| Jun 20, 10:50 PM | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $4,295 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 10:49 PM | Iran leadership change by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.986 | $5,505 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 20, 08:07 PM | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.698 | $1,220 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 08:07 PM | Iran leadership change by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.987 | $1,481 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 20, 07:39 PM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+? | BUY NO | 0.969 | $3,927 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:18 PM | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY YES | 0.657 | $1,147 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 11:40 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | SELL NO | 0.994 | $10.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 11:36 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.756 | $4,456 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 09:34 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | SELL NO | 0.992 | $6,944 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 07:18 PM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.860 | $1,720 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 04:52 PM | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $1,800 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 04:08 PM | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $2,700 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 02:34 PM | Iran leadership change by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.941 | $6,117 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 02:33 PM | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $2,730 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 02:32 PM | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.860 | $8,600 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 01:54 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.950 | $1,425 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 08:29 AM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | SELL NO | 0.975 | $2,925 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 05:30 AM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | SELL NO | 0.974 | $1,948 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 03:32 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $4,990 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 05:35 PM | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | SELL NO | 0.972 | $1,602 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 08:25 AM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL NO | 0.995 | $5,485 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 9, 08:08 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $2,850 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 09:00 AM | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.241 | $1,742 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 03:04 AM | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.450 | $1,434 | —— |
| Jun 7, 07:22 AM | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $1,160 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 02:18 AM | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL YES | 0.610 | $1,225 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 07:41 AM | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL YES | 0.670 | $1,847 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 04:36 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | SELL NO | 0.983 | $5,879 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 03:32 AM | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $5,295 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 04:10 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $2,700 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 04:09 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | BUY NO | 0.972 | $5,829 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 04:08 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $3,800 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 04:05 PM | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY NO | 0.780 | $1,560 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 09:57 AM | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.880 | $1,577 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 03:14 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $1,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 05:19 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $2,205 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 05:18 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $1,900 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 02:17 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $5,994 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 02:13 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $6,993 | — (SELL) |
| May 31, 03:31 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.986 | $2,095 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 03:42 PM | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY YES | 0.530 | $4,290 | —— |
| May 30, 03:41 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.972 | $3,889 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 03:01 PM | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY NO | 0.530 | $5,300 | —— |
| May 30, 03:00 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.969 | $1,938 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 02:58 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,444 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 10:41 AM | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY NO | 0.570 | $1,140 | —— |
| May 30, 04:36 AM | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY YES | 0.620 | $1,278 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 06:19 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.370 | $2,674 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 29, 06:05 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.500 | $6,572 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 05:02 PM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.959 | $1,439 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 11:49 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $2,997 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 02:02 AM | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.937 | $8,223 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 02:01 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $4,230 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 01:03 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $3,760 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 12:49 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL NO | 0.640 | $2,560 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 06:08 PM | Iran leadership change by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.987 | $2,290 | — (SELL) |
| May 28, 03:57 PM | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $1,234 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 03:39 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.982 | $1,020 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 03:39 PM | Iran leadership change by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $2,308 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 03:31 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | BUY NO | 0.720 | $1,052 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 03:29 AM | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.780 | $2,539 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 11:45 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.930 | $6,045 | — (SELL) |
| May 21, 12:16 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.943 | $3,856 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 09:24 PM | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.810 | $1,400 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 09:16 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.955 | $1,433 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 08:01 AM | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.350 | $1,208 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 17, 08:00 AM | Starmer out by May 19, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.899 | $2,423 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 11:16 PM | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.330 | $7,796 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 16, 09:25 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.964 | $3,856 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 09:11 PM | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.200 | $1,300 | — (SELL) |
| May 16, 08:35 PM | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.260 | $1,541 | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 10:04 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $1,198 | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 07:59 AM | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY YES | 0.636 | $1,760 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 07:10 AM | Iran leadership change by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $3,164 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 12:15 PM | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY YES | 0.645 | $1,206 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 12, 12:15 PM | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL NO | 0.650 | $1,300 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 05:59 PM | Iran leadership change by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $14.3K | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 05:59 PM | Iran leadership change by June 30? | SELL NO | 0.890 | $6,230 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 05:51 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | SELL NO | 0.988 | $7,899 | — (SELL) |
| May 6, 09:04 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | SELL NO | 0.949 | $7,589 | — (SELL) |
| May 6, 08:21 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | SELL NO | 0.490 | $1,323 | — (SELL) |
| May 5, 10:17 PM | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $3,278 | — (SELL) |
| May 5, 07:56 PM | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY NO | 0.949 | $2,305 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 5, 12:33 PM | Iran leadership change by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $1,083 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 08:43 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.840 | $3,108 | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 07:44 PM | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.900 | $2,700 | — (SELL) |
| May 3, 08:41 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY NO | 0.910 | $2,730 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 3, 06:53 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $4,450 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 3, 06:33 PM | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL NO | 0.660 | $6,600 | — (SELL) |
| May 3, 06:28 PM | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03? | SELL NO | 0.180 | $1,040 | — (SELL) |
| May 3, 06:27 PM | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03? | SELL NO | 0.184 | $1,543 | — (SELL) |
| May 3, 05:55 PM | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03? | BUY NO | 0.690 | $1,035 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 3, 05:18 PM | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03? | BUY NO | 0.690 | $2,070 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 3, 05:17 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.800 | $3,200 | — (SELL) |
| May 3, 01:41 PM | Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-05-03? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $2,197 | — (SELL) |
| May 3, 01:40 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.984 | $2,681 | — (SELL) |
| May 3, 11:34 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.980 | $3,920 | — (SELL) |
| May 2, 06:46 PM | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.670 | $1,106 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 10:13 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $1,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 10:53 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $3,440 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 09:46 PM | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY NO | 0.630 | $1,527 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 05:16 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | BUY NO | 0.710 | $1,339 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 12:54 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $4,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 11:53 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $4,300 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 10:42 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $1,414 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 09:47 AM | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.810 | $8,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 07:42 AM | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $1,160 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 07:41 AM | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.799 | $2,210 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 07:40 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $9,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 07:39 AM | Iran leadership change by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.880 | $3,104 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 12:10 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.931 | $2,771 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 30, 08:30 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY NO | 0.740 | $6,873 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 30, 08:29 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $4,274 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 30, 08:29 AM | Iran leadership change by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $3,539 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 30, 05:16 AM | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $8,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 07:56 PM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.790 | $2,246 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 04:40 AM | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $4,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 04:38 AM | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $1,346 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 04:37 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $4,300 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 04:31 AM | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $3,042 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 07:57 PM | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? | SELL NO | 0.820 | $1,071 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 03:48 PM | Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Rafael Jodar | SELL YES | 0.999 | $11.6K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 02:23 PM | Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Rafael Jodar | BUY YES | 0.760 | $1,520 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 02:14 PM | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.155 | $2,475 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 01:38 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.991 | $6,827 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 01:35 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.700 | $1,400 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 01:19 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.991 | $4,955 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 09:30 AM | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie | BUY YES | 0.976 | $1,307 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 09:30 AM | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie | BUY YES | 0.974 | $2,284 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 07:51 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.992 | $10.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 06:31 AM | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $1,295 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 27, 10:06 PM | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $2,256 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 27, 07:56 PM | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27? | BUY YES | 0.870 | $1,733 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 09:29 PM | Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | BUY YES | 0.660 | $1,307 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 12:58 PM | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.560 | $1,952 | —— |
| Apr 26, 10:18 AM | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.767 | $1,623 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 07:46 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.979 | $7,194 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 12:19 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.967 | $10.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 12:12 AM | Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-25? | BUY YES | 0.940 | $1,222 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 12:07 AM | Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-25? | BUY YES | 0.940 | $1,325 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 11:25 PM | Iran leadership change by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.948 | $2,330 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 11:25 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.966 | $19.0K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 11:22 PM | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.979 | $3,916 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 11:16 PM | Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-25? | BUY YES | 0.730 | $1,355 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 10:47 PM | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.981 | $7,845 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 10:47 PM | Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-25? | BUY YES | 0.770 | $3,745 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 10:44 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.957 | $6,331 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 06:28 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.972 | $2,333 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 11:06 AM | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.519 | $1,054 | —— |
| Apr 25, 11:05 AM | Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Yannick Hanfmann | SELL YES | 0.999 | $3,586 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 09:30 AM | Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Yannick Hanfmann | BUY YES | 0.840 | $1,076 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 09:29 AM | Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Yannick Hanfmann | BUY YES | 0.840 | $1,397 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 22, 04:10 PM | Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-22? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $16.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 21, 07:27 AM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.923 | $4,104 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 20, 09:28 AM | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.946 | $2,168 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 20, 06:49 AM | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.953 | $2,079 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 19, 05:36 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.947 | $4,083 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 19, 04:22 PM | 0x8b53269f | BUY | 0.840 | $3,737 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 19, 03:56 PM | 0x809f0e04 | BUY NO | 0.570 | $1,688 | —— |
| Apr 19, 03:02 PM | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.957 | $2,471 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 19, 12:08 PM | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.954 | $4,766 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 19, 10:05 AM | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.959 | $13.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 19, 08:43 AM | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $2,881 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 18, 09:36 PM | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.945 | $1,992 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 18, 02:15 PM | Iran leadership change by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.930 | $4,187 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 01:48 PM | Iran leadership change by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $6,616 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 12:34 PM | Iran leadership change by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.958 | $2,975 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 12:32 PM | Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils | SELL | 0.410 | $5,761 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 11:22 AM | Iran leadership change by April 30? | SELL NO | 0.958 | $4,791 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 09:19 AM | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL NO | 0.575 | $1,914 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 09:18 AM | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL YES | 0.690 | $3,766 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 16, 07:36 PM | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $19.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 16, 05:39 PM | 0xda5af93a | BUY YES | 0.870 | $2,600 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 16, 02:16 PM | Barcelona Open: Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti | BUY | 0.840 | $1,672 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 16, 12:19 PM | BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Gabriel Diallo | BUY | 0.920 | $9,178 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 16, 12:11 PM | BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcan | SELL | 0.650 | $1,055 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 16, 08:28 AM | Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar | BUY | 0.690 | $2,168 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 15, 05:07 PM | BMW Open: Vit Kopriva vs Luciano Darderi | BUY | 0.950 | $2,878 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 15, 01:04 PM | Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli | BUY | 0.810 | $2,833 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 15, 12:37 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $2,250 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 15, 12:23 PM | Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic | BUY | 0.620 | $1,075 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 15, 07:24 AM | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $4,412 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 14, 09:08 PM | 0xaea9c4c8 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,995 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 09:03 PM | 0xaea9c4c8 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $5,994 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 08:41 PM | 0xd72c3cb8 | BUY NO | 0.937 | $1,437 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 14, 04:45 PM | 0x2b0a012e | BUY | 0.430 | $2,474 | —— |
| Apr 14, 03:49 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | SELL NO | 0.620 | $1,547 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 03:35 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | SELL NO | 0.650 | $1,302 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 03:31 PM | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL NO | 0.644 | $2,308 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 03:25 PM | BMW Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marko Topo | SELL | 0.999 | $2,824 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 03:25 PM | BMW Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marko Topo | SELL | 0.999 | $5,714 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 03:25 PM | BMW Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marko Topo | SELL | 0.999 | $2,744 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 01:56 PM | BMW Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marko Topo | BUY | 0.810 | $1,799 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 14, 01:46 PM | 0x6d25e34a | SELL | 0.999 | $2,668 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 01:21 PM | 0x6d25e34a | BUY | 0.810 | $1,615 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 14, 12:08 PM | BMW Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marko Topo | BUY | 0.800 | $1,631 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 14, 11:48 AM | BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Diego Dedura-Palomero | BUY | 0.850 | $1,809 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 14, 11:23 AM | 0x24f69011 | BUY | 0.380 | $2,977 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 14, 11:17 AM | Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | SELL NO | 0.870 | $6,468 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 11:17 AM | Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | SELL YES | 0.870 | $3,505 | — (SELL) |