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Haruki19
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x1003…0420 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
6
lifetime
PnL per $
-31%
historical realized
Win rate
42.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$62.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 6 resolved trades · -31% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
6
Distinct markets
3
Volume (90d)
$62.1K
avg $10.4K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$33.8K / $28.3K
net direction
Recent trades
last 6 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 10:55 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $17.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 17, 10:41 AM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.586 | $10.3K | — |
| Jul 16, 09:43 AM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.579 | $10.7K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 15, 08:11 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.582 | $10.8K | — |
| Jul 11, 06:39 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.382 | $7,707 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 30, 06:33 PM | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY YES | 0.770 | $4,962 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
3 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Tech | 4 | $49.4K | $-7,215 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $7,707 | +$7,707 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | Other | 1 | $4,962 | +$4,962 |