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couillefraisemax

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x18e6…d83d with our methodology badges per row.

0x18e619f8113986b93e8b23ee8de25bad919ed83d·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
43
lifetime
PnL per $
-69%
historical realized
Win rate
13.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$274.8K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 43 resolved trades · -69% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
46
Distinct markets
42
Volume (90d)
$283.8K
avg $6,170 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$265.5K / $18.3K
net direction

Recent trades

last 46 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 19, 05:32 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.077$21.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 19, 05:32 PMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.083$4,460Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 18, 08:21 PMWill France win on 2026-07-18?BUY YES0.560$40.3K—
Jul 15, 04:32 PMHarry Kane: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.380$20.1KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 15, 04:32 PMLionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.377$20.0KKilled band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 12:04 PMFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.600$14.4K—
Jul 14, 01:49 AMKylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsBUY YES0.120$1,800Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 14, 01:48 AMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.450$15.8K—
Jul 11, 11:49 PMLionel Messi: 2+ goalsBUY YES0.150$1,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 08:56 PMHarry Kane: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.510$7,752—
Jul 11, 09:57 AMErling Haaland: 2+ goalsBUY YES0.140$1,400Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 11, 09:57 AMErling Haaland: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.470$4,700—
Jul 10, 10:19 AMCharles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.170$1,036Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 10, 10:19 AMMikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.420$2,520—
Jul 9, 05:53 PMMichael Olise: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.240$2,400Cheap band — no rep
Jul 9, 05:50 PMMichael Olise: 1+ assistsBUY YES0.320$2,560Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 9, 05:49 PMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.520$5,521—
Jul 9, 03:32 PMKylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsBUY YES0.160$1,600Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 7, 04:47 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY NO0.590$11.2K—
Jul 6, 10:10 PMUnited States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreBUY NO0.360$6,923Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 10:08 PMFolarin Balogun: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.390$2,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 03:55 PMCristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.340$1,567Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 03:54 PMCristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsBUY YES0.080$1,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 03:54 PMLamine Yamal: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.350$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 03:54 PMCristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.340$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 6, 12:04 PMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY NO0.490$7,275—
Jul 5, 10:31 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.346$5,500Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 5, 10:14 PMJulián Quiñones: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.273$2,000Cheap band — no rep
Jul 5, 10:11 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?SELL NO0.999$18.3K— (SELL)
Jul 5, 03:14 PMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY NO0.460$8,444—
Jul 4, 07:58 PMOusmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsBUY YES0.120$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 07:58 PMOusmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.420$5,000—
Jul 4, 07:58 PMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsBUY NO0.340$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 07:57 PMMichael Olise: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.360$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 07:14 PMMichael Olise: 2+ assistsBUY YES0.156$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jul 4, 07:10 PMMichael Olise: 1+ assistsBUY YES0.470$5,000—
Jul 3, 09:44 PMLionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.660$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 09:41 PMLionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.670$2,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 30, 11:03 PMWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?BUY YES0.260$5,000Cheap band — no rep
Jun 30, 03:50 PMFrance vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreBUY YES0.550$4,000—
Jun 30, 12:04 PMKylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsBUY YES0.250$2,000Cheap band — no rep
Jun 30, 12:04 PMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsBUY YES0.580$4,000—
Jun 30, 10:43 AMMichael Olise: 1+ assistsBUY YES0.410$2,000—
Jun 28, 10:17 AMWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY YES0.190$2,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 26, 05:02 PMKylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsBUY YES0.200$1,000Cheap band — no rep
Jun 21, 06:55 PMWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?BUY YES0.110$1,100Killed band — neutral expectation

Markets active in

42 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Other1$40.3K+$40.3K
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Other2$26.8K$-9,894
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other2$25.6K+$25.6K
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsOther1$20.1K+$20.1K
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsOther1$20.0K+$20.0K
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsOther1$15.8K+$15.8K
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreTech1$14.4K+$14.4K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Other1$11.2K+$11.2K
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsOther1$7,752+$7,752
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Tech1$7,275+$7,275
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$6,923+$6,923
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsOther1$5,521+$5,521
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other1$5,500+$5,500
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsOther1$5,000+$5,000
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsOther1$5,000+$5,000
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsOther2$5,000+$5,000
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Other1$5,000+$5,000
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsOther1$4,700+$4,700
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreOther1$4,000+$4,000
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsOther1$4,000+$4,000
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsOther2$3,567+$3,567
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsOther1$3,000+$3,000
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsOther1$3,000+$3,000
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsOther1$2,560+$2,560
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsOther1$2,520+$2,520
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsOther1$2,500+$2,500
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsOther1$2,400+$2,400
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsOther1$2,000+$2,000
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goalsOther1$2,000+$2,000
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsOther1$2,000+$2,000

Showing top 30 by volume.