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Contrarian - 7451
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x095d…52cf with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
5
lifetime
PnL per $
-99%
historical realized
Win rate
1.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$164.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 5 resolved trades · -99% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
7
Distinct markets
4
Volume (90d)
$183.4K
avg $26.2K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1,715 / $181.6K
net direction
Recent trades
last 7 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 09:08 PM | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL NO | 0.530 | $5,540 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 2, 09:07 PM | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL NO | 0.860 | $12.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 04:12 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $141.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 12:10 PM | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $2,655 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 08:39 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $12.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 25, 08:39 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $6,268 | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 10:35 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.956 | $1,715 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
4 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Other | 4 | $162.3K | $-158,834 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Other | 1 | $12.9K | $-12,900 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Finance | 1 | $5,540 | $-5,540 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | Other | 1 | $2,655 | $-2,655 |