Back to whale feed
qscbn
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xef50…e3bd with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
28
lifetime
PnL per $
-29%
historical realized
Win rate
40.2%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$287.7K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 28 resolved trades · -29% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
56
Distinct markets
31
Volume (90d)
$420.1K
avg $7,501 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$140.0K / $280.0K
net direction
Recent trades
last 56 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 01:29 AM | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | BUY YES | 0.570 | $1,049 | — |
| Jun 13, 05:17 AM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $41.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 10:36 PM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.470 | $19.7K | — |
| Jun 12, 08:38 PM | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.610 | $5,000 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 08:33 PM | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | SELL YES | 0.546 | $5,156 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 12, 08:26 PM | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.520 | $4,914 | — |
| Jun 12, 07:24 PM | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | SELL YES | 0.420 | $10.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 19, 06:15 PM | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | BUY YES | 0.600 | $11.5K | — |
| May 17, 12:17 PM | Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $5,837 | — (SELL) |
| May 17, 03:21 AM | Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17? | BUY YES | 0.560 | $3,272 | — |
| May 10, 10:26 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $4,378 | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 08:08 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10? | BUY YES | 0.750 | $2,100 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 06:36 PM | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $22.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 12:32 PM | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | BUY YES | 0.640 | $14.1K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 10, 12:30 PM | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $14.3K | — (SELL) |
| May 10, 10:19 AM | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10? | BUY YES | 0.700 | $10.0K | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 07:41 PM | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09? | SELL YES | 0.860 | $1,870 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 06:27 PM | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $1,500 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 9, 06:26 PM | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $4,046 | — (SELL) |
| May 9, 05:40 PM | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09? | BUY YES | 0.630 | $2,552 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 6, 07:57 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | SELL YES | 0.440 | $7,833 | — (SELL) |
| May 6, 07:55 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | SELL YES | 0.440 | $2,498 | — (SELL) |
| May 6, 07:52 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | SELL YES | 0.440 | $31.2K | — (SELL) |
| May 6, 07:34 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | SELL YES | 0.410 | $5,654 | — (SELL) |
| May 5, 12:54 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | BUY YES | 0.250 | $5,039 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 5, 11:38 AM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | BUY YES | 0.250 | $8,422 | Cheap band — no rep |
| May 4, 06:41 PM | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $37.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 3, 05:03 PM | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03? | BUY YES | 0.500 | $4,247 | — |
| May 2, 06:52 PM | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-02? | BUY YES | 0.380 | $1,012 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 19, 10:00 PM | 0x39c0072e | SELL | 0.990 | $3,960 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 19, 09:45 PM | 0xd1517ae8 | SELL | 0.990 | $2,708 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 19, 09:25 PM | 0x12f8c24f | SELL | 0.990 | $1,009 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 19, 08:55 PM | 0x6104340f | SELL | 0.990 | $4,733 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 19, 03:52 PM | 0x0233cfec | BUY | 0.250 | $2,566 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 19, 03:45 PM | 0xf8a0ccb9 | SELL | 0.990 | $5,445 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 19, 03:10 PM | 0x69dbec3a | SELL YES | 0.999 | $14.3K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 08:55 PM | 0x610459cd | SELL | 0.990 | $1,444 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 08:36 PM | 0x4b46ec50 | SELL | 0.999 | $2,679 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 03:55 PM | 0x4c27acaa | SELL | 0.620 | $9,581 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 03:52 PM | 0x4c27acaa | SELL | 0.620 | $5,050 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 03:02 PM | 0x4c27acaa | BUY | 0.478 | $1,280 | — |
| Apr 18, 02:46 PM | 0x4c27acaa | BUY | 0.410 | $4,927 | — |
| Apr 18, 10:24 AM | 0x4c27acaa | BUY | 0.400 | $3,653 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 17, 05:27 PM | 0x2f7d2ab5 | BUY YES | 0.320 | $1,959 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 17, 04:19 PM | 0x2f7d2ab5 | BUY YES | 0.660 | $3,057 | Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 14, 09:11 PM | 0xecc2bcec | SELL YES | 0.999 | $20.4K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 14, 02:06 PM | 0xecc2bcec | BUY YES | 0.370 | $7,573 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 14, 02:06 PM | 0xab0030e4 | BUY YES | 0.230 | $2,301 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 13, 07:54 PM | 0x77b30905 | BUY YES | 0.105 | $1,947 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 13, 07:14 PM | 0x77b30905 | BUY YES | 0.360 | $1,962 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 13, 06:04 PM | 0x77b30905 | BUY YES | 0.590 | $2,563 | — |
| Apr 12, 06:40 PM | 0x86ec3fe7 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $6,888 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 12, 06:39 PM | 0xefbec6ae | BUY YES | 0.280 | $2,464 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 12, 02:38 PM | 0x86ec3fe7 | BUY YES | 0.500 | $3,448 | — |
| Apr 7, 09:13 PM | 0x5f5c8d8f | SELL YES | 0.999 | $7,416 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 7, 06:27 PM | 0x5f5c8d8f | BUY YES | 0.410 | $5,913 | — |
Markets active in
31 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Other | 2 | $61.5K | $-22,134 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | Tech | 6 | $60.7K | $-33,769 |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04? | Other | 1 | $37.6K | $-37,585 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | Other | 2 | $36.2K | $-7,932 |
| 0xecc2bcec | — | 2 | $28.0K | $-12,875 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Other | 4 | $25.1K | $-5,322 |
| 0x4c27acaa | — | 5 | $24.5K | $-4,770 |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10? | Other | 2 | $24.3K | $-4,282 |
| 0x69dbec3a | — | 1 | $14.3K | $-14,315 |
| 0x5f5c8d8f | — | 2 | $13.3K | $-1,502 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | Other | 1 | $11.5K | +$11.5K |
| 0x86ec3fe7 | — | 2 | $10.3K | $-3,441 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17? | Other | 2 | $9,109 | $-2,565 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09? | Other | 2 | $6,597 | $-1,494 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10? | Tech | 2 | $6,478 | $-2,278 |
| 0x77b30905 | — | 3 | $6,471 | +$6,471 |
| 0xf8a0ccb9 | — | 1 | $5,445 | $-5,445 |
| 0x2f7d2ab5 | — | 2 | $5,016 | +$5,016 |
| 0x6104340f | — | 1 | $4,733 | $-4,733 |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03? | Other | 1 | $4,247 | +$4,247 |
| 0x39c0072e | — | 1 | $3,960 | $-3,960 |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09? | Other | 2 | $3,370 | $-370 |
| 0xd1517ae8 | — | 1 | $2,708 | $-2,708 |
| 0x4b46ec50 | — | 1 | $2,679 | $-2,679 |
| 0x0233cfec | — | 1 | $2,566 | +$2,566 |
| 0xefbec6ae | — | 1 | $2,464 | +$2,464 |
| 0xab0030e4 | — | 1 | $2,301 | +$2,301 |
| 0x610459cd | — | 1 | $1,444 | $-1,444 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Other | 1 | $1,049 | +$1,049 |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-02? | Other | 1 | $1,012 | +$1,012 |
Showing top 30 by volume.