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BISTURI

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x22e4…66e5 with our methodology badges per row.

0x22e4a734845a79da7548676afec5cefb412d66e5·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
6
lifetime
PnL per $
+0%
historical realized
Win rate
100.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$32.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 6 resolved trades · 0% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
14
Distinct markets
13
Volume (90d)
$67.7K
avg $4,837 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$67.7K / $0
net direction

Recent trades

last 14 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 06:46 PMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY YES0.999$11.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 06:45 PMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY YES0.998$4,191Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 05:48 AMWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?BUY NO0.998$3,503Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 05:45 AMPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?BUY NO0.998$1,068Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 08:28 AMFrench election called by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.997$9,834Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 06:05 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?BUY NO0.998$2,913Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 06:00 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?BUY NO0.998$3,873Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 05:53 PMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?BUY NO0.998$1,211Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 05:23 PMWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY NO0.999$4,995Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 04:57 PMWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 6?BUY NO0.999$1,903Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 05:58 AM0x789c947aBUY NO0.999$6,998Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 06:49 AM0x6e235eb1BUY NO0.998$1,996Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 11:57 AM0xffe381a8BUY NO0.998$7,677Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 07:57 PM0x1480b819BUY YES0.999$6,010Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

13 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Politics2$15.7K+$15.7K
French election called by June 30, 2026?Politics1$9,834+$9,834
0xffe381a81$7,677+$7,677
0x789c947a1$6,998+$6,998
0x1480b8191$6,010+$6,010
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech1$4,995+$4,995
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?Tech1$3,873+$3,873
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?Crypto1$3,503+$3,503
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?Tech1$2,913+$2,913
0x6e235eb11$1,996+$1,996
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 6?Crypto1$1,903+$1,903
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?Tech1$1,211+$1,211
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Politics1$1,068+$1,068