uptime0724

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x1a2f…647a with our methodology badges per row.

0x1a2f67124f12eaa88be0f6683a95abede555647a·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

701

lifetime

PnL per $

+8%

historical realized

Win rate

84.9%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$2.24M

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)

200

capped at 200

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$584.5K

avg $2,922 / trade

BUY vs SELL

$579.8K / $4,711

net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jul 19, 10:01 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.980	$3,538	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 10:01 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.980	$5,880	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:58 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.932	$2,367	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:58 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.932	$2,116	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:58 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.935	$1,356	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:58 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.935	$2,244	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:58 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.935	$1,459	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:58 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.935	$2,244	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:58 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.935	$2,328	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:58 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.934	$2,242	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:58 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.935	$1,992	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:58 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.934	$2,849	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:58 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.934	$1,139	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:56 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.930	$3,729	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:50 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.940	$18.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:50 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.938	$9,408	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:46 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.912	$3,853	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:44 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,023	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:44 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.925	$1,748	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:42 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.890	$1,112	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:42 PM	Will Spain win the World Cup?	BUY NO	0.210	$2,514	Conviction tier
Jul 19, 09:42 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.601	$7,206	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:31 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.643	$1,425	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:27 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.730	$2,197	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:26 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.740	$1,110	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:26 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.705	$3,567	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:26 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.225	$1,139	Conviction tier
Jul 19, 09:26 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.705	$1,713	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:26 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.705	$1,086	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:26 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.705	$1,904	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:26 PM	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.705	$2,919	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:13 PM	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.922	$5,143	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:13 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,655	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:12 PM	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	BUY NO	0.897	$17.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:09 PM	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.914	$2,842	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:07 PM	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.880	$9,240	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:01 PM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.970	$1,242	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 09:01 PM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.970	$3,104	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:56 PM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.949	$5,518	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:55 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.955	$2,009	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:53 PM	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.700	$1,402	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:52 PM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.950	$5,700	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:49 PM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.940	$3,516	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:49 PM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.930	$2,781	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:48 PM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,469	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:47 PM	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.730	$2,438	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:47 PM	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.730	$2,285	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:47 PM	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.730	$1,628	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:47 PM	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.730	$4,380	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:43 PM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,860	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:34 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.670	$1,132	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:33 PM	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.770	$1,047	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 08:32 PM	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.985	$2,416	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:59 PM	Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.949	$1,253	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:58 PM	Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.949	$1,537	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:45 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.398	$2,436	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 07:29 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.860	$1,299	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:29 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.860	$1,084	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:27 PM	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.870	$3,263	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:17 PM	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.960	$1,373	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:13 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.520	$1,061	—
Jul 19, 07:13 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.520	$3,416	—
Jul 19, 07:11 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.520	$1,248	—
Jul 19, 07:11 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.520	$1,248	—
Jul 19, 07:08 PM	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.974	$1,042	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:07 PM	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.974	$2,153	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:07 PM	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.968	$2,081	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:06 PM	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.968	$1,452	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 07:05 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.530	$1,484	—
Jul 19, 07:05 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.530	$3,699	—
Jul 19, 07:05 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.530	$3,615	—
Jul 19, 07:05 PM	Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.530	$1,447	—
Jul 19, 02:49 AM	Will CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.930	$5,115	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:48 AM	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.620	$2,598	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:48 AM	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.620	$2,034	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:48 AM	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.650	$2,197	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:13 AM	Will CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.770	$2,379	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:13 AM	Will CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.770	$1,463	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:13 AM	Will CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.770	$1,509	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:13 AM	Will CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.770	$2,310	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:13 AM	Will CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.770	$2,310	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:13 AM	Will CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.770	$1,178	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 19, 01:12 AM	Will CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.760	$4,560	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:47 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.910	$4,387	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 10:37 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.360	$7,200	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 10:30 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.320	$6,400	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 10:30 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.220	$2,963	Conviction tier
Jul 18, 10:10 PM	France vs. England: Both Teams to Score	BUY YES	0.963	$11.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:46 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.950	$2,821	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.860	$1,195	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.860	$2,743	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.860	$1,858	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.860	$2,804	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.860	$2,571	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.860	$9,910	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.890	$1,210	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.950	$7,707	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.950	$2,480	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.950	$5,463	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.950	$1,052	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?	BUY NO	0.979	$1,897	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:37 PM	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?	BUY NO	0.953	$2,313	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:36 PM	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?	BUY NO	0.984	$1,958	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:36 PM	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?	BUY NO	0.953	$2,571	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:33 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.840	$2,503	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:17 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.330	$3,693	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 09:17 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY YES	0.320	$1,171	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 09:11 PM	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?	BUY NO	0.970	$1,513	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:11 PM	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?	BUY NO	0.970	$2,008	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:11 PM	Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.570	$8,584	—
Jul 18, 09:11 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.651	$1,601	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:11 PM	Will England finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.550	$2,453	—
Jul 18, 09:08 PM	Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.460	$3,289	—
Jul 18, 09:08 PM	Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.460	$1,145	—
Jul 18, 09:03 PM	Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?	BUY NO	0.974	$2,085	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:03 PM	Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?	BUY NO	0.975	$1,950	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:02 PM	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?	BUY NO	0.940	$1,523	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:02 PM	Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?	BUY NO	0.960	$2,218	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:02 PM	Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.320	$6,400	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 09:02 PM	Will England finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.320	$6,400	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 09:02 PM	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?	BUY NO	0.930	$1,820	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 09:02 PM	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BUY NO	0.440	$1,404	—
Jul 18, 08:46 PM	Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?	BUY NO	0.976	$2,977	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 08:44 PM	Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?	BUY NO	0.976	$2,948	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 08:40 PM	Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?	BUY NO	0.976	$2,948	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 08:38 PM	Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?	BUY NO	0.976	$3,592	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 08:38 PM	Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?	BUY NO	0.976	$2,479	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 18, 02:13 AM	Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-17?	BUY YES	0.910	$1,802	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 04:05 AM	Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.960	$1,151	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 04:02 AM	Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.840	$1,075	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 04:02 AM	Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.840	$1,159	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 03:58 AM	Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-07-16?	BUY NO	0.760	$3,318	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 03:58 AM	Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-07-16?	BUY NO	0.750	$1,365	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 02:44 AM	Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.970	$1,581	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 02:38 AM	Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.950	$1,976	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 02:38 AM	Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.950	$1,292	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 02:36 AM	Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.923	$1,730	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 02:31 AM	Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.880	$1,355	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 02:31 AM	Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.880	$1,188	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 17, 02:12 AM	Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?	BUY YES	0.830	$1,428	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 09:00 PM	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	BUY YES	0.980	$3,028	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:59 PM	Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.959	$1,481	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:59 PM	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	BUY YES	0.970	$5,849	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:55 PM	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.632	$2,989	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:55 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.902	$1,155	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:55 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.905	$1,808	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:55 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.925	$1,619	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:54 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.904	$1,683	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:54 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.904	$1,890	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:54 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.905	$1,810	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:54 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.902	$14.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:54 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.895	$1,316	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:53 PM	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	BUY YES	0.700	$1,547	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:52 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.866	$1,197	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:52 PM	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.466	$1,443	—
Jul 15, 08:52 PM	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.437	$2,505	—
Jul 15, 08:48 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY YES	0.120	$2,400	Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 08:46 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.855	$1,086	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:46 PM	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.865	$1,557	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:46 PM	Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.980	$3,391	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:46 PM	Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.980	$8,702	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:45 PM	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.950	$2,081	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:45 PM	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.950	$1,862	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:40 PM	Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.983	$4,825	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:36 PM	Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.570	$2,369	—
Jul 15, 08:34 PM	Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.987	$1,925	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:23 PM	Argentina to win the second half?	BUY NO	0.880	$2,200	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:20 PM	Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.740	$1,147	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:19 PM	Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.760	$1,125	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:19 PM	Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY YES	0.740	$2,146	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:19 PM	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	BUY YES	0.740	$3,448	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:17 PM	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.940	$1,288	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:15 PM	Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.980	$2,450	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:15 PM	Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.980	$4,900	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:15 PM	Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.980	$1,613	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:15 PM	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	BUY NO	0.875	$1,418	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 08:15 PM	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	BUY YES	0.550	$3,311	—
Jul 15, 08:15 PM	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BUY NO	0.540	$1,291	—
Jul 15, 07:48 PM	England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	BUY YES	0.980	$11.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 07:45 PM	England leading at halftime?	BUY NO	0.930	$2,372	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 06:53 PM	Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.954	$1,908	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 06:53 PM	Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?	BUY NO	0.954	$4,045	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 15, 02:11 AM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL NO	0.418	$4,711	— (SELL)
Jul 14, 11:12 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.419	$1,479	—
Jul 14, 11:11 PM	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.419	$1,462	—
Jul 14, 08:56 PM	France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	BUY NO	0.940	$1,062	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:50 PM	Spain to win the second half?	BUY YES	0.800	$1,896	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:30 PM	France to win the second half?	BUY NO	0.860	$8,970	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:30 PM	France to win the second half?	BUY NO	0.860	$2,709	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 08:22 PM	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	BUY YES	0.937	$1,262	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:48 PM	France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Half	BUY NO	0.930	$1,181	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:28 PM	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	BUY NO	0.971	$1,942	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:27 PM	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	BUY NO	0.971	$1,670	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:27 PM	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	BUY NO	0.971	$1,670	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:27 PM	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	BUY NO	0.971	$3,340	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:27 PM	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	BUY NO	0.971	$3,340	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:26 PM	Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?	BUY NO	0.939	$1,709	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:24 PM	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	BUY NO	0.973	$3,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:24 PM	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	BUY NO	0.973	$3,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 14, 07:24 PM	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	BUY NO	0.973	$3,600	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

54 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Tech	19	$72.0K	+$62.6K
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Other	9	$37.5K	+$37.5K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	15	$33.8K	+$33.8K
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Other	10	$31.5K	+$31.5K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Other	9	$27.9K	+$27.9K
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?	Tech	8	$25.2K	+$25.2K
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	Tech	8	$22.8K	+$22.8K
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	Tech	7	$22.4K	+$22.4K
Will CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?	Other	8	$20.8K	+$20.8K
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Tech	2	$19.6K	+$19.6K
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?	Other	7	$19.0K	+$19.0K
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	Tech	8	$17.2K	+$17.2K
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Other	7	$13.7K	+$13.7K
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?	Other	2	$12.1K	+$12.1K
France to win the second half?	Other	2	$11.7K	+$11.7K
England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	Other	1	$11.6K	+$11.6K
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score	Other	1	$11.6K	+$11.6K
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?	Other	5	$11.0K	+$11.0K
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?	Other	7	$10.6K	+$10.6K
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?	Other	3	$8,963	+$8,963
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Other	2	$8,877	+$8,877
Will England finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	2	$8,853	+$8,853
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	1	$8,584	+$8,584
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Tech	2	$7,985	+$7,985
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-18?	Other	3	$6,829	+$6,829
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	4	$6,787	+$6,787
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Tech	4	$6,777	+$6,777
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Other	2	$6,759	+$6,759
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?	Other	2	$6,750	+$6,750
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	Tech	4	$6,728	+$6,728

Showing top 30 by volume.