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sbsigner

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x1b47…d814 with our methodology badges per row.

0x1b47e9b128e6b671edebfb2cac23dd3efc40d814·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
1,013
lifetime
PnL per $
+0%
historical realized
Win rate
46.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$5.23M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 1013 resolved trades · 0% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
200
capped at 200
Distinct markets
26
Volume (90d)
$1.02M
avg $5,089 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1.02M / $0
net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 09:34 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY NO0.645$7,436Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:08 PMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY NO0.115$1,322Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 07:41 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.600$4,377
Jul 19, 07:36 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.580$1,900
Jul 19, 07:34 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.580$2,320
Jul 19, 07:33 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.580$2,887
Jul 19, 07:31 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.570$2,771
Jul 19, 07:31 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.570$10.6K
Jul 19, 07:23 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.530$13.5K
Jul 19, 07:13 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.480$2,844
Jul 19, 07:13 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.490$1,537
Jul 19, 07:11 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.490$3,677
Jul 19, 07:11 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.490$1,837
Jul 19, 07:10 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.490$10.7K
Jul 19, 07:09 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.480$4,293
Jul 19, 07:08 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.480$6,517
Jul 19, 07:08 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.470$3,958
Jul 19, 07:08 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.470$3,762
Jul 19, 07:08 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.470$7,369
Jul 19, 07:06 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.470$3,035
Jul 19, 07:06 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.470$8,423
Jul 19, 07:06 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.470$1,398
Jul 19, 07:05 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.470$3,850
Jul 19, 07:03 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.460$6,005
Jul 19, 07:03 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.460$1,147
Jul 19, 07:02 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.460$5,793
Jul 19, 07:02 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.460$9,411
Jul 19, 07:01 PMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.460$9,228
Jul 19, 06:06 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY NO0.575$9,471
Jul 19, 06:04 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY NO0.575$13.4K
Jul 19, 05:49 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY NO0.740$14.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 05:23 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY NO0.575$5,412
Jul 19, 04:18 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY NO0.575$4,829
Jul 19, 04:07 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY NO0.575$1,118
Jul 18, 10:43 PMWill England win on 2026-07-18?BUY NO0.491$1,069
Jul 18, 10:36 PMWill England win on 2026-07-18?BUY NO0.571$1,902
Jul 18, 10:18 PMWill England win on 2026-07-18?BUY NO0.277$3,198Cheap band — no rep
Jul 18, 09:45 PMWill England win on 2026-07-18?BUY NO0.100$1,406Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 09:42 PMWill England win on 2026-07-18?BUY NO0.110$1,225Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 09:33 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY NO0.840$4,490Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:31 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY NO0.840$12.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:17 PMWill England win on 2026-07-18?BUY NO0.584$7,123
Jul 18, 09:14 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY NO0.630$1,417Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:13 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY NO0.640$3,226Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:12 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY NO0.640$7,164Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:11 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY NO0.630$6,993Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:04 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY NO0.620$2,607Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:04 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY NO0.620$8,185Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:03 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY NO0.620$7,952Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 08:13 PMFrance vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.690$1,021Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 07:52 PMWill England win on 2026-07-18?BUY NO0.780$3,545Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 12:12 PMWill France vs. England end in a draw?BUY NO0.760$29.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:25 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.902$1,150Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:21 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.899$1,535Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:20 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.900$1,497Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 07:51 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.672$3,121Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 07:50 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.672$2,140Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 07:24 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.712$4,956Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 07:21 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.570$1,326
Jul 15, 07:14 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.540$1,927
Jul 15, 07:10 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.520$1,161
Jul 15, 07:09 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.710$4,954Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 07:09 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.500$15.0K
Jul 15, 07:08 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.500$15.0K
Jul 15, 07:08 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.500$21.1K
Jul 15, 07:08 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.708$2,419Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 07:05 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.490$7,302
Jul 15, 07:05 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.490$4,976
Jul 15, 07:05 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.490$3,140
Jul 15, 07:04 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.490$3,464
Jul 15, 07:04 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.490$3,781
Jul 15, 07:04 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.480$3,613
Jul 15, 07:03 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.480$3,803
Jul 15, 07:01 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.470$1,430
Jul 15, 07:00 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.470$1,087
Jul 15, 07:00 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.647$2,222Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 06:59 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.650$9,285Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 06:55 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.470$12.9K
Jul 15, 06:49 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.470$14.2K
Jul 15, 06:48 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.470$2,093
Jul 15, 06:48 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.690$1,061Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 06:48 PMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.470$5,158
Jul 15, 05:42 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.640$5,394Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 04:05 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.637$1,096Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 04:03 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.637$1,369Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 03:10 PMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.642$1,014Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:37 AMWill England win on 2026-07-15?BUY NO0.647$1,047Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 05:21 AMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.480$12.8K
Jul 15, 05:21 AMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.480$14.7K
Jul 15, 05:21 AMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.480$18.5K
Jul 14, 07:55 PMWill France win on 2026-07-14?BUY NO0.820$3,553Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:29 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.230$2,271Cheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 07:27 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.230$1,683Cheap band — no rep
Jul 14, 07:24 PMWill France win on 2026-07-14?BUY NO0.793$2,757Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:20 PMWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY NO0.715$2,922Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:16 PMWill France win on 2026-07-14?BUY NO0.625$1,320Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:15 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.560$1,249
Jul 14, 07:15 PMWill France win on 2026-07-14?BUY NO0.624$5,252Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:15 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.440$1,847
Jul 14, 07:08 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.410$2,734
Jul 14, 07:07 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.410$1,627
