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freedl21
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xf595…bfb5 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
8
lifetime
PnL per $
-2%
historical realized
Win rate
48.5%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$35.0K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 8 resolved trades · -2% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
24
Distinct markets
11
Volume (90d)
$65.6K
avg $2,733 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$36.8K / $28.8K
net direction
Recent trades
last 24 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 09:17 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | SELL YES | 0.200 | $3,000 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 20, 09:13 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | SELL YES | 0.250 | $1,250 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 20, 08:35 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.390 | $1,170 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 20, 07:34 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.670 | $3,350 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 07:02 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $3,450 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 06:13 PM | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.033 | $1,320 | — |
| Jun 13, 01:42 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | SELL YES | 0.930 | $13.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 13, 12:54 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.480 | $7,200 | — |
| Jun 12, 09:43 PM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.460 | $2,300 | — |
| Jun 12, 08:24 PM | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | SELL YES | 0.150 | $1,050 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 07:50 PM | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY NO | 0.570 | $1,710 | — |
| Jun 12, 01:04 PM | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.540 | $2,700 | — |
| Jun 12, 01:04 PM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.470 | $4,700 | — |
| Jun 3, 10:40 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.362 | $1,257 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 10:27 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.011 | $1,100 | — |
| Apr 11, 04:37 AM | 0x8a6b6711 | BUY | 0.510 | $1,005 | — |
| Apr 11, 04:37 AM | 0x8a6b6711 | BUY | 0.510 | $1,508 | — |
| Apr 11, 04:37 AM | 0x8a6b6711 | BUY | 0.510 | $1,508 | — |
| Apr 11, 04:37 AM | 0x8a6b6711 | BUY | 0.510 | $1,759 | — |
| Apr 6, 01:25 AM | 0xfee70407 | SELL YES | 0.720 | $1,797 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 30, 02:30 AM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL YES | 0.680 | $1,360 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 30, 02:29 AM | 0xfee70407 | SELL YES | 0.340 | $2,415 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 25, 12:39 AM | 0xfee70407 | BUY YES | 0.210 | $2,016 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Mar 25, 12:38 AM | 0x98aa2f28 | SELL YES | 0.201 | $2,714 | — (SELL) |
Markets active in
11 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Other | 4 | $28.1K | +$250 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Other | 5 | $12.2K | +$3,720 |
| 0xfee70407 | — | 3 | $6,229 | $-2,197 |
| 0x8a6b6711 | — | 4 | $5,779 | +$5,779 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Other | 2 | $3,750 | +$1,650 |
| 0x98aa2f28 | — | 1 | $2,714 | $-2,714 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Other | 1 | $1,710 | +$1,710 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Other | 1 | $1,360 | $-1,360 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $1,320 | +$1,320 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sports | 1 | $1,257 | $-1,257 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Crypto | 1 | $1,100 | +$1,100 |