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AlexCimmeria
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x21c7…191a with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
3
lifetime
PnL per $
-100%
historical realized
Win rate
0.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$18.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 3 resolved trades · -100% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
4
Distinct markets
3
Volume (90d)
$21.8K
avg $5,459 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$16.9K / $4,935
net direction
Recent trades
last 4 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 01:26 AM | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY YES | 0.530 | $10.1K | — |
| Jul 19, 01:19 AM | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | SELL NO | 0.470 | $4,935 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 3, 10:02 PM | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.790 | $1,019 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 02:39 AM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.090 | $5,811 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
Markets active in
3 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | Tech | 2 | $15.0K | +$5,135 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Politics | 1 | $5,811 | +$5,811 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Other | 1 | $1,019 | +$1,019 |