| Jul 9, 11:48 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL YES | 0.820 | $55.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 8, 10:38 AM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.326 | $21.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 8, 06:40 AM | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY YES | 0.790 | $6,873 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 30, 03:40 AM | SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? | BUY YES | 0.948 | $1,073 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 29, 12:58 AM | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL YES | 0.820 | $41.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 12:58 AM | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL NO | 0.820 | $41.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 29, 12:53 AM | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.970 | $2,318 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 24, 02:47 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $24.2K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 22, 10:23 AM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.991 | $25.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 22, 09:07 AM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.992 | $40.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 01:42 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.967 | $6,313 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 04:57 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.980 | $9,800 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 07:29 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.970 | $3,348 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 06:09 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $1,530 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 04:01 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | SELL NO | 0.930 | $7,028 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 03:18 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY NO | 0.934 | $3,400 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 02:41 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.973 | $4,738 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 07:49 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.970 | $31.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 07:46 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.969 | $2,623 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 08:09 AM | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.802 | $6,185 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 01:26 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.977 | $29.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 12:38 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.979 | $29.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 12:30 AM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY NO | 0.937 | $3,239 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 12:24 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.981 | $49.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 5, 04:53 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY NO | 0.937 | $8,764 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 04:44 PM | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.932 | $2,374 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 04:38 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY NO | 0.937 | $1,247 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 04:32 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.977 | $9,769 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 03:46 AM | Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | SELL YES | 0.979 | $9,788 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 01:01 PM | 0xebf57e5d | BUY NO | 0.400 | $1,063 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 3, 01:21 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.003 | $1,182 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 04:56 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.006 | $2,146 | —— |
| Jun 1, 10:03 PM | 0x366f8964 | BUY YES | 0.060 | $3,943 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 03:29 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $9,072 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 10:34 AM | 0xfbda5ef7 | BUY YES | 0.946 | $2,894 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 05:59 PM | 0x8b369e10 | SELL YES | 0.570 | $8,113 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 03:49 PM | 0x8b369e10 | BUY YES | 0.650 | $3,036 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 03:36 PM | 0x8b369e10 | BUY YES | 0.708 | $18.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 09:28 PM | 0xa1d97efb | BUY NO | 0.990 | $46.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 08:31 AM | 0x6114a8a3 | SELL NO | 0.500 | $2,170 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 02:42 AM | 0x4ba34832 | SELL NO | 0.998 | $30.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 11:41 PM | 0x4ba34832 | BUY NO | 0.846 | $7,604 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 10:20 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.610 | $2,271 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 01:38 PM | 0x4ba34832 | SELL YES | 0.300 | $1,219 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 01:29 PM | 0x4ba34832 | SELL YES | 0.299 | $1,105 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 01:21 PM | 0x4ba34832 | SELL YES | 0.299 | $1,182 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 01:17 PM | 0x4ba34832 | SELL YES | 0.299 | $1,213 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 12:22 PM | 0x4ba34832 | SELL YES | 0.321 | $1,424 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:54 AM | 0x4ba34832 | SELL YES | 0.363 | $18.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 07:19 AM | 0xb7dd41c1 | SELL YES | 0.984 | $4,623 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 06:06 AM | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.989 | $7,579 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 06:05 AM | 0xb7dd41c1 | SELL YES | 0.989 | $2,827 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 06:01 AM | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.991 | $3,574 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 06:00 AM | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL YES | 0.990 | $9,900 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 12:29 AM | 0xdb22a774 | BUY YES | 0.974 | $3,802 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 12:26 AM | 0x4ba34832 | BUY YES | 0.969 | $11.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |