| Jun 12, 07:27 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | BUY NO | 0.600 | $1,193 | —— |
| Jun 11, 08:53 PM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $8,733 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 08:51 PM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $10.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 11, 08:51 PM | Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $28.3K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 10, 03:10 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $1,718 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 06:20 PM | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | BUY NO | 0.784 | $7,687 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 05:38 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.779 | $5,842 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 04:59 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY NO | 0.777 | $1,337 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 03:06 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $109.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 11:00 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | SELL YES | 0.995 | $1,194 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 10:56 PM | Iran closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $6,456 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 7, 10:49 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 22? | BUY YES | 0.988 | $1,050 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 10:33 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY YES | 0.961 | $3,976 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 09:50 PM | Iran closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY YES | 0.975 | $1,001 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 09:50 PM | Iran closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY YES | 0.971 | $1,602 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 08:22 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY NO | 0.596 | $7,316 | —— |
| Jun 7, 06:04 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $12.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 04:35 AM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY NO | 0.950 | $4,610 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 06:09 PM | Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY NO | 0.769 | $3,790 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 01:34 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.994 | $5,069 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 11:24 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $25.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 3, 11:18 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $5,080 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 07:19 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.991 | $4,955 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 07:17 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.991 | $7,433 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 07:16 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.991 | $4,955 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 2, 04:17 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.991 | $9,304 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 02:22 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.334 | $2,206 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 01:08 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.286 | $3,654 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 1, 12:46 PM | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL NO | 0.575 | $1,910 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 12:40 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.243 | $2,430 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 1, 12:37 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.219 | $1,346 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 1, 12:35 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.203 | $2,416 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 1, 12:34 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $2,837 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 12:34 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.853 | $3,412 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 12:31 PM | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL NO | 0.856 | $3,926 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 12:10 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.297 | $3,169 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 1, 12:04 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.621 | $3,239 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:04 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $34.6K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 12:03 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.600 | $10.8K | —— |
| Jun 1, 12:02 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.540 | $6,662 | —— |
| Jun 1, 12:01 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $47.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 12:00 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.613 | $4,931 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 11:59 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.613 | $5,620 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 11:59 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $37.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 11:54 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.897 | $27.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 11:53 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $47.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 11:22 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $28.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 10:52 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.881 | $3,345 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 09:54 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $23.5K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 09:47 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $25.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 08:18 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $12.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 07:10 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $15.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 06:59 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $12.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 06:57 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.259 | $12.5K | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 1, 06:46 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.871 | $6,401 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 05:42 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.839 | $8,720 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 03:42 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $49.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 03:33 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $98.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 01:15 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.993 | $1,871 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 12:04 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $40.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 11:52 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.987 | $2,282 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 11:01 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.844 | $3,227 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 10:43 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.829 | $2,175 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 03:13 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $4,700 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 03:12 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.940 | $4,700 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 11:20 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $8,547 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 11:20 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $30.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 10:54 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $15.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 10:39 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $8,377 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 10:28 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $17.3K | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 09:39 PM | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $9,989 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 08:09 PM | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $12.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 06:55 PM | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $5,175 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 05:11 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $7,061 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 04:58 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $20.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 04:48 PM | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY NO | 0.450 | $1,015 | —— |
| May 30, 04:44 PM | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL NO | 0.450 | $1,075 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 04:32 PM | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL NO | 0.460 | $4,868 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 04:29 PM | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL NO | 0.460 | $5,047 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 04:19 PM | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY NO | 0.450 | $13.6K | —— |
| May 30, 04:18 PM | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL NO | 0.480 | $3,707 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 04:12 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.820 | $4,920 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 04:10 AM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.610 | $1,220 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 04:08 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30? | BUY NO | 0.930 | $3,720 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 01:51 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $41.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 08:28 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $3,039 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 06:57 PM | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $6,915 | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 02:06 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.300 | $3,815 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 29, 11:27 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $24.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 29, 05:44 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.639 | $1,705 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 05:09 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.650 | $6,339 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 05:06 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.650 | $3,081 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 05:06 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.639 | $3,226 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 03:48 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $21.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 03:47 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $12.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 03:09 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | BUY NO | 0.996 | $1,793 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 28, 02:03 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $7,159 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 08:20 PM | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? | SELL NO | 0.210 | $1,321 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 08:15 PM | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? | SELL NO | 0.250 | $2,459 | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 08:10 PM | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? | BUY NO | 0.630 | $3,954 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 03:19 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $29.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 03:18 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $14.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 12:25 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $12.3K | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 12:06 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.994 | $8,946 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 10:47 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.969 | $1,239 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 09:25 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $24.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 04:29 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $4,965 | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 04:28 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.993 | $29.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 02:55 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.940 | $22.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 08:08 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $6,884 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 06:45 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.650 | $1,433 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 05:10 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.988 | $2,195 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 04:47 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.989 | $7,691 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 04:28 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.988 | $5,829 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 04:26 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.988 | $3,952 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 03:51 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.985 | $2,561 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 03:41 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.640 | $4,129 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 03:19 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.984 | $11.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 03:16 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.966 | $2,898 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 03:13 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.985 | $11.9K | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 02:49 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.985 | $21.0K | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 02:48 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.986 | $9,955 | — (SELL) |
| May 25, 02:38 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $2,424 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 02:37 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | SELL NO | 0.986 | $27.4K | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 01:38 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY NO | 0.865 | $8,453 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 01:38 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY NO | 0.854 | $13.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 10:04 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY NO | 0.798 | $1,611 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 05:51 PM | Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? | BUY YES | 0.760 | $2,374 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 05:41 PM | Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24? | BUY YES | 0.770 | $5,288 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 05:37 PM | Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24? | BUY YES | 0.730 | $3,757 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 11:14 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY YES | 0.343 | $9,719 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 23, 10:47 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY YES | 0.418 | $2,929 | —— |
| May 23, 02:43 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $10.4K | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 01:47 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.970 | $18.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 23, 12:19 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY NO | 0.044 | $1,127 | —— |
| May 22, 11:57 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | BUY NO | 0.030 | $1,523 | —— |
| May 22, 06:10 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $13.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 06:05 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.944 | $4,928 | — (SELL) |
| May 22, 04:30 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.784 | $17.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 04:25 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY NO | 0.935 | $23.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 11:54 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $1,911 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 08:08 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | BUY NO | 0.971 | $15.5K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 21, 04:51 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.822 | $1,110 | — (SELL) |
| May 20, 02:07 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY NO | 0.690 | $6,647 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 09:07 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY NO | 0.710 | $4,367 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 09:02 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY NO | 0.700 | $3,621 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 08:20 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $1,680 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 08:06 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | BUY NO | 0.810 | $1,944 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 08:05 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.670 | $1,722 | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 07:33 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $8,800 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 07:27 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $3,360 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 07:26 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | SELL NO | 0.900 | $16.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 07:18 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | BUY NO | 0.789 | $5,522 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 07:17 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | SELL NO | 0.910 | $5,486 | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 06:01 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | BUY NO | 0.850 | $1,360 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 05:33 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.961 | $4,810 | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 04:59 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $8,863 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 04:58 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $1,846 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 04:55 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | BUY NO | 0.870 | $13.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 04:54 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | BUY NO | 0.860 | $2,326 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 10:31 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL NO | 0.952 | $11.4K | — (SELL) |
| May 18, 02:39 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $4,193 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 07:47 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY NO | 0.957 | $1,669 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 10:08 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY NO | 0.686 | $7,164 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 10:06 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | BUY NO | 0.900 | $2,308 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 10:03 PM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | BUY NO | 0.790 | $1,688 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 09:13 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY NO | 0.670 | $1,402 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 05:55 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY NO | 0.690 | $29.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 05:37 PM | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17? | BUY YES | 0.900 | $5,105 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 05:32 PM | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-17? | BUY NO | 0.780 | $1,867 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 17, 05:30 PM | Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-17? | BUY YES | 0.480 | $1,243 | —— |
| May 17, 03:14 PM | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17? | BUY YES | 0.560 | $3,553 | —— |
| May 17, 02:37 PM | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17? | BUY NO | 0.770 | $2,480 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 09:31 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.630 | $4,229 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 08:56 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | BUY NO | 0.858 | $20.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 16, 08:55 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY NO | 0.757 | $26.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 10:53 PM | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BUY NO | 0.960 | $4,227 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 08:56 PM | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $35.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 08:56 PM | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $8,055 | — (SELL) |
| May 15, 07:23 PM | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? | BUY NO | 0.660 | $3,960 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 07:23 PM | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? | BUY NO | 0.660 | $3,960 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 07:20 PM | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? | BUY NO | 0.660 | $1,127 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 07:19 PM | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? | BUY NO | 0.660 | $1,129 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 08:08 AM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.433 | $14.9K | —— |
| May 14, 10:27 PM | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $15.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 14, 09:10 PM | Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $9,714 | — (SELL) |
| May 14, 08:43 PM | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? | BUY YES | 0.870 | $12.3K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 08:22 PM | Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $10.5K | — (SELL) |
| May 14, 08:11 PM | Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14? | BUY YES | 0.100 | $1,024 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 14, 08:01 PM | Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $4,995 | — (SELL) |
| May 14, 08:01 PM | Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $9,990 | — (SELL) |
| May 14, 06:50 PM | Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14? | BUY NO | 0.760 | $1,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 06:48 PM | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14? | BUY YES | 0.460 | $2,269 | —— |
| May 14, 06:47 PM | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14? | BUY YES | 0.450 | $5,330 | —— |
| May 14, 06:41 PM | Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14? | BUY NO | 0.730 | $1,473 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 14, 03:28 AM | Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14? | BUY NO | 0.510 | $13.1K | —— |
| May 13, 09:07 PM | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13? | BUY YES | 0.700 | $2,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 09:07 PM | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13? | BUY YES | 0.700 | $3,082 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 09:02 PM | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13? | BUY YES | 0.660 | $2,866 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 09:00 PM | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13? | BUY YES | 0.660 | $4,620 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |