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0xef44…5483

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xef44…5483 with our methodology badges per row.

0xef4437b570d97322cd567968f6e5cb6b10685483·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
62
lifetime
PnL per $
+41402%
historical realized
Win rate
57.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$310.3K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
76
Distinct markets
36
Volume (90d)
$362.7K
avg $4,772 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$96.5K / $266.2K
net direction

Recent trades

last 76 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
May 9, 11:11 AMWill the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?SELL YES0.982$4,399— (SELL)
May 4, 05:45 PMWill the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?BUY YES0.856$1,473Above conviction band — net-negative
May 4, 05:44 PMWill the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?BUY YES0.850$1,975Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 12:36 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7AM ETSELL YES0.999$11.7K— (SELL)
Apr 29, 11:00 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7AM ETBUY YES0.593$1,812—
Apr 29, 10:57 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7AM ETBUY YES0.624$1,557Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 10:57 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7AM ETBUY YES0.580$3,192—
Apr 29, 09:04 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5AM ETBUY YES0.615$2,554Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 07:06 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2PM ETSELL YES0.999$6,600— (SELL)
Apr 28, 06:04 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2PM ETBUY YES0.599$2,101—
Apr 28, 06:00 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2PM ETBUY YES0.482$1,493—
Apr 28, 03:04 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10AM ETSELL YES0.999$1,686— (SELL)
Apr 28, 10:04 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5AM ETSELL YES0.999$9,069— (SELL)
Apr 28, 09:18 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5AM ETBUY YES0.678$1,450Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 09:10 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5AM ETBUY YES0.548$1,277—
Apr 28, 09:04 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5AM ETBUY YES0.645$1,715Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 07:05 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ETSELL YES0.999$2,007— (SELL)
Apr 27, 12:20 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7AM ETSELL YES0.999$9,294— (SELL)
Apr 27, 10:57 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7AM ETBUY YES0.602$3,363Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 27, 10:57 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7AM ETBUY YES0.642$2,389Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 09:34 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6PM ETSELL YES0.420$1,498— (SELL)
Apr 26, 09:23 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6PM ETBUY YES0.540$1,924—
Apr 26, 09:04 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ETBUY YES0.691$1,838Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 09:03 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6PM ETBUY YES0.535$1,923—
Apr 26, 09:01 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ETBUY YES0.661$1,862Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 09:00 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4PM ETSELL YES0.990$15.6K— (SELL)
Apr 26, 08:21 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4PM ETBUY YES0.758$2,461Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 08:03 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4PM ETBUY YES0.611$2,335Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 08:03 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4PM ETBUY YES0.612$2,278Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 08:03 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4PM ETBUY YES0.544$1,704—
Apr 26, 07:03 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2PM ETSELL YES0.999$2,032— (SELL)
Apr 26, 06:28 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3PM ETBUY YES0.571$1,929—
Apr 26, 06:26 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3PM ETBUY YES0.535$1,923—
Apr 26, 05:45 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2PM ETBUY YES0.569$1,157—
Apr 26, 05:25 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12PM ETSELL YES0.999$6,938— (SELL)
Apr 26, 04:29 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12PM ETBUY YES0.665$1,558Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 04:29 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12PM ETBUY YES0.597$1,266—
Apr 26, 04:29 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12PM ETBUY YES0.515$1,277—
Apr 26, 02:00 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9AM ETSELL YES0.999$1,367— (SELL)
Apr 26, 01:31 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8AM ETSELL YES0.999$1,170— (SELL)
Apr 26, 10:30 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5AM ETSELL YES0.999$11.1K— (SELL)
Apr 26, 09:20 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5AM ETBUY YES0.738$2,035Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 09:12 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5AM ETBUY YES0.695$2,433Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 03:30 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ETSELL YES0.999$14.4K— (SELL)
Apr 26, 02:16 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ETBUY YES0.769$1,007Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 02:14 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ETBUY YES0.820$1,348Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 02:12 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ETBUY YES0.662$1,176Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 02:12 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ETBUY YES0.623$2,157Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 02:11 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9PM ETSELL YES0.999$9,763— (SELL)
Apr 26, 02:09 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11PM ETBUY YES0.531$1,421—
Apr 26, 02:05 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ETBUY YES0.776$1,323Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 02:05 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ETBUY YES0.708$1,275Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 02:00 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ETBUY YES0.466$1,176—
Apr 26, 01:00 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9PM ETBUY YES0.487$1,513—
Apr 26, 12:57 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9PM ETBUY YES0.589$2,414—
Apr 25, 11:46 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ETBUY YES0.601$1,217Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 11:45 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ETBUY YES0.584$2,896—
Apr 25, 11:03 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6AM ETSELL YES0.999$3,222— (SELL)
Apr 25, 10:32 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6