Ru386

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x1d60…453d with our methodology badges per row.

0x1d603dad31fac599c1de6b6002d066993460453d·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

231

lifetime

PnL per $

-23%

historical realized

Win rate

51.8%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$706.8K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 231 resolved trades · -23% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

105

Volume (90d)

$619.6K

avg $3,098 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$425.1K / $194.5K

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 19, 11:35 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.999	$2,899	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 11:35 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.999	$58.1K	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:43 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.050	$2,233	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:40 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	SELL NO	0.998	$2,719	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:25 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.689	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:24 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.688	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:24 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.317	$4,697	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 09:24 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.690	$2,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:22 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	SELL YES	0.999	$4,129	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:56 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	SELL YES	0.999	$1,281	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 07:41 PM	Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Open Championship?	SELL YES	0.998	$4,214	— (SELL)
Jul 19, 03:53 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.591	$2,000	—
Jul 15, 07:41 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.223	$2,483	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 10:44 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.198	$2,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 09:21 PM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.231	$3,000	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 07:38 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.223	$1,683	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 07:32 PM	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?	BUY NO	0.900	$1,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:29 PM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.243	$2,271	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 03:52 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.713	$2,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 03:52 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	BUY NO	0.608	$4,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 03:05 AM	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.998	$3,066	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 03:05 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	SELL NO	0.998	$1,895	— (SELL)
Jul 12, 02:47 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.684	$1,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 12, 12:59 AM	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.855	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:07 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.765	$1,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:06 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.765	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:03 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BUY NO	0.772	$4,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 07:34 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BUY YES	0.828	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 7, 05:02 PM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	BUY NO	0.720	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:24 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.810	$1,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 6, 02:20 AM	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.106	$1,393	— (SELL)
Jul 6, 02:17 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	SELL YES	0.460	$1,499	— (SELL)
Jul 5, 12:22 AM	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.800	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 04:12 AM	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	BUY NO	0.610	$1,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 04:12 AM	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	BUY YES	0.310	$1,100	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 04:11 AM	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	BUY NO	0.670	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 4, 02:54 AM	Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.880	$2,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 09:29 AM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	BUY YES	0.350	$2,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 3, 09:29 AM	Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	BUY NO	0.740	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 09:29 AM	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.410	$3,000	—
Jul 2, 05:41 AM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.850	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 03:26 AM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.357	$3,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 03:17 AM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.353	$1,100	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 2, 02:28 AM	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	BUY YES	0.650	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 2, 12:44 AM	Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	BUY NO	0.920	$1,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 11:08 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.910	$1,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 10:07 PM	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.900	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 09:58 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	SELL NO	0.962	$7,864	— (SELL)
Jul 1, 09:54 PM	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?	BUY YES	0.800	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 09:52 PM	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?	BUY YES	0.741	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 09:50 PM	Senegal leading at halftime?	SELL YES	0.999	$2,380	— (SELL)
Jul 1, 09:46 PM	Belgium vs. Senegal: Second half draw?	BUY NO	0.913	$1,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 09:43 PM	Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal?	BUY YES	0.532	$1,400	—
Jul 1, 09:36 PM	Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Senegal?	SELL NO	0.999	$1,177	— (SELL)
Jul 1, 08:56 PM	Belgium vs. Senegal: Second half draw?	BUY YES	0.320	$1,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 08:50 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.770	$4,200	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 08:36 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.780	$1,096	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 08:32 PM	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	BUY YES	0.250	$1,000	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 1, 05:51 PM	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?	BUY YES	0.725	$1,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 05:45 PM	Harry Kane: 1+ goals	SELL YES	0.999	$3,443	— (SELL)
Jul 1, 05:05 PM	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.320	$1,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 05:04 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.590	$1,100	—
Jul 1, 05:04 PM	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.740	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 04:58 PM	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.320	$1,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 04:49 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	BUY NO	0.590	$2,000	—
Jul 1, 01:09 PM	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	BUY YES	0.710	$1,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 03:54 AM	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador?	BUY YES	0.860	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 03:23 AM	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador?	BUY YES	0.367	$1,097	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 03:08 AM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.333	$2,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 03:08 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.101	$1,400	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 03:07 AM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.189	$2,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 03:07 AM	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.333	$2,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 03:03 AM	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?	BUY YES	0.220	$1,300	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 1, 03:03 AM	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?	BUY YES	0.218	$1,300	Cheap band — no rep
Jul 1, 03:03 AM	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Ecuador?	BUY YES	0.167	$1,300	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 01:13 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.770	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 1, 01:12 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.770	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 11:07 PM	Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.340	$1,100	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 11:07 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.780	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 11:07 PM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.570	$2,000	—
Jun 30, 09:50 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	BUY YES	0.860	$6,900	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 09:43 PM	France leading at halftime?	BUY YES	0.219	$1,800	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 30, 09:43 PM	France vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?	BUY YES	0.780	$5,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 09:43 PM	France leading at halftime?	SELL YES	0.226	$1,235	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 09:20 PM	France leading at halftime?	BUY YES	0.440	$1,100	—
Jun 30, 09:14 PM	Sweden leading at halftime?	BUY YES	0.117	$1,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 09:08 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	BUY YES	0.750	$1,200	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 06:50 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	BUY YES	0.860	$3,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 05:37 PM	Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?	BUY YES	0.739	$1,031	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 05:32 PM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?	BUY YES	0.300	$1,100	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 30, 05:23 PM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	BUY YES	0.390	$3,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 30, 11:24 AM	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.740	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 11:12 AM	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	BUY NO	0.570	$2,000	—
Jun 30, 11:11 AM	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	BUY YES	0.720	$2,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 11:10 AM	Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?	BUY NO	0.910	$1,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 02:54 AM	Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.850	$5,842	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 02:52 AM	Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.504	$1,134	— (SELL)
Jun 30, 02:42 AM	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.740	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 02:36 AM	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.740	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 01:30 AM	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	BUY NO	0.640	$1,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 01:11 AM	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	BUY NO	0.610	$1,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 11:47 PM	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	BUY NO	0.600	$1,300	—
Jun 29, 11:47 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?	BUY NO	0.720	$1,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 09:06 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.690	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 06:51 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.155	$1,477	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 06:50 PM	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.765	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 06:38 PM	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.570	$2,000	—
Jun 29, 06:28 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	SELL NO	0.880	$4,627	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 06:23 PM	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.410	$1,118	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 06:23 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	SELL NO	0.550	$1,414	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 06:20 PM	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.610	$1,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 06:19 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	SELL YES	0.445	$4,861	— (SELL)
Jun 29, 06:15 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	BUY NO	0.540	$2,000	—
Jun 29, 05:54 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.230	$2,000	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 29, 05:43 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.255	$1,000	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 29, 05:42 PM	Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.737	$3,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 05:37 PM	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.300	$2,500	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 29, 05:34 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	BUY NO	0.610	$1,200	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 12:09 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	BUY YES	0.730	$3,659	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 08:57 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	SELL YES	0.999	$11.0K	— (SELL)
Jun 28, 08:35 PM	Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Canada?	BUY YES	0.241	$1,000	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 28, 08:33 PM	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	BUY NO	0.890	$3,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 02:26 PM	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	BUY YES	0.590	$3,000	—
Jun 28, 02:24 PM	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	BUY NO	0.850	$1,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 02:23 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	BUY NO	0.820	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 02:16 AM	Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?	BUY NO	0.806	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 28, 12:35 AM	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	BUY NO	0.560	$4,000	—
Jun 28, 12:35 AM	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	BUY NO	0.790	$14.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 11:18 PM	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.580	$1,200	—
Jun 27, 11:18 PM	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	BUY NO	0.830	$1,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 11:16 PM	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	BUY NO	0.750	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 11:16 PM	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	BUY NO	0.770	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 10:43 PM	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	BUY NO	0.179	$1,100	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 09:41 PM	Panama vs. England: Draw at halftime?	BUY YES	0.761	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 09:39 PM	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	BUY YES	0.770	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 09:26 PM	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	BUY NO	0.480	$2,000	—
Jun 27, 04:45 AM	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.730	$2,185	— (SELL)
Jun 27, 03:55 AM	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.760	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 03:55 AM	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.440	$2,000	—
Jun 27, 02:36 AM	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.730	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 01:27 AM	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.778	$1,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 01:27 AM	Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.520	$1,200	—
Jun 27, 12:53 AM	Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.420	$4,000	—
Jun 27, 12:53 AM	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.720	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 27, 12:53 AM	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	SELL YES	0.294	$2,383	— (SELL)
Jun 26, 10:33 PM	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.620	$4,100	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 07:59 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.954	$15.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 07:40 PM	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.960	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 12:06 PM	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.080	$1,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 12:05 PM	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.800	$1,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 11:59 AM	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	BUY YES	0.370	$4,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 11:56 AM	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.410	$3,000	—
Jun 26, 11:56 AM	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.800	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 11:49 AM	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	BUY NO	0.400	$5,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 03:50 AM	Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.730	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 03:48 AM	Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.670	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 03:46 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	SELL NO	0.770	$7,368	— (SELL)
Jun 26, 02:29 AM	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.810	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 02:28 AM	Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.500	$1,500	—
Jun 26, 02:14 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.490	$2,000	—
Jun 26, 02:11 AM	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.350	$1,200	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 02:11 AM	Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.614	$2,200	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 02:10 AM	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.750	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 26, 02:09 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.290	$3,000	Cheap band — no rep
Jun 26, 12:34 AM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	SELL NO	0.759	$5,905	— (SELL)
Jun 25, 11:33 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.613	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 11:30 PM	Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.640	$1,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 11:29 PM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.617	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 09:55 PM	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	SELL NO	0.942	$3,467	— (SELL)
Jun 25, 09:55 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	SELL YES	0.945	$5,385	— (SELL)
Jun 25, 09:52 PM	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.896	$3,300	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 09:51 PM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.877	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 09:35 PM	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.495	$1,500	—
Jun 25, 08:51 PM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.560	$9,000	—
Jun 25, 10:46 AM	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.829	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 10:46 AM	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.490	$2,500	—
Jun 25, 10:44 AM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.359	$3,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 25, 10:44 AM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	SELL YES	0.641	$3,994	— (SELL)
Jun 25, 10:44 AM	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	BUY YES	0.642	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 10:42 AM	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	BUY NO	0.490	$3,000	—
Jun 25, 02:48 AM	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	SELL YES	0.848	$7,483	— (SELL)
Jun 25, 02:05 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.635	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 02:01 AM	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	SELL NO	0.760	$2,714	— (SELL)
Jun 25, 01:25 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.550	$2,000	—
Jun 25, 01:24 AM	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	SELL YES	0.450	$1,144	— (SELL)
Jun 25, 12:24 AM	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.170	$3,000	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 25, 12:21 AM	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.840	$3,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 25, 12:00 AM	Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.970	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 11:44 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	SELL YES	0.870	$9,571	— (SELL)
Jun 24, 11:36 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.500	$2,000	—
Jun 24, 10:23 PM	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.820	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 10:19 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.570	$6,100	—
Jun 24, 10:19 PM	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.830	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 08:33 PM	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.970	$10,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 03:42 PM	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	BUY NO	0.910	$4,400	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 03:39 PM	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	BUY YES	0.830	$4,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 24, 03:33 AM	Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	SELL YES	0.509	$1,379	— (SELL)
Jun 24, 02:15 AM	DR Congo leading at halftime?	BUY NO	0.912	$1,500	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 23, 09:22 PM	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	SELL YES	0.560	$2,035	— (SELL)
Jun 23, 09:01 PM	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	SELL YES	0.660	$4,792	— (SELL)

Markets active in

105 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Tech	5	$66.9K	$-49,262
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Other	3	$28.0K	+$28.0K
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Other	4	$21.7K	+$2,529
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Other	4	$20.0K	+$12.0K
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	Other	4	$16.2K	$-4,197
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	6	$15.8K	$-3,829
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Other	2	$15.4K	+$15.4K
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Other	4	$14.9K	+$3,095
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Other	4	$14.9K	+$132
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Other	4	$14.2K	$-1,568
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Other	2	$14.0K	$-7,956
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Other	6	$13.3K	+$702
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	Other	3	$12.4K	+$1,615
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	6	$12.1K	+$4,147
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Other	4	$10.8K	+$1,573
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Other	1	$10.0K	+$10.0K
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Crypto	5	$9,500	+$9,500
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?	Other	3	$9,200	+$9,200
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Other	3	$8,267	+$1,333
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Other	3	$8,200	+$8,200
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	Other	3	$8,144	+$5,856
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Other	2	$8,100	+$8,100
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Other	2	$8,000	+$8,000
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Other	4	$7,618	+$5,382
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?	Other	2	$7,000	+$7,000
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Crypto	2	$6,976	+$4,708
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	3	$6,876	$-876
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Other	2	$6,826	$-6,826
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?	Other	2	$6,600	+$6,600
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Other	2	$6,383	+$1,617

Showing top 30 by volume.