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Wickier

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x1cc1…b8df with our methodology badges per row.

0x1cc16713196d456f86fa9c7387dd326a7f73b8df·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
49
lifetime
PnL per $
+20%
historical realized
Win rate
57.8%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$367.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
71
Distinct markets
30
Volume (90d)
$545.7K
avg $7,685 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$422.1K / $123.6K
net direction

Recent trades

last 71 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 04:25 PMWill Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?BUY YES0.454$1,598
Jul 19, 04:21 PMWill Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?BUY YES0.430$1,551
Jul 19, 04:03 PMWill Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?BUY YES0.488$2,168
Jul 14, 03:51 PMUS charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?BUY NO0.958$2,846Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 03:51 PMUS charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?BUY NO0.944$2,813Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 03:44 PMUS charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?BUY NO0.911$4,180Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 03:30 PMWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?BUY NO0.760$1,730Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 05:50 AMUS charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?BUY YES0.062$1,717Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 09:06 PMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY NO0.999$149.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 5, 10:36 PMWill England win on 2026-07-05?SELL YES0.370$3,700— (SELL)
Jul 5, 10:35 PMWill England win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.380$3,800Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 08:48 AMWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY YES0.200$2,000Conviction tier
Jul 5, 08:48 AMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY NO0.460$1,978
Jul 4, 07:11 AMWill England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY YES0.180$10.2KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 06:39 AMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.070$6,551Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 10:32 AMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.094$3,572Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 1, 05:20 AMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?BUY NO0.678$1,506Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 29, 05:32 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.106$1,224Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 29, 11:59 AMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.103$3,090Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 27, 02:00 PMUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY NO0.750$1,931Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 22, 02:24 PMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.126$2,646Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 09:18 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY YES0.167$1,604Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 12, 09:18 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY YES0.155$4,119Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 05:53 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY YES0.160$2,395Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 05:35 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY YES0.120$4,813Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 11, 12:23 PMWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY YES0.210$11.3KConviction tier
Jun 11, 08:22 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY YES0.043$3,720
Jun 9, 05:22 PMWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?BUY NO0.730$1,612Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 11:51 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY YES0.150$7,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 3, 08:25 PM0x366f8964BUY YES0.060$1,508Killed band — neutral expectation
May 29, 05:30 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.100$2,900Killed band — neutral expectation
May 28, 03:03 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.110$1,404Killed band — neutral expectation
May 27, 12:19 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.230$7,114Conviction tier
May 27, 12:19 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.220$4,607Conviction tier
May 27, 11:42 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.200$6,496Conviction tier
May 27, 06:35 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.220$23.6KConviction tier
May 25, 07:11 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY YES0.160$1,621Killed band — neutral expectation
May 25, 03:15 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY YES0.170$2,890Killed band — neutral expectation
May 25, 02:29 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY YES0.140$3,346Killed band — neutral expectation
May 25, 08:15 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.250$2,719Conviction tier
May 25, 08:12 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY YES0.080$3,437Killed band — neutral expectation
May 24, 09:15 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY YES0.230$26.4KConviction tier
May 24, 07:09 AMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?BUY YES0.443$7,843
May 23, 05:24 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY YES0.088$1,176Killed band — neutral expectation
May 23, 12:12 PM0x1eeb9106BUY NO0.110$2,956Killed band — neutral expectation
May 22, 03:08 PM0x53098776BUY YES0.070$3,676Killed band — neutral expectation
May 22, 12:20 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY YES0.080$2,899Killed band — neutral expectation
May 22, 11:22 AM0x53098776BUY YES0.054$1,456Killed band — neutral expectation
May 22, 10:29 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY YES0.048$2,419
May 22, 10:03 AMWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?BUY YES0.998$22.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 09:23 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.160$5,291Killed band — neutral expectation
May 22, 08:27 AM0x7f4378c2SELL NO0.999$27.9K— (SELL)
May 22, 08:26 AM0x5341e90bSELL NO0.999$17.6K— (SELL)
May 22, 08:26 AM0xaa145cf5SELL NO0.999$44.2K— (SELL)
May 21, 05:24 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY YES0.112$2,791Killed band — neutral expectation
May 21, 05:23 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY YES0.110$1,240Killed band — neutral expectation
May 21, 05:23 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY YES0.103$2,942Killed band — neutral expectation
May 21, 02:00 PMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?SELL NO0.200$5,650— (SELL)
May 21, 11:01 AMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?BUY NO0.198$9,798Killed band — neutral expectation
May 21, 10:26 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL YES0.211$24.6K— (SELL)
May 21, 07:18 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.160$3,838Killed band — neutral expectation
May 20, 03:18 PM0x53098776BUY YES0.100$1,149Killed band — neutral expectation
May 20, 03:18 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY YES0.094$1,323Killed band — neutral expectation
May 20, 02:22 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.160$1,967Killed band — neutral expectation
May 18, 12:02 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.090$1,507Killed band — neutral expectation
May 15, 11:12 AM0xaa145cf5BUY NO0.199$1,433Killed band — neutral expectation
May 15, 09:28 AM0x7f4378c2BUY NO0.198$1,002Killed band — neutral expectation
May 11, 06:55 PM0x5e5482b1BUY YES0.120$1,058Killed band — neutral expectation
May 8, 06:24 PM0xa93b28a6BUY YES0.394$5,374Killed band — neutral expectation
May 8, 06:23 PM0xa93b28a6BUY YES0.328$1,088Killed band — neutral expectation
May 8, 06:23 PM0xa93b28a6BUY YES0.321$2,965Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

30 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Other1$149.8K+$149.8K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Other12$86.1K+$36.8K
0xaa145cf52$45.6K$-42,727
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Other5$37.7K+$37.7K
0x7f4378c22$28.9K$-26,848
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Other6$24.2K+$24.2K
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Other1$22.7K+$22.7K
0x5341e90b1$17.6K$-17,607
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other5$17.1K+$17.1K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Other2$15.4K+$4,148
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Tech7$14.8K+$14.8K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Other1$11.3K+$11.3K
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Other1$10.2K+$10.2K
0xa93b28a63$9,426+$9,426
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?Other1$7,843+$7,843
Will England win on 2026-07-05?Other2$7,500+$100
0x530987763$6,281+$6,281
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Other2$5,658+$5,658
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?Sports3$5,317+$5,317
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?Other1$4,180+$4,180
0x1eeb91061$2,956+$2,956
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Other1$2,000+$2,000
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Other1$1,978+$1,978
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Other1$1,931+$1,931
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Other1$1,730+$1,730
US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?Other1$1,717+$1,717
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Politics1$1,612+$1,612
0x366f89641$1,508+$1,508
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics1$1,506+$1,506
0x5e5482b11$1,058+$1,058