65765757

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x2974…9c23 with our methodology badges per row.

0x2974bd0059e48f215c391882976e0f1b4c8c9c23·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

-34%

historical realized

Win rate

51.4%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$220.2K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 72 resolved trades · -34% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$802.2K

avg $4,011 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$426.6K / $375.6K

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 20, 05:09 PM	Israel closes its airspace by July 24?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,086	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 04:51 PM	Israel closes its airspace by July 24?	BUY NO	0.936	$1,080	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 04:43 PM	Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	BUY NO	0.840	$1,340	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 04:14 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	BUY NO	0.931	$9,996	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 04:08 PM	Israel closes its airspace by July 24?	BUY NO	0.939	$1,879	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 09:24 AM	Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	BUY NO	0.799	$1,280	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 08:17 AM	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	BUY NO	0.915	$1,358	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 07:52 AM	Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	BUY NO	0.760	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 07:52 AM	Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	SELL NO	0.701	$1,477	— (SELL)
Jul 20, 07:49 AM	Israel closes its airspace by July 24?	BUY NO	0.900	$4,238	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 07:46 AM	Israel closes its airspace by July 24?	BUY NO	0.890	$5,200	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 20, 07:46 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY NO	0.730	$17.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:23 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.591	$6,000	—
Jul 19, 09:22 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.591	$7,000	—
Jul 19, 09:18 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.591	$5,000	—
Jul 19, 09:07 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.591	$15.0K	—
Jul 18, 10:15 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.690	$13.8K	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:14 PM	Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?	SELL NO	0.999	$1,027	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 10:13 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.700	$7,000	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:44 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.694	$3,469	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:44 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.700	$4,200	— (SELL)
Jul 18, 09:43 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.700	$4,200	— (SELL)
Jul 16, 07:11 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	BUY NO	0.929	$1,530	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 16, 06:19 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	BUY NO	0.819	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 02:45 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	BUY NO	0.768	$2,033	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 02:44 PM	Israel closes its airspace by July 15?	SELL NO	0.986	$2,052	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 02:40 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	BUY NO	0.768	$1,548	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 02:40 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	BUY NO	0.764	$1,245	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 02:39 PM	Israel closes its airspace by July 15?	SELL NO	0.986	$1,972	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 02:34 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	BUY NO	0.759	$1,022	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 02:34 PM	Israel closes its airspace by July 15?	SELL NO	0.990	$1,033	— (SELL)
Jul 15, 09:03 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	BUY NO	0.768	$2,056	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:03 AM	Israel closes its airspace by July 15?	SELL NO	0.989	$2,077	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 08:24 PM	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	SELL NO	0.869	$2,679	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 08:23 PM	Israel closes its airspace by July 15?	BUY NO	0.963	$2,057	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 08:22 PM	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	SELL NO	0.948	$2,469	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 08:21 PM	Israel closes its airspace by July 15?	BUY NO	0.963	$2,753	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 08:17 PM	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	SELL NO	0.950	$3,249	— (SELL)
Jul 11, 12:25 PM	Iran full airspace closure by July 15?	BUY NO	0.926	$2,200	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 12:25 PM	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	SELL NO	0.942	$2,826	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 07:55 PM	Israel closes its airspace by July 15?	BUY NO	0.926	$1,410	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 07:55 PM	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	SELL NO	0.924	$1,849	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 07:24 PM	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	SELL NO	0.880	$1,052	— (SELL)
Jul 9, 04:15 AM	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	SELL NO	0.945	$1,060	— (SELL)
Jul 8, 06:41 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	BUY NO	0.907	$1,764	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 8, 06:25 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	BUY NO	0.901	$3,396	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:07 PM	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	BUY NO	0.959	$1,069	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 04:59 PM	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	BUY NO	0.968	$1,936	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 04:38 PM	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	BUY NO	0.940	$2,190	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 04:38 PM	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,836	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 10:05 PM	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	BUY NO	0.940	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 06:46 AM	Exact Score: Canada 3 - 2 Morocco?	BUY NO	0.990	$1,265	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 06:46 AM	Exact Score: Canada 3 - 3 Morocco?	BUY NO	0.993	$7,192	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 02:45 PM	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BUY NO	0.925	$3,545	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 02:45 PM	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	BUY NO	0.962	$7,812	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 02:44 PM	Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	BUY NO	0.890	$1,786	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 02:44 PM	Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	BUY NO	0.940	$2,995	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 06:12 PM	Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	BUY NO	0.920	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 08:26 AM	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	BUY NO	0.950	$1,829	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 07:54 AM	Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	BUY NO	0.870	$1,146	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 10:45 AM	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.900	$1,209	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 10:44 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.950	$3,573	— (SELL)
