| Jul 18, 10:14 AM | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY YES | 0.979 | $2,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 18, 10:13 AM | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.841 | $2,440 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 17, 02:19 PM | NATO article 5 before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.927 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 17, 02:17 PM | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.854 | $2,561 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 16, 10:01 PM | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY YES | 0.982 | $6,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 16, 09:03 AM | NATO article 5 before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 02:19 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 15, 02:15 PM | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $1,258 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 09:00 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $3,060 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 08:58 PM | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | SELL YES | 0.949 | $3,060 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 08:45 PM | Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $11.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 02:57 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $2,921 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 02:56 PM | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.975 | $2,925 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 14, 02:50 PM | NATO article 5 before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 14, 09:23 AM | 0x4b7b21a5 | BUY NO | 0.950 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 02:30 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 07:15 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $2,730 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 07:14 AM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $2,730 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 13, 07:10 AM | 0x4b7b21a5 | BUY NO | 0.948 | $3,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 13, 07:09 AM | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.975 | $3,901 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 12, 07:56 PM | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY YES | 0.930 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 07:55 PM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $2,730 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 12, 12:26 PM | 0x4b7b21a5 | BUY NO | 0.942 | $2,924 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 12:25 PM | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.976 | $2,928 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 12, 11:39 AM | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 11:38 AM | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.976 | $2,929 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 12, 09:07 AM | Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $20.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 12, 08:43 AM | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.977 | $2,931 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 12, 08:42 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 8, 01:19 PM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 08:54 PM | Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Colombia? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $20.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 02:45 PM | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $20.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 7, 10:38 AM | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.908 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 01:24 PM | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.902 | $4,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 6, 08:50 AM | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 4, 09:22 AM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jul 2, 08:35 AM | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.888 | $4,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 10:58 AM | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY NO | 0.973 | $20.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 07:10 PM | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $20.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 24, 02:58 PM | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.865 | $3,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 02:57 PM | Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $2,991 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 24, 08:05 AM | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.845 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 24, 08:05 AM | 0x495e6b49 | SELL NO | 0.996 | $2,988 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 21, 07:57 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 07:54 AM | Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $1,992 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 03:36 PM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 01:20 PM | 0xc18b1b9c | SELL YES | 0.995 | $2,057 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 04:30 PM | 0xc18b1b9c | BUY YES | 0.967 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 11:30 AM | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 4, 11:17 AM | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.893 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 07:46 AM | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 12:38 PM | NATO article 5 before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.855 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 12:47 PM | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.879 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 11:23 AM | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 08:39 PM | NATO article 5 before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 09:46 AM | NATO article 5 before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 10:44 AM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $4,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 07:47 AM | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $20.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 07:45 AM | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL NO | 0.984 | $20.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 06:43 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $15.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 09:23 AM | 0x8c3455f1 | BUY YES | 0.986 | $4,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 06:34 AM | 0x9f1b7421 | BUY NO | 0.996 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 07:15 PM | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.920 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 01:47 PM | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.913 | $15.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 01:46 PM | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.975 | $15.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 11:49 AM | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY NO | 0.922 | $20.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 11, 11:49 AM | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $20.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 07:55 PM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 08:44 PM | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $20.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 07:57 PM | 0x99783ea5 | BUY NO | 0.997 | $9,377 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 07:57 PM | 0x99783ea5 | BUY NO | 0.983 | $10.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 07:37 PM | Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.972 | $10,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 8, 07:00 PM | 0xa93b28a6 | SELL NO | 0.593 | $5,933 | — (SELL) |
| May 8, 02:28 PM | 0x8c3455f1 | BUY YES | 0.980 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |