| Jun 21, 02:16 AM | Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | BUY NO | 0.320 | $1,000 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 21, 02:14 AM | Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $9,200 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 21, 01:37 AM | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.510 | $1,100 | —— |
| Jun 21, 01:19 AM | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | SELL YES | 0.580 | $5,003 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 21, 12:37 AM | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | BUY NO | 0.250 | $2,000 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 21, 12:14 AM | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $4,400 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 10:19 PM | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.840 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 10:18 PM | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.840 | $1,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 09:51 PM | Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.730 | $1,892 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 09:50 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | SELL YES | 0.170 | $1,126 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 20, 09:48 PM | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $1,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 08:31 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.396 | $1,800 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 20, 08:16 PM | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $5,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:55 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.670 | $2,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:53 PM | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $7,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:53 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.670 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 05:05 AM | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 05:04 AM | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $5,190 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 05:04 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $6,793 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 03:28 AM | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY YES | 0.770 | $1,300 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 03:27 AM | Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $1,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 03:26 AM | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY YES | 0.630 | $1,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 03:24 AM | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY YES | 0.810 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 11:12 PM | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 11:09 PM | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 11:03 PM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.470 | $2,000 | —— |
| Jun 12, 10:24 AM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.194 | $3,000 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 10:10 AM | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | BUY YES | 0.520 | $1,500 | —— |
| Jun 11, 11:14 PM | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY NO | 0.630 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 02:43 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.748 | $3,620 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 01:13 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.678 | $6,055 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 12:55 AM | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $1,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 12:54 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.711 | $11.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 01:56 AM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.145 | $1,276 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 01:05 AM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.228 | $1,225 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 12:39 AM | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL YES | 0.939 | $1,261 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 11:42 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.976 | $2,518 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 11:28 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,355 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 09:42 AM | Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-05-30? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,949 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 03:54 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.309 | $6,500 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 29, 01:57 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL NO | 0.991 | $1,140 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 11:50 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.283 | $1,500 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 27, 12:32 PM | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.833 | $2,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 12:17 PM | Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY YES | 0.699 | $1,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 12:02 PM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY YES | 0.790 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 12:00 PM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.580 | $5,100 | —— |
| May 27, 10:45 AM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.590 | $2,000 | —— |
| May 27, 10:09 AM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY YES | 0.790 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 04:29 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.287 | $2,000 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 27, 04:29 AM | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.581 | $3,000 | —— |
| May 26, 01:39 AM | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL NO | 0.948 | $2,180 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 04:36 PM | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23? | SELL YES | 0.990 | $1,112 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 04:36 PM | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23? | SELL YES | 0.990 | $1,238 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 05:20 AM | Will Nara Club win on 2026-05-23? | BUY YES | 0.803 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 01:44 PM | Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-19? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,067 | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 01:43 PM | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19? | BUY NO | 0.810 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 01:07 PM | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19? | BUY NO | 0.810 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 12:04 PM | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 03:23 AM | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,009 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 10:54 PM | Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $31.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 09:44 PM | Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship? | BUY YES | 0.696 | $1,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 09:36 PM | Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship? | BUY YES | 0.666 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 09:28 PM | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL YES | 0.830 | $2,075 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 09:08 PM | Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship? | BUY YES | 0.323 | $1,600 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 17, 09:08 PM | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL YES | 0.820 | $2,051 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 08:55 PM | Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship? | BUY YES | 0.290 | $2,000 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 17, 08:54 PM | Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship? | BUY YES | 0.316 | $2,000 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 17, 08:52 PM | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL YES | 0.862 | $4,314 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 08:51 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.870 | $1,279 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 08:44 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.952 | $1,388 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 08:39 PM | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | SELL YES | 0.406 | $1,042 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 08:10 PM | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | SELL NO | 0.891 | $1,067 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 01:40 PM | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17? | BUY YES | 0.640 | $1,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 01:39 PM | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $3,198 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 12:04 AM | Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-16? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,895 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 05:14 PM | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | BUY NO | 0.919 | $1,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 04:56 PM | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $2,230 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 04:56 PM | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $2,343 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 02:45 AM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.860 | $1,686 | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 10:01 PM | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,211 | — (SELL) |
| May 14, 10:07 PM | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,494 | — (SELL) |
| May 14, 05:42 PM | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14? | SELL NO | 0.840 | $1,256 | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 09:21 PM | 0xc682efb2 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,279 | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 09:19 PM | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,680 | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 09:10 PM | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? | SELL NO | 0.946 | $3,714 | — (SELL) |
| May 11, 09:19 AM | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY YES | 0.823 | $1,200 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 09:10 PM | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $3,908 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 08:28 PM | Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-10? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,833 | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 09:08 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $2,395 | — (SELL) |
| May 2, 09:57 AM | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY YES | 0.801 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 06:55 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | BUY YES | 0.570 | $1,200 | —— |
| Apr 28, 12:12 AM | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.996 | $1,022 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 26, 01:05 PM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $1,063 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 09:13 PM | Thunder vs. Suns | BUY YES | 0.890 | $1,020 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 20, 01:51 PM | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.790 | $3,097 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |