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phonesculptor
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xf152…64aa with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
3
lifetime
PnL per $
+10%
historical realized
Win rate
100.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$31.7K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 3 resolved trades · 10% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
46
Distinct markets
39
Volume (90d)
$344.3K
avg $7,485 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$287.3K / $57.0K
net direction
Recent trades
last 46 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 02:26 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $26.5K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 08:13 PM | Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | BUY YES | 0.680 | $2,162 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 08:38 PM | Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets | BUY YES | 0.615 | $2,952 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 21, 10:07 PM | New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.460 | $7,593 | — |
| Apr 21, 04:01 PM | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs | SELL | 0.460 | $4,600 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 19, 03:18 PM | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.500 | $4,890 | — |
| Apr 18, 08:04 PM | San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.510 | $10.1K | — |
| Apr 17, 06:39 PM | Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.669 | $10.8K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 16, 04:14 PM | Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.520 | $1,206 | — |
| Apr 16, 07:31 AM | Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.710 | $1,614 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 14, 10:36 PM | 0xfa013023 | BUY | 0.420 | $4,200 | — |
| Apr 12, 03:26 PM | 0xb10980a4 | BUY | 0.600 | $3,529 | — |
| Apr 12, 03:00 PM | 0x007ca282 | BUY NO | 0.990 | $9,900 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 11, 01:36 PM | 0xfa3e0246 | BUY NO | 0.810 | $28.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 11, 06:38 AM | 0xec3aba74 | BUY | 0.540 | $4,050 | — |
| Apr 11, 06:37 AM | 0x02da0bea | BUY | 0.470 | $8,148 | — |
| Apr 10, 05:01 PM | 0x0ba8ddd5 | SELL | 0.420 | $1,408 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 9, 08:12 PM | 0x7c3b994d | BUY | 0.730 | $10.9K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 8, 05:00 AM | 0x5d064276 | BUY | 0.530 | $4,036 | — |
| Apr 8, 04:50 AM | 0x04a2b19c | BUY NO | 0.820 | $56.8K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 8, 12:51 AM | 0xbf9f4420 | SELL | 0.520 | $2,213 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 8, 12:17 AM | 0xbf9f4420 | SELL | 0.560 | $1,114 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 7, 09:00 PM | 0xbf9f4420 | SELL | 0.610 | $1,112 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 7, 06:13 PM | 0x8a24aeb9 | BUY | 0.940 | $6,291 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 6, 09:45 PM | 0x40236182 | SELL | 0.540 | $6,482 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 6, 05:49 PM | 0xdfdd95be | SELL | 0.730 | $7,977 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 6, 05:08 PM | 0x15ef3eb5 | BUY | 0.520 | $3,521 | — |
| Apr 6, 05:07 PM | 0x15ef3eb5 | BUY | 0.530 | $2,613 | — |
| Apr 6, 03:29 PM | 0xe13b1aa4 | BUY | 0.860 | $13.8K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 6, 03:21 AM | 0x40236182 | BUY | 0.560 | $1,171 | — |
| Apr 4, 03:03 PM | 0xe91a88ae | SELL | 0.750 | $8,426 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 2, 11:06 PM | 0x812356ca | SELL | 0.530 | $1,060 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 2, 04:37 PM | 0xdb38d126 | BUY | 0.810 | $3,584 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 2, 04:01 PM | Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | SELL | 0.617 | $6,791 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 2, 03:58 PM | Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | SELL | 0.620 | $8,648 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 28, 06:46 PM | 0x605ffdd2 | SELL | 0.640 | $1,944 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 28, 06:45 PM | 0x605ffdd2 | SELL | 0.640 | $4,000 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 28, 04:04 PM | 0x74e3d59c | BUY | 0.590 | $1,039 | — |
| Mar 28, 03:47 AM | 0x605ffdd2 | BUY | 0.650 | $4,080 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 28, 03:21 AM | 0xcdedd446 | SELL | 0.300 | $1,220 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 27, 06:34 PM | 0x682ec1e3 | BUY | 0.810 | $16.2K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 24, 02:49 PM | 0x3abdb3db | BUY | 0.560 | $5,600 | — |
| Mar 24, 02:48 PM | 0x71096d55 | BUY | 0.500 | $7,500 | — |
| Mar 24, 02:47 PM | 0x14a8b95f | BUY | 0.560 | $4,480 | — |
| Mar 24, 02:44 PM | 0x74e77fc9 | BUY | 0.580 | $6,250 | — |
| Mar 23, 03:12 PM | 0x96f0f7a2 | BUY | 0.640 | $12.8K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
Markets active in
39 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x04a2b19c | — | 1 | $56.8K | +$56.8K |
| 0xfa3e0246 | — | 1 | $28.9K | +$28.9K |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Other | 1 | $26.5K | +$26.5K |
| 0x682ec1e3 | — | 1 | $16.2K | +$16.2K |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | Other | 2 | $15.4K | $-15,439 |
| 0xe13b1aa4 | — | 1 | $13.8K | +$13.8K |
| 0x96f0f7a2 | — | 1 | $12.8K | +$12.8K |
| 0x7c3b994d | — | 1 | $10.9K | +$10.9K |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez | Sports | 1 | $10.8K | +$10.8K |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals | Other | 1 | $10.1K | +$10.1K |
| 0x605ffdd2 | — | 3 | $10.0K | $-1,864 |
| 0x007ca282 | — | 1 | $9,900 | +$9,900 |
| 0xe91a88ae | — | 1 | $8,426 | $-8,426 |
| 0x02da0bea | — | 1 | $8,148 | +$8,148 |
| 0xdfdd95be | — | 1 | $7,977 | $-7,977 |
| 0x40236182 | — | 2 | $7,653 | $-5,311 |
| New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox | Other | 1 | $7,593 | +$7,593 |
| 0x71096d55 | — | 1 | $7,500 | +$7,500 |
| 0x8a24aeb9 | — | 1 | $6,291 | +$6,291 |
| 0x74e77fc9 | — | 1 | $6,250 | +$6,250 |
| 0x15ef3eb5 | — | 2 | $6,134 | +$6,134 |
| 0x3abdb3db | — | 1 | $5,600 | +$5,600 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Other | 1 | $4,890 | +$4,890 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs | Other | 1 | $4,600 | $-4,600 |
| 0x14a8b95f | — | 1 | $4,480 | +$4,480 |
| 0xbf9f4420 | — | 3 | $4,440 | $-4,440 |
| 0xfa013023 | — | 1 | $4,200 | +$4,200 |
| 0xec3aba74 | — | 1 | $4,050 | +$4,050 |
| 0x5d064276 | — | 1 | $4,036 | +$4,036 |
| 0xdb38d126 | — | 1 | $3,584 | +$3,584 |
Showing top 30 by volume.