Jun 8, 03:04 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.860	$1,925	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 03:04 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.724	$2,175	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 03:04 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$4,100	— (SELL)
Jun 7, 03:13 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.840	$1,680	— (SELL)
Jun 7, 12:26 AM	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BUY NO	0.770	$1,663	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 12:26 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.840	$1,680	— (SELL)
Jun 6, 08:50 PM	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	BUY NO	0.800	$1,512	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 08:49 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.840	$1,512	— (SELL)
Jun 6, 08:46 PM	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.815	$1,123	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 08:45 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.840	$1,680	— (SELL)
Jun 6, 08:43 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.840	$1,680	— (SELL)
Jun 4, 03:49 AM	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.873	$2,837	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 03:48 AM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	SELL NO	0.932	$2,837	— (SELL)
Jun 3, 03:18 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.830	$2,490	— (SELL)
Jun 2, 11:40 PM	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.738	$1,450	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 11:38 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.830	$1,660	— (SELL)
Jun 1, 05:06 PM	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.849	$2,398	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 05:04 PM	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.848	$2,220	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 05:04 PM	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.840	$1,981	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 1, 04:47 PM	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	BUY NO	0.700	$2,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 09:51 PM	0x92485347	BUY YES	0.917	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 09:50 PM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.920	$3,117	— (SELL)
May 25, 09:47 PM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	BUY YES	0.850	$5,998	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 09:46 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.810	$8,100	— (SELL)
May 25, 09:41 PM	0xa743ce4a	BUY YES	0.895	$2,993	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 09:40 PM	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	SELL NO	0.881	$2,993	— (SELL)
May 25, 09:40 PM	0xa743ce4a	BUY YES	0.926	$1,609	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 09:39 PM	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	BUY NO	0.740	$1,194	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 09:38 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.810	$4,050	— (SELL)
May 25, 08:27 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	BUY YES	0.890	$2,584	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 08:25 AM	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	BUY NO	0.840	$1,654	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 08:25 AM	0xbf1d0865	BUY NO	0.920	$2,681	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 08:24 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	BUY YES	0.779	$2,779	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 08:22 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	BUY YES	0.830	$4,150	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 08:22 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	BUY YES	0.880	$6,129	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 08:21 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	BUY YES	0.820	$1,270	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 08:20 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	SELL YES	0.997	$19.6K	— (SELL)
May 25, 03:31 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	BUY YES	0.875	$4,970	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 03:31 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	SELL YES	0.994	$4,970	— (SELL)
May 25, 02:07 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	SELL YES	0.995	$2,985	— (SELL)
May 25, 02:06 AM	0xbdf0bbe0	BUY YES	0.900	$2,130	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 02:06 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	SELL YES	0.996	$2,131	— (SELL)
May 25, 02:05 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	BUY YES	0.840	$8,574	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 02:03 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	SELL YES	0.995	$9,950	— (SELL)
May 25, 01:00 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	BUY YES	0.840	$3,580	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 01:00 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	SELL YES	0.989	$3,560	— (SELL)
May 24, 10:49 PM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	SELL YES	0.981	$2,442	— (SELL)
May 24, 10:27 PM	0xe3578450	SELL NO	0.987	$1,184	— (SELL)
May 24, 02:02 AM	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	BUY NO	0.732	$2,462	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 02:01 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.821	$2,462	— (SELL)
May 24, 01:44 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	BUY YES	0.790	$2,409	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 01:43 AM	0x1eeb9106	SELL YES	0.997	$2,460	— (SELL)
May 24, 01:42 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	BUY YES	0.780	$1,994	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 01:42 AM	0x1eeb9106	SELL YES	0.997	$1,994	— (SELL)
May 24, 01:05 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	BUY YES	0.790	$4,652	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 01:01 AM	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	BUY NO	0.832	$2,200	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 01:00 AM	0x1eeb9106	SELL YES	0.992	$6,944	— (SELL)
May 24, 12:54 AM	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	BUY NO	0.815	$1,566	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 12:54 AM	0x1eeb9106	SELL YES	0.992	$2,976	— (SELL)
May 24, 12:45 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	BUY YES	0.790	$3,619	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 12:45 AM	0x1eeb9106	SELL YES	0.992	$3,619	— (SELL)
