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HH168

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0x0704…1858 with our methodology badges per row.

0x07046535ff9a910d7343a2c319a3e62234621858·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
14
lifetime
PnL per $
+5%
historical realized
Win rate
98.7%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$369.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 14 resolved trades · 5% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
14
Distinct markets
5
Volume (90d)
$369.0K
avg $26.4K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$364.2K / $4,850
net direction

Recent trades

last 14 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jul 15, 01:59 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.920$25.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 02:46 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.910$30.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 02:50 AMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.911$38.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 01:29 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.900$9,107Above conviction band — net-negative
Jul 3, 12:32 AMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.904$39.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 06:22 AMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.993$12.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 05:20 AMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.991$1,086Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 09:44 AMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.989$4,525Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 03:42 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.970$4,850— (SELL)
May 8, 02:48 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.970$48.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 02:13 PMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY NO0.980$29.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 12:30 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.960$23.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 12:30 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.960$53.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 12:30 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.960$47.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

5 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Finance5$178.2K+$168.4K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance2$78.0K+$78.0K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance3$65.8K+$65.8K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Finance3$35.0K+$35.0K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Finance1$12.0K+$12.0K