Back to whale feed
0x241F...e15a
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x241f…e15a with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
11
lifetime
PnL per $
+433%
historical realized
Win rate
53.6%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$41.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.
Trades (90d)
22
Distinct markets
10
Volume (90d)
$71.4K
avg $3,245 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$17.9K / $53.5K
net direction
Recent trades
last 22 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 04:29 PM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.900 | $3,600 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 3, 10:37 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.900 | $7,200 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 3, 10:34 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.910 | $7,280 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 3, 09:56 AM | Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY YES | 0.840 | $1,349 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 26, 11:42 AM | Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY YES | 0.900 | $1,450 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 06:50 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.962 | $4,810 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 06:25 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $4,700 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 07:59 PM | 0x366f8964 | SELL NO | 0.960 | $4,800 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 09:54 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $3,958 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 02:51 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $1,743 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 10:08 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.930 | $2,790 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 07:35 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.900 | $2,700 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 04:39 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $2,090 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 10:46 PM | 0x53098776 | SELL NO | 0.994 | $1,988 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 04:42 PM | 0x53098776 | SELL NO | 0.950 | $1,370 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 04:41 PM | 0x53098776 | SELL NO | 0.949 | $2,556 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 09:30 PM | 0x53098776 | SELL NO | 0.960 | $1,440 | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 11:38 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.920 | $2,714 | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 05:13 PM | 0x1db02ba5 | SELL NO | 0.998 | $2,388 | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 03:14 PM | 0x1db02ba5 | SELL NO | 0.997 | $2,385 | — (SELL) |
| May 12, 08:55 AM | 0x1db02ba5 | SELL NO | 0.985 | $4,178 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 10:22 PM | 0x1db02ba5 | SELL NO | 0.951 | $3,898 | — (SELL) |
Markets active in
10 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Finance | 3 | $18.1K | $-3,520 |
| 0x1db02ba5 | — | 4 | $12.8K | $-12,850 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Other | 4 | $9,947 | $-6,460 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Other | 2 | $9,510 | $-9,510 |
| 0x53098776 | — | 4 | $7,354 | $-7,354 |
| 0x366f8964 | — | 1 | $4,800 | $-4,800 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | Other | 1 | $3,958 | +$3,958 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | Other | 1 | $2,090 | +$2,090 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026? | Tech | 1 | $1,450 | +$1,450 |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026? | Tech | 1 | $1,349 | +$1,349 |