swisstony

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x204f…5e14 with our methodology badges per row.

0x204f72f35326db932158cba6adff0b9a1da95e14·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

5,602

lifetime

PnL per $

-2%

historical realized

Win rate

72.6%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$14.43M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 5602 resolved trades · -2% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$808.9K

avg $4,044 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$808.9K / $0

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jun 21, 12:45 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.750	$4,498	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:43 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.740	$2,142	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:43 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.740	$8,334	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:41 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.760	$11.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:41 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.760	$2,665	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:41 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.760	$7,812	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:40 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.930	$3,503	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:39 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.760	$4,466	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:39 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.760	$13.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:39 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.750	$1,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:38 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.750	$1,093	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:38 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.750	$1,085	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:38 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.921	$2,643	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:38 AM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.820	$2,350	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:38 AM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.820	$2,739	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:38 AM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.820	$2,378	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:37 AM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.670	$4,123	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:37 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.926	$2,815	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:36 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.926	$3,037	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:34 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.925	$2,818	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:31 AM	Ecuador leading at halftime?	BUY NO	0.580	$1,475	—
Jun 21, 12:31 AM	Ecuador leading at halftime?	BUY NO	0.580	$1,174	—
Jun 21, 12:29 AM	Ecuador leading at halftime?	BUY NO	0.570	$1,365	—
Jun 21, 12:28 AM	Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.680	$2,889	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:28 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.770	$13.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:28 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.770	$17.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:28 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.770	$15.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:27 AM	Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.660	$1,934	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:27 AM	Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.650	$3,773	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:27 AM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.850	$1,845	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:25 AM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.670	$9,999	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:25 AM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.670	$3,915	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:25 AM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY YES	0.670	$9,972	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:23 AM	Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.380	$1,725	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 12:21 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.180	$1,894	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 12:17 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.180	$2,357	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 12:16 AM	Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.640	$1,862	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:15 AM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.330	$1,846	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 12:15 AM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.330	$7,285	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 12:15 AM	Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.630	$2,703	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:15 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.820	$8,472	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:15 AM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,526	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:14 AM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.330	$2,665	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 12:14 AM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.330	$1,211	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 12:14 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.180	$1,014	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 12:13 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.180	$2,305	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 12:13 AM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.330	$1,774	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 12:13 AM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.330	$2,517	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 12:13 AM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.330	$1,553	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 12:07 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.830	$2,136	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:07 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.950	$2,689	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:07 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.830	$6,348	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:07 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.830	$1,028	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:07 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.820	$7,797	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:06 AM	Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.670	$2,088	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:03 AM	Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.650	$5,462	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:03 AM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.890	$12.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:03 AM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.890	$7,295	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:03 AM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.890	$2,778	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:03 AM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.890	$1,780	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:03 AM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.890	$1,174	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:01 AM	Ecuador leading at halftime?	BUY NO	0.340	$2,197	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 21, 12:01 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.949	$2,050	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:01 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.949	$1,376	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:01 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.949	$2,038	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:01 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.949	$1,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:01 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.949	$2,733	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:01 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.949	$2,705	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:01 AM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.949	$2,705	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 21, 12:00 AM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.900	$1,846	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:59 PM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.900	$1,140	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:59 PM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.900	$1,603	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:59 PM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.900	$1,149	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:59 PM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.900	$5,167	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:53 PM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.057	$6,865	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 11:53 PM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.900	$3,502	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:53 PM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.900	$9,393	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:51 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$7,057	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:51 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,111	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:51 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$2,908	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:51 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$2,033	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:51 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$2,648	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:51 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,463	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:51 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$7,975	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:51 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,048	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:50 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$2,907	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:50 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,098	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:50 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,573	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:50 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$3,656	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:50 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,523	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:50 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$3,048	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:50 PM	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.900	$5,840	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:50 PM	Curaçao leading at halftime?	BUY NO	0.938	$1,243	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:50 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,733	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:50 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,021	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:50 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$3,062	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:49 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,206	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:49 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,063	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:49 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,368	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:49 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,023	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:49 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,120	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:49 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,753	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:47 PM	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.330	$1,019	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 11:44 PM	Curaçao leading at halftime?	BUY NO	0.938	$1,116	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:43 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$1,864	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:41 PM	Curaçao leading at halftime?	BUY NO	0.937	$1,359	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:31 PM	Curaçao leading at halftime?	BUY NO	0.936	$1,817	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:31 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$1,973	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:31 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$1,381	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:28 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$1,579	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:28 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$1,794	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:27 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$3,331	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:25 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$2,198	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:25 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$5,721	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:25 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$16.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 11:25 PM	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.880	$7,425	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:50 PM	Curaçao leading at halftime?	BUY NO	0.941	$4,504	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:49 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$3,806	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:45 PM	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.968	$3,064	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:45 PM	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	BUY NO	0.967	$1,834	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:41 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$1,110	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:13 PM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.945	$2,427	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:13 PM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.945	$12.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:13 PM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.945	$2,637	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:13 PM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.945	$6,229	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:09 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$17.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:09 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$1,423	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:09 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$4,918	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:09 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$1,891	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:06 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$4,685	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:06 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$2,379	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:06 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$1,118	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:06 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$7,704	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:06 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$7,955	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:06 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$2,604	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:06 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$6,142	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:06 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.840	$1,273	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 10:05 PM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.946	$6,272	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:55 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.880	$11.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:54 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.790	$8,836	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:54 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.930	$14.1K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:54 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.780	$1,789	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:54 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.780	$1,599	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:54 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.780	$1,277	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:53 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.910	$12.5K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:53 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.150	$1,959	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:52 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.170	$1,197	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:52 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.900	$2,836	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:50 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.890	$4,745	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:50 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.270	$1,159	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 20, 09:49 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.900	$6,490	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:49 PM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.945	$3,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:48 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.220	$1,596	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 20, 09:48 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.220	$1,237	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 20, 09:47 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.230	$2,300	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 20, 09:44 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.280	$3,719	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 20, 09:44 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.420	$1,981	—
Jun 20, 09:44 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.860	$1,664	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:44 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.420	$1,384	—
Jun 20, 09:44 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.120	$1,383	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:43 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.430	$4,277	—
Jun 20, 09:42 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.460	$1,342	—
Jun 20, 09:42 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.860	$3,529	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:42 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.310	$3,400	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:40 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.370	$4,062	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:38 PM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.944	$3,313	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:37 PM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.944	$2,247	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:35 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.390	$5,558	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:35 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.390	$2,541	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:34 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.390	$1,735	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:33 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.130	$1,597	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:33 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.590	$2,256	—
Jun 20, 09:32 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.860	$5,435	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:32 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.860	$1,569	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:32 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.450	$1,553	—
Jun 20, 09:32 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.590	$7,926	—
Jun 20, 09:32 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.450	$1,848	—
Jun 20, 09:31 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.400	$1,966	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:27 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.450	$4,075	—
Jun 20, 09:27 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.700	$1,823	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:26 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.460	$8,126	—
Jun 20, 09:26 PM	Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.410	$1,651	—
Jun 20, 09:25 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.820	$1,396	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:25 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.820	$9,870	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:24 PM	Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.390	$1,473	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:23 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.470	$9,491	—
Jun 20, 09:22 PM	Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.370	$1,553	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 20, 09:22 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.470	$9,491	—
Jun 20, 09:22 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.470	$9,491	—
Jun 20, 09:20 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.480	$4,027	—
Jun 20, 09:20 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.480	$1,779	—
Jun 20, 09:18 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.480	$5,873	—
Jun 20, 09:16 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.470	$4,120	—
Jun 20, 09:16 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.220	$2,495	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 20, 09:16 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.470	$20.6K	—
Jun 20, 09:16 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.470	$5,161	—
Jun 20, 09:16 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	BUY YES	0.470	$9,491	—
Jun 20, 09:16 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.760	$12.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:16 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.700	$9,318	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:15 PM	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	BUY NO	0.947	$1,600	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

13 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Other	42	$213.8K	+$213.8K
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	Other	23	$147.6K	+$147.6K
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	Other	28	$87.4K	+$87.4K
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Other	23	$79.8K	+$79.8K
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Other	19	$79.5K	+$79.5K
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Other	18	$66.4K	+$66.4K
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Other	12	$47.9K	+$47.9K
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Other	13	$38.2K	+$38.2K
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score	Other	8	$22.4K	+$22.4K
Curaçao leading at halftime?	Other	5	$10.0K	+$10.0K
Ecuador leading at halftime?	Other	4	$6,211	+$6,211
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Other	2	$4,898	+$4,898
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score	Other	3	$4,677	+$4,677