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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xf915…8720 with our methodology badges per row.

0xf9151529abce6aa8357b99707ec06607cf238720·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
200
lifetime
PnL per $
-0%
historical realized
Win rate
99.4%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$1.68M
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 200 resolved trades · -0% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
200
capped at 200
Distinct markets
144
Volume (90d)
$1.90M
avg $9,510 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1.89M / $8,667
net direction

Recent trades

last 200 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 13, 03:03 PMWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?BUY YES0.999$29.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 01:39 PMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 12?BUY YES0.999$1,134Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 10, 04:02 AMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?BUY NO0.999$7,720Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 01:37 PMWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?BUY YES0.999$2,071Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 9, 01:37 PMWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?BUY NO0.999$2,867Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 02:49 PMWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?BUY YES0.999$1,108Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 08:37 AMWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?BUY YES0.999$16.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 05:02 AMWill Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?BUY NO0.999$50.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 05:01 AMWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?BUY YES0.999$39.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 04:54 AMWill Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?BUY NO0.999$21.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 02:57 AMWill Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?BUY NO0.998$1,390Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 02:57 AMWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?BUY YES0.997$2,691Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 02:20 AMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 6?BUY YES0.999$4,454Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 01:12 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?BUY NO0.999$2,128Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 6, 01:11 AMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 6?BUY NO0.998$1,261Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 11:08 AMWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections?BUY YES0.999$13.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 12:49 AMWill Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?BUY YES0.999$16.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 12:47 AMWill Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?BUY YES0.999$7,191Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 12:46 AMWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?BUY YES0.999$3,471Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 12:36 AMWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?BUY YES0.998$4,935Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 4, 12:28 AMWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?BUY YES0.997$7,223Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 11:44 PMWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?BUY YES0.997$4,293Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 11:37 PMWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?BUY YES0.997$3,506Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 12:04 AMWill Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY NO0.999$134.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 2, 12:48 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY NO0.999$59.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 11:50 PMWill Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.760$3,005Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 09:57 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY NO0.998$2,805Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 09:56 PMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?BUY NO0.997$7,828Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 09:55 PMWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?BUY NO0.998$2,570Above conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 07:01 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 30?BUY YES0.999$1,591Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 07:56 PMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY NO0.997$4,905Above conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 07:48 PMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 29?BUY YES0.999$2,190Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 11:04 PMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of May 25 2026?BUY NO0.999$3,211Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 08:25 PMWill SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.999$26.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 08:36 PMSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY YES0.999$1,126Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 08:00 PMSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY YES0.999$8,628Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 04:14 PMWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?BUY YES0.999$2,523Above conviction band — net-negative
May 26, 04:00 PMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.999$1,061Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 10:55 PMWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.996$7,497Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 03:27 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.747$5,175Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 10:34 AMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?BUY YES0.999$35.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 10:01 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 24?BUY YES0.999$1,998Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 06:48 PMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?BUY YES0.999$2,931Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 11:46 AMWill Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?BUY NO0.999$9,536Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 11:15 AMWill Thomas Welby win the 2026 Galway West by-election?BUY NO0.999$5,187Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 10:22 PMWill Sheila Garrity win the 2026 Galway West by-election?BUY NO0.999$6,680Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 09:52 PMWill Niall Murphy win the 2026 Galway West by-election?BUY NO0.999$12.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 09:51 PMWill Denman Rooke win the 2026 Galway West by-election?BUY NO0.999$9,530Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 03:16 PMWill Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?BUY NO0.999$4,778Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 11:26 AMWill Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?BUY NO0.999$11.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 11:25 AMWill Ray McAdam win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?BUY NO0.998$9,234Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 11:24 AMWill Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?BUY NO0.998$1,429Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 11:23 AMWill Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?BUY NO0.999$27.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 11:22 AMWill John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?BUY NO0.999$25.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 11:07 AMWill Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?BUY NO0.999$1,107Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 11:01 AMWill Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?BUY NO0.999$1,129Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 11:00 AMWill Séamas McGrattan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?BUY NO0.999$27.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 10:59 AMWill Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?BUY NO0.999$18.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 10:58 AMWill John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?BUY NO0.998$15.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 08:55 PMWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?BUY YES0.999$19.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 08:54 PMWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?BUY NO0.999$6,280Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 02:39 PMWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 20 and June 26?BUY NO0.999$1,069Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 11:43 AMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?BUY NO0.999$21.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 05:51 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 20?BUY YES0.999$1,828Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 05:51 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?BUY NO0.999$1,440Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 08:00 PMWill 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?BUY NO0.999$4,191Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 08:00 PMWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?BUY NO0.998$2,931Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 07:59 PMWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?BUY NO0.997$2,248Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 06:59 PMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?BUY NO0.999$3,097Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 06:58 PMWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?BUY NO0.999$1,366Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 06:44 PMWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?BUY NO0.999$1,187Above conviction band — net-negative
May 18, 10:58 AMWill Putin visit China by May 31?BUY YES0.998$6,782Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 04:23 PMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 18?BUY NO0.999$2,082Above conviction band — net-negative
May 17, 10:46 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY NO0.999$28.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 05:46 PMWill Thierry Henry be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?BUY NO0.999$3,994Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 05:46 PMWill Petr Cech be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?BUY NO0.999$2,001Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 05:44 PMWill Jurgen Klopp be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?BUY NO0.999$1,947Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 05:11 PMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?BUY NO0.999$1,799Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 05:10 PMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?BUY YES0.999$21.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 01:05 PMWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.998$9,981Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 01:05 PMWill Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.998$9,981Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 01:04 PMWill Serbia win Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.999$9,990Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 01:04 PMWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.999$9,990Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 01:04 PMWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?BUY NO0.999$9,990Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 07:21 AMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?BUY NO0.999$2,657Above conviction band — net-negative
May 16, 06:48 AMWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?BUY NO0.999$1,974Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 06:06 PMWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?BUY YES0.999$9,990Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 05:11 PMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY NO0.999$4,540Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 05:00 PMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?BUY NO0.999$3,546Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 05:00 PMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY NO0.999$23.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 02:51 PMWill Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?BUY NO0.999$3,097Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 02:07 PMWill Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?BUY NO0.998$2,736Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 02:06 PMWill Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?BUY NO0.999$7,914Above conviction band — net-negative
May 15, 02:06 PMWill Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Manchester United?BUY NO0.999$3,732Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 03:22 AMWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair after July 3?BUY NO0.999$4,070Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 04:01 PMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.996$1,626Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 04:06 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 13?BUY NO0.999$4,472Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 04:05 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 13?BUY NO0.999$1,994Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 04:00 AMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.998$9,587Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 03:59 AMWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?BUY YES0.998$2,713Above conviction band — net-negative
May 13, 03:55 AMKevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?BUY NO0.999$3,307Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 04:07 PMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.997$6,579Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 01:46 PMWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?BUY YES0.998$1,125Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 12:51 PMWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?BUY YES0.999$4,348Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 12:50 PMWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?BUY NO0.999$4,178Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 06:27 AMWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?BUY NO0.999$3,867Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 06:27 AMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?BUY NO0.999$2,544Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 02:58 PMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?BUY NO0.999$20.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 02:55 PMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?BUY YES0.999$12.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 02:45 PMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 8?BUY YES0.999$11.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 02:44 PMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 9?BUY YES0.999$2,271Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 11:11 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?BUY YES0.998$1,428Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 10:50 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?BUY YES0.998$1,103Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 10:50 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?BUY NO0.998$4,298Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 02:06 PMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?BUY YES0.997$1,682Above conviction band — net-negative
May 9, 02:05 PMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 9?BUY NO0.999$1,049Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 12:47 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY NO0.999$1,029Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 12:46 AMWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?BUY NO0.999$1,020Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 12:46 AMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?BUY NO0.999$3,434Above conviction band — net-negative
May 8, 12:43 AMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?BUY YES0.999$1,261Above conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 12:40 PMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?BUY NO0.999$1,200Above conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 01:57 AMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?BUY NO0.999$12.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 01:35 AMWill 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?BUY NO0.999$1,693Above conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 01:34 AMWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?BUY NO0.999$4,576Above conviction band — net-negative
May 6, 06:31 AMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY NO0.999$18.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 6, 12:15 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?BUY YES0.999$6,238Above conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 03:31 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 5?BUY NO0.999$5,131Above conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 01:57 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 5?BUY NO0.999$16.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 01:51 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 5?BUY NO0.999$9,990Above conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 01:50 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 5?BUY NO0.998$2,021Above conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 01:49 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 5?BUY NO0.999$10.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 01:35 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 5?BUY NO0.999$5,008Above conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 01:34 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 5?BUY NO0.998$4,645Above conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 01:32 AMWill London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in April?BUY NO0.999$1,949Above conviction band — net-negative
May 5, 01:06 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 5?BUY NO0.999$2,527Above conviction band — net-negative
May 4, 01:51 AMWill the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY NO0.999$11.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 4, 01:25 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?BUY NO0.999$1,559Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 11:02 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 30?BUY NO0.999$1,568Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 11:01 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?BUY YES0.999$1,115Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 06:47 AMWill Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?BUY YES0.999$1,065Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 02:20 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?BUY YES0.999$11.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 02:20 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?BUY YES0.999$1,558Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 02:19 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?BUY NO0.999$6,500Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 02:18 AMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 2?BUY YES0.999$1,024Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 02:17 AMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 1?BUY YES0.999$2,476Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 02:16 AMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?BUY YES0.999$4,141Above conviction band — net-negative
May 3, 12:38 AMWill Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?BUY YES0.995$1,306Above conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 11:00 AMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.031$1,049
May 2, 10:56 AMWill the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL NO0.808$7,501— (SELL)
May 2, 12:19 AMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.999$46.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 2, 12:13 AMWill the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY NO0.993$8,687Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 11:53 PMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.991$21.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 10:45 AMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?BUY YES0.999$4,180Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 10:24 AMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?BUY YES0.999$6,471Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 05:50 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?BUY YES0.999$3,466Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 04:26 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?BUY YES0.999$32.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 04:22 AMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,700 in May?BUY YES0.999$13.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 04:13 AMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?BUY YES0.999$52.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 04:12 AMWill the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY NO0.998$7,884Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 04:09 AMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.998$73.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 12:22 AMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?BUY NO0.999$18.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 12:13 AMStarmer out by April 30, 2026?BUY NO0.999$12.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 12:11 AMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?BUY NO0.999$4,064Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 11:42 PMWill Atlanta Hawks advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.999$1,472Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 11:39 PMWill the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY NO0.997$36.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 11:38 PMWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.999$98.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 11:17 AMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL NO0.967$1,167— (SELL)
Apr 30, 10:40 AMOver $30M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.993$1,797Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 10:40 AMOver $20M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.990$7,530Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 10:24 AMOver $60M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.987$2,546Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 10:19 AMWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?BUY YES0.999$52.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 10:06 AMWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?BUY YES0.998$2,271Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:57 AMOver $30M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.996$3,705Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:55 AMOver $20M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.996$1,713Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:48 AMOver $100M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.997$2,135Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:48 AMOver $60M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.996$3,971Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:45 AMOver $40M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.994$9,993Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:40 AMOver $100M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.996$3,581Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:40 AMOver $200M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.996$1,836Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:39 AMOver $60M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.994$1,415Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:38 AMOver $30M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.990$1,622Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:36 AMOver $40M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.990$4,115Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:35 AMOver $150M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.997$1,013Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:34 AMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.930$1,222Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:33 AMWill MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?BUY YES0.999$14.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:29 AMOver $250M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.997$1,954Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:24 AMWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?BUY YES0.999$19.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 09:18 AMOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?BUY NO0.870$2,762Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 04:04 AMWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?BUY YES0.997$4,098Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 03:56 AMWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?BUY YES0.996$3,864Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 12:19 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?BUY YES0.999$1,009Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 10:22 PMWill MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.999$6,094Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 10:20 PMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?BUY YES0.999$3,973Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 08:37 PMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?BUY NO0.998$3,759Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 08:08 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?BUY NO0.999$1,124Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 08:04 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?BUY NO0.999$15.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 06:06 AMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?BUY NO0.999$7,885Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 05:21 AMWill MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY YES0.999$3,199Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 05:18 AMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY YES0.987$1,579Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 05:14 AMWill MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY YES0.999$1,505Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

144 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics1$134.8K+$134.8K
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports1$98.3K+$98.3K
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Politics5$89.6K+$89.6K
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?Crypto5$81.2K+$81.2K
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports1$73.1K+$73.1K
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports3$69.5K+$69.5K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Tech3$66.8K+$66.8K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Other2$56.2K+$56.2K
Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Politics2$51.4K+$51.4K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 5?Other5$46.6K+$46.6K
Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?Politics2$40.9K+$40.9K
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Sports1$36.4K+$36.4K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Other1$35.0K+$35.0K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Other1$32.3K+$32.3K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Tech1$28.6K+$28.6K
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Other2$28.3K+$28.3K
Will Séamas McGrattan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?Politics1$27.8K+$27.8K
Will Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?Politics1$27.7K+$27.7K
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?Tech1$26.4K+$26.4K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?Other2$24.3K+$24.3K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?Other3$24.3K+$24.3K
Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Politics1$21.2K+$21.2K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?Other1$21.0K+$21.0K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?Other1$21.0K+$21.0K
Will Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?Politics3$20.4K+$20.4K
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?Entertainment1$19.9K+$19.9K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Tech2$19.8K+$19.8K
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Tech3$18.9K+$18.9K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Other1$18.4K+$18.4K
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?Politics1$16.6K+$16.6K

Showing top 30 by volume.