0.429$1,759—
Apr 26, 03:03 AMUFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY YES0.650$3,096Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 02:24 AMUFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY YES0.758$5,015Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 02:23 AMUFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY YES0.715$1,648Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 01:54 AMUFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY YES0.760$2,926Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 01:31 AMUFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY YES0.970$7,548Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 01:31 AMUFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY YES0.960$2,577Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 01:01 AMUFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY YES0.990$15.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 12:30 AMUFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)SELL YES0.999$30.0K— (SELL)
Apr 26, 12:25 AMUFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY YES0.990$9,983Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 12:16 AMUFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY YES0.440$6,729—
Apr 26, 12:00 AMUFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)BUY YES0.990$16.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 11:35 PMUFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)SELL YES0.999$17.5K— (SELL)
Apr 25, 11:31 PMUFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)SELL YES0.999$1,206— (SELL)
Apr 25, 11:29 PMUFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)BUY YES0.990$17.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 11:20 PMUFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)BUY YES0.990$3,537Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 10:54 PMUFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)BUY YES0.988$8,938Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 10:39 PMUFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)BUY YES0.310$1,171Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 25, 10:26 PMUFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY YES0.998$1,432Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 10:07 PMUFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prelims)SELL YES0.999$24.3K— (SELL)
Apr 25, 09:57 PMUFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prelims)BUY YES0.930$1,836Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 09:56 PMUFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prelims)BUY YES0.910$4,530Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 09:49 PMUFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prelims)BUY YES0.735$1,205Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 09:48 PMUFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prelims)BUY YES0.739$1,501Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 09:40 PMUFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)SELL YES0.999$14.3K— (SELL)
Apr 25, 09:13 PMUFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)BUY YES0.320$1,519Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 19, 02:08 AM0x13f7be3dSELL0.999$15.5K— (SELL)
Apr 19, 01:56 AM0x13f7be3dBUY0.770$1,740Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 01:47 AM0x13f7be3dBUY0.519$2,356—
Apr 19, 01:29 AM0xf64498a1SELL0.999$11.0K— (SELL)
Apr 19, 01:14 AM0xd46c88e1SELL0.999$2,214— (SELL)
Apr 19, 12:57 AM0xd46c88e1BUY0.568$2,652—
Apr 19, 12:54 AM0xd46c88e1BUY0.370$2,700Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 19, 12:54 AM0xd46c88e1BUY0.370$2,017Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 19, 12:36 AM0x6479a118SELL0.999$1,850— (SELL)
Apr 19, 12:29 AM0x6479a118BUY0.840$1,547Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 12:24 AM0x6479a118BUY0.692$2,777Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 19, 12:18 AM0x6479a118BUY0.632$1,707Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 11:40 PM0x4cfd7c57BUY0.790$4,361Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 11:39 PM0x4cfd7c57BUY0.261$2,549Conviction tier
Apr 18, 10:58 PM0xe46b6ddaSELL0.970$5,566— (SELL)
Apr 18, 10:27 PMUFC Fight Night: John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)SELL0.500$1,597— (SELL)
Apr 18, 10:18 PM0xe46b6ddaBUY0.956$7,710Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 10:05 PM0xe46b6ddaBUY0.830$1,460Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 10:05 PM0xe46b6ddaBUY0.830$1,556Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 09:36 PMUFC Fight Night: John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)BUY0.380$1,243Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 12, 03:51 AM0x8a6b6711BUY0.700$13.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 03:48 AM0x8a6b6711BUY0.520$3,462—
Apr 12, 03:30 AM0x4b003509SELL0.999$16.3K— (SELL)
Apr 12, 03:13 AM0x4b003509BUY0.710$8,313Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 02:42 AM0xf8734a88SELL0.396$2,938— (SELL)
Apr 12, 02:41 AM0xf8734a88SELL0.400$3,177— (SELL)
Apr 12, 02:00 AM0x9ed81f0cBUY0.490$1,209—
Apr 12, 01:02 AM0x84a7e30fSELL0.999$14.6K— (SELL)
Apr 12, 12:49 AM0x84a7e30fBUY0.770$14.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 12:46 AM0x84a7e30fSELL0.340$2,706— (SELL)
Apr 12, 12:36 AM0x1c58e09fSELL0.999$11.7K— (SELL)
Apr 12, 12:18 AM0x1c58e09fBUY0.770$6,804Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 11:51 PM0x4214defeSELL0.999$3,793— (SELL)
Apr 11, 11:12 PM0x26258051BUY0.501$2,794—
Apr 11, 10:23 PM0xbca696f9SELL0.999$1,669— (SELL)
Apr 11, 10:06 PM0x280af8e5SELL0.999$22.8K— (SELL)
Apr 11, 10:02 PM0x280af8e5BUY0.973$2,092Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 6, 04:34 AM0x73ade848BUY0.385$1,673Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 5, 02:34 AM0xe8dfe4aaBUY0.570$1,872—
Apr 5, 02:22 AM0x78d55081SELL0.999$8,215— (SELL)
Apr 5, 01:18 AM0x16d384d0BUY0.620$1,511Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 01:02 AM0x184e0924SELL0.999$9,989— (SELL)
Apr 4, 11:54 PM0xceb8e9b8BUY0.740$1,997Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 11:51 PM0xceb8e9b8BUY0.710$1,640Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 11:35 PM0xcd6d9b62SELL0.999$1,547— (SELL)
Apr 4, 11:12 PM0x652f865bSELL0.999$8,818— (SELL)
Apr 4, 11:07 PM0x652f865bBUY0.797$6,089Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 10:42 PM0xd9cbf690BUY0.660$1,773Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 10:06 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.184$1,155— (SELL)
Apr 4, 10:06 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.184$9,226— (SELL)
Apr 4, 09:43 PM0x69b2ff2cBUY0.509$3,238—
Apr 3, 07:21 AM0x707f4f2fBUY0.560$1,284—
Apr 3, 03:27 AM0x833cc6faSELL0.999$24.0K— (SELL)
Apr 3, 01:41 AM0x833cc6faBUY0.990$22.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 08:07 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.165$1,262Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 31, 03:32 AM0x26bcc867BUY0.120$1,196Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 30, 07:33 AMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?BUY YES0.935$4,190Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 05:50 AMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?BUY YES0.920$3,313Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 02:22 AM0x1b30bb47BUY0.440$10.1K—
Mar 29, 02:08 AM0x769ef9b3SELL0.999$9,989— (SELL)
Mar 29, 02:05 AM0x769ef9b3BUY0.400$3,370Killed band — neutral expectation
Mar 29, 01:50 AM0x1b30bb47BUY0.440$1,550—
Mar 29, 12:54 AM0x045c8b68SELL0.999$7,292— (SELL)
Mar 29, 12:42 AM0x045c8b68BUY0.750$1,125Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 29, 12:00 AM0xb4f7ea62SELL0.999$4,581— (SELL)
Mar 28, 11:40 PM0xb4f7ea62BUY0.754$4,545Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 11:27 PM0xef7ab871SELL0.999$5,486— (SELL)
Mar 28, 11:15 PM0x493b2fdaSELL0.999$17.1K— (SELL)
Mar 28, 11:09 PM0x493b2fdaBUY0.920$4,652Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 11:02 PM0x493b2fdaBUY0.880$3,580Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 09:57 PM0x789abc32SELL0.500$2,334— (SELL)
Mar 28, 09:54 PM0x789abc32BUY0.950$10.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 09:54 PM0x789abc32BUY0.870$12.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 09:53 PM0x789abc32BUY0.800$12.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 28, 09:22 PM0x174ae344BUY0.980$1,328Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 25, 08:46 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.145$1,041Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

54 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
0x833cc6fa—2$46.7K$-1,357
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)Sports3$46.7K$-13,280
0x789abc32—4$37.6K+$32.9K
UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)Sports2$34.9K$-158
UFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prelims)Sports5$33.3K$-15,190
0x84a7e30f—3$32.1K$-2,465
0x493b2fda—3$25.3K$-8,828
0x280af8e5—2$24.9K$-20,711
0x4b003509—2$24.6K$-7,951
0x13f7be3d—3$19.6K$-11,436
0x1c58e09f—2$18.5K$-4,870
0x8a6b6711—2$17.3K+$17.3K
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)Sports1$16.7K+$16.7K
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)Sports4$16.4K+$16.4K
0xe46b6dda—4$16.3K+$5,159
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)Sports2$15.8K$-12,766
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)Sports1$15.3K+$15.3K
0x652f865b—2$14.9K$-2,729
0x769ef9b3—2$13.4K$-6,619
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports4$12.7K$-8,078
0x1b30bb47—2$11.7K+$11.7K
UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)Sports3$11.3K+$8,903
0xf64498a1—1$11.0K$-11,035
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)Sports2$10.1K+$10.1K
0x184e0924—1$9,989$-9,989
0xd46c88e1—4$9,583+$5,155
0xb4f7ea62—2$9,126$-36
0x045c8b68—2$8,417$-6,167
0x78d55081—1$8,215$-8,214
0x6479a118—4$7,881+$4,180

Showing top 30 by volume.