Jul 14, 07:05 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.400$2,560Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 07:04 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.410$11.8K
Jul 14, 07:03 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.410$1,453
Jul 14, 07:02 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.400$10.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 07:02 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.400$1,559Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 07:00 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.380$6,582Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 07:00 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.379$7,801Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 06:58 PMWill France win on 2026-07-14?BUY NO0.635$1,282Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 06:57 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.400$6,582Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 13, 08:35 PMWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY NO0.703$1,392Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 13, 08:15 PMWill France win on 2026-07-14?BUY NO0.590$1,012
Jul 13, 07:40 PMWill France win on 2026-07-14?BUY NO0.590$1,113
Jul 13, 03:41 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.410$13.9K
Jul 13, 03:38 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.410$4,600
Jul 12, 06:51 AMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.410$2,970
Jul 12, 06:51 AMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.400$3,923Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 12, 05:54 AMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.410$1,760
Jul 12, 02:35 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.505$1,260
Jul 12, 02:34 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.501$6,107
Jul 12, 02:33 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.502$2,772
Jul 12, 01:09 AMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.453$3,045
Jul 11, 11:53 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.430$1,509
Jul 11, 10:14 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.778$3,056Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:12 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.797$5,341Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 10:10 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.807$12.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:55 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.818$2,289Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:52 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.820$3,152Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:51 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.818$1,063Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:49 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.810$4,328Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 09:27 PMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.520$4,545
Jul 11, 09:26 PMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.520$3,589
Jul 11, 09:18 PMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.480$3,209
Jul 11, 09:15 PMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.460$7,381
Jul 11, 09:07 PMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.420$5,775
Jul 11, 09:03 PMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.390$9,691Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 09:01 PMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.380$10.5KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 09:00 PMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.380$1,915Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 08:28 PMWill England win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.468$1,865
Jul 11, 07:14 PMWill England win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.487$1,331
Jul 11, 03:54 PMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.748$1,220Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 11, 02:05 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.422$12.7K
Jul 11, 02:04 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.422$9,511
Jul 11, 02:03 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.422$6,219
Jul 11, 02:02 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.422$14.6K
Jul 11, 02:02 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.422$4,657
Jul 11, 11:55 AMWill England win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.497$2,398
Jul 11, 11:55 AMWill England win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.497$14.0K
Jul 10, 07:42 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.415$4,384
Jul 10, 07:40 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.180$4,088Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 07:40 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.177$1,942Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 07:35 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.179$1,817Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 07:33 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.199$3,723Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 07:16 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.412$2,069
Jul 10, 07:11 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.420$5,722
Jul 10, 07:08 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.417$5,333
Jul 10, 07:08 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.412$3,171
Jul 10, 07:08 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.410$8,188
Jul 10, 07:08 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.410$2,791
Jul 10, 07:06 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.400$6,533Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 07:05 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.400$1,344Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 07:04 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.395$1,565Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 07:04 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.393$1,803Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 07:04 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.392$3,257Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 07:04 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.399$6,209Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 07:04 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.398$2,013Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 07:03 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.407$6,190
Jul 10, 07:03 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.405$5,347
Jul 10, 07:02 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.405$10.1K
Jul 10, 07:01 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.403$2,914
Jul 10, 06:58 PMWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY NO0.755$1,138Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 06:57 PMWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY NO0.755$1,339Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 06:56 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY YES0.593$9,111
Jul 10, 06:55 PMWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY NO0.755$1,532Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 06:36 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.407$1,402
Jul 10, 06:19 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.405$6,228
Jul 10, 06:16 PMWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY NO0.755$1,054Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 06:16 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.405$21.8K
Jul 10, 06:12 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.403$5,174
Jul 10, 06:04 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.840$3,281Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 10, 05:44 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.393$3,628Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 04:58 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.390$2,966Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 04:58 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.390$2,729Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 04:41 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.390$4,459Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 04:41 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.390$12.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 04:40 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.390$5,608Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 04:40 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.390$12.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 04:40 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.390$12.8KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 03:40 PMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY NO0.840$3,150Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 11:05 PMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY NO0.838$1,498Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 09:31 PMFrance vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.710$2,043Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 09:27 PMFrance vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.690$1,362Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 09:05 PMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY NO0.885$5,728Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 9, 08:35 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?BUY NO0.369$8,048Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 08:32 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?BUY NO0.375$1,845Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 08:22 PMFrance vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.580$5,551
Jul 9, 08:21 PMWill France win on 2026-07-09?BUY NO0.370$2,258Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 08:19 PMFrance vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.560$2,337
Jul 9, 08:19 PMFrance vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.560$4,106
Jul 9, 08:12 PMFrance vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.540$2,466

Markets active in

26 markets · sorted by volume