Back to whale feed
tsukirein
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x08b2…257b with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
9
lifetime
PnL per $
-80%
historical realized
Win rate
11.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$61.7K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 9 resolved trades · -80% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
9
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$61.7K
avg $6,854 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$40.2K / $21.4K
net direction
Recent trades
last 9 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 09:10 PM | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY YES | 0.030 | $1,000 | — |
| Jul 19, 07:08 PM | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY YES | 0.530 | $2,570 | — |
| Jul 19, 12:01 AM | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY YES | 0.520 | $2,080 | — |
| Jul 18, 11:57 PM | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY YES | 0.520 | $30.0K | — |
| Jul 18, 11:30 PM | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY YES | 0.520 | $2,240 | — |
| Jul 18, 10:43 PM | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | SELL YES | 0.136 | $1,091 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 15, 10:54 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.421 | $6,265 | — (SELL) |
| Jul 15, 08:54 PM | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL YES | 0.902 | $14.1K | — (SELL) |
| Jul 15, 07:19 PM | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.198 | $2,347 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
Markets active in
5 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | Tech | 4 | $36.9K | +$36.9K |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | Other | 1 | $14.1K | $-14,089 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 2 | $8,612 | $-3,918 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | Other | 1 | $1,091 | $-1,091 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | Other | 1 | $1,000 | +$1,000 |