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Dead-Skylightt
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x13ce…bf33 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
40
lifetime
PnL per $
+173%
historical realized
Win rate
47.1%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$143.2K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.
Trades (90d)
46
Distinct markets
16
Volume (90d)
$207.8K
avg $4,518 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$105.6K / $102.3K
net direction
Recent trades
last 46 · 90d windowMarkets active in
16 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Tech | 1 | $40.0K | +$40.0K |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Other | 12 | $33.6K | $-9,110 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | Other | 2 | $31.2K | $-31,233 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | Other | 2 | $19.7K | +$4,156 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Other | 2 | $17.2K | +$1,000 |
| Starmer out by June 26, 2026? | Other | 6 | $11.6K | $-3,007 |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | Other | 6 | $10.5K | $-3,045 |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? | Other | 2 | $9,282 | +$9,282 |
| Japan leading at halftime? | Other | 2 | $8,734 | +$8,734 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | Other | 1 | $5,214 | $-5,214 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | Tech | 3 | $5,143 | $-5,143 |
| Starmer out by August 31, 2026? | Other | 2 | $4,875 | $-2,285 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | Other | 2 | $4,030 | +$2,020 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Other | 1 | $3,513 | $-3,513 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | Other | 1 | $1,960 | +$1,960 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-04? | Other | 1 | $1,285 | $-1,285 |