| Jun 20, 09:51 PM | Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.737 | $2,700 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 20, 09:50 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | SELL YES | 0.173 | $1,802 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 20, 08:30 PM | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.400 | $1,000 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 2, 05:57 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.006 | $1,500 | —— |
| Jun 1, 03:23 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.567 | $5,000 | —— |
| Jun 1, 01:06 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.730 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 01:02 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.633 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:57 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.619 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:56 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.722 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:35 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.780 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:35 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.797 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:33 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.800 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:28 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.777 | $6,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:28 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.772 | $6,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:27 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.737 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:19 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.810 | $3,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:19 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.826 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:19 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.835 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:15 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.356 | $12.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 12:15 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.835 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:15 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.823 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:15 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.818 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:14 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.640 | $15.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 12:08 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.826 | $2,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:07 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.774 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:06 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.700 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:06 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.699 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:06 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:06 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.673 | $2,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:06 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.678 | $2,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 06:41 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.150 | $1,695 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 02:31 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.177 | $2,000 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 18, 12:58 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | BUY YES | 0.685 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 01:34 PM | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL YES | 0.239 | $1,458 | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 09:39 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.143 | $5,000 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 13, 09:38 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.209 | $5,000 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 13, 07:46 PM | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY YES | 0.820 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 07:45 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL YES | 0.203 | $4,875 | — (SELL) |
| May 13, 04:33 AM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.208 | $5,000 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 7, 08:41 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL YES | 0.495 | $3,340 | — (SELL) |
| May 7, 08:41 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | SELL YES | 0.032 | $3,032 | — (SELL) |
| May 7, 07:46 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY YES | 0.593 | $4,000 | —— |
| May 7, 07:44 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY YES | 0.100 | $8,133 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 7, 07:44 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY YES | 0.140 | $1,867 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 28, 09:33 PM | 0x9b95141b | BUY NO | 0.820 | $5,000 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 05:56 PM | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY YES | 0.609 | $1,211 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 23, 05:55 PM | 0x306d10d4 | SELL YES | 0.125 | $1,211 | — (SELL) |