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HH168

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x0704…1858 with our methodology badges per row.

0x07046535ff9a910d7343a2c319a3e62234621858·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
14
lifetime
PnL per $
+2%
historical realized
Win rate
99.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$464.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 14 resolved trades · 2% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
14
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$464.1K
avg $33.1K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$459.2K / $4,850
net direction

Recent trades

last 14 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
May 16, 06:22 AMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.993$12.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 05:20 AMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.991$1,086Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 09:44 AMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.989$4,525Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 03:42 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.970$4,850— (SELL)
May 8, 02:48 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.970$48.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 02:13 PMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.980$29.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 12:30 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.960$23.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 12:30 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.960$53.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 12:30 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.960$47.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 07:56 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.981$1,486Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 5, 06:56 PMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.987$15.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 10:47 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.983$45.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 04:10 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.980$39.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 04:00 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.978$136.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

5 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Finance4$223.2K+$223.2K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Finance5$178.2K+$168.4K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Finance3$35.0K+$35.0K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Finance1$15.6K+$15.6K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Finance1$12.0K+$12.0K