May 24, 12:43 AM	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	BUY NO	0.631	$1,804	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 12:42 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$1,804	— (SELL)
May 24, 12:41 AM	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	BUY NO	0.630	$5,740	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 12:41 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$5,740	— (SELL)
May 24, 12:40 AM	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	BUY NO	0.630	$2,460	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 12:40 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.820	$2,460	— (SELL)
May 23, 11:50 PM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	BUY YES	0.790	$1,972	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 11:50 PM	0x1eeb9106	SELL YES	0.986	$1,972	— (SELL)
May 23, 10:19 PM	0x92485347	BUY YES	0.920	$1,947	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 10:19 PM	0x1eeb9106	SELL YES	0.978	$1,957	— (SELL)
May 23, 12:37 PM	0x1eeb9106	BUY YES	0.890	$3,860	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 12:36 PM	0x1eeb9106	BUY YES	0.880	$5,997	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 11:24 AM	0x1eeb9106	BUY YES	0.900	$1,125	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 11:12 AM	0x1eeb9106	BUY YES	0.880	$1,865	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 04:00 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	SELL YES	0.998	$23.1K	— (SELL)
May 23, 03:42 AM	0x1eeb9106	BUY YES	0.880	$2,800	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 03:41 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	BUY YES	0.760	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 03:40 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	SELL YES	0.994	$4,970	— (SELL)
May 23, 03:07 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY NO	0.715	$16.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 03:06 AM	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	SELL NO	0.900	$16.9K	— (SELL)
May 23, 02:49 AM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.692	$1,385	— (SELL)
May 22, 09:35 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	BUY YES	0.810	$2,814	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 04:07 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	BUY YES	0.950	$26.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 04:06 AM	0x098afead	SELL NO	0.999	$26.9K	— (SELL)
May 22, 04:06 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	BUY YES	0.950	$1,367	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 04:05 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	BUY YES	0.750	$2,522	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 04:04 AM	0x4ba34832	BUY NO	0.880	$2,043	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 04:03 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	BUY YES	0.880	$18.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 04:02 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	BUY YES	0.870	$5,292	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 04:02 AM	0x098afead	SELL NO	0.999	$30.0K	— (SELL)
May 22, 02:56 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	BUY YES	0.870	$1,166	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 02:55 AM	0x098afead	SELL NO	0.992	$1,665	— (SELL)
May 22, 02:23 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	BUY YES	0.860	$4,961	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 02:22 AM	0x098afead	SELL NO	0.992	$4,960	— (SELL)
May 22, 02:20 AM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	BUY YES	0.860	$1,986	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 02:20 AM	0x098afead	SELL NO	0.993	$1,986	— (SELL)
May 22, 12:10 AM	0x4ba34832	BUY NO	0.860	$1,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 12:10 AM	0x098afead	SELL NO	0.987	$1,300	— (SELL)
May 21, 04:21 PM	0xdb22a774	BUY NO	0.799	$1,254	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 04:21 PM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	BUY YES	0.790	$2,373	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 04:20 PM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	BUY YES	0.780	$2,592	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 04:19 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.728	$7,278	— (SELL)
May 21, 04:06 PM	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	BUY YES	0.830	$6,820	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 04:06 PM	0x098afead	SELL NO	0.974	$6,819	— (SELL)
May 21, 03:45 PM	0x4ba34832	BUY NO	0.850	$1,253	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 03:45 PM	0x098afead	SELL NO	0.978	$1,253	— (SELL)
May 20, 06:07 PM	0xe3578450	BUY NO	0.800	$1,266	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 06:07 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.720	$1,969	— (SELL)
May 20, 06:01 PM	0x4ba34832	BUY NO	0.800	$1,173	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 06:00 PM	0x4ba34832	BUY NO	0.800	$1,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 06:00 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.719	$2,991	— (SELL)
May 19, 11:51 PM	0x098afead	BUY NO	0.850	$9,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 11:51 PM	0xe3033b16	SELL NO	0.995	$10.2K	— (SELL)
May 19, 11:23 PM	0x098afead	BUY NO	0.840	$2,063	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 11:23 PM	0x652002aa	SELL YES	0.986	$2,063	— (SELL)
May 19, 11:08 PM	0x098afead	BUY NO	0.840	$4,705	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 11:08 PM	0x098afead	BUY NO	0.830	$1,613	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 11:05 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.677	$6,771	— (SELL)
May 19, 11:02 PM	0x098afead	BUY NO	0.830	$2,801	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 11:01 PM	0xe3033b16	BUY NO	0.890	$1,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 10:44 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.680	$8,160	— (SELL)
May 19, 10:39 PM	0x098afead	BUY NO	0.830	$1,126	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 10:36 PM	0xe3033b16	BUY NO	0.890	$1,753	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 10:36 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.680	$3,400	— (SELL)
May 19, 10:30 PM	0x098afead	BUY NO	0.830	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 10:23 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.680	$6,800	— (SELL)
May 19, 10:18 PM	0x098afead	BUY NO	0.860	$6,800	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 10:18 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.680	$6,800	— (SELL)
May 19, 10:17 PM	0x098afead	BUY NO	0.816	$6,800	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 10:17 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.680	$6,800	— (SELL)
May 19, 03:15 PM	0x098afead	BUY NO	0.930	$3,665	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 03:14 PM	0xe3578450	BUY NO	0.812	$1,485	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 03:14 PM	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL NO	0.710	$5,680	— (SELL)
May 19, 09:24 AM	0x098afead	BUY NO	0.900	$1,812	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 02:29 AM	0xbd5922ee	SELL NO	0.998	$1,999	— (SELL)
May 17, 09:53 PM	0x098afead	BUY NO	0.840	$3,584	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 09:52 PM	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	SELL YES	0.999	$3,686	— (SELL)

Markets active in

49 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Other	32	$164.8K	$-98,801
0x098afead	—	20	$123.4K	$-26,258
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Other	14	$86.1K	$-5,043
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Other	4	$55.5K	$-751
0x1eeb9106	—	12	$37.6K	$-6,275
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Tech	4	$33.0K	+$33.0K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Other	5	$25.8K	+$25.8K
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Other	6	$19.3K	$-3,641
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Other	8	$18.9K	+$11.4K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Other	1	$16.9K	$-16,888
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Other	5	$16.3K	+$16.3K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	Other	8	$15.1K	+$15.1K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Other	5	$14.6K	+$14.6K
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?	Tech	5	$13.5K	+$13.5K
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?	Tech	7	$13.4K	$-914
0xe3033b16	—	3	$13.2K	$-7,102
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	Tech	6	$11.8K	+$11.8K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	Other	1	$9,996	+$9,996
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Tech	4	$8,202	+$8,202
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 3 Morocco?	Other	1	$7,192	+$7,192
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Other	4	$7,031	+$7,031
0x4ba34832	—	5	$6,769	+$6,769
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Tech	3	$6,416	+$742
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Other	2	$5,420	+$5,420
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Tech	3	$5,273	+$5,273
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Other	2	$5,208	+$5,208
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	Other	2	$5,193	$-793
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Tech	2	$4,618	+$4,618
0xa743ce4a	—	2	$4,602	+$4,602
0x92485347	—	2	$3,947	+$3,947

Showing top 30 by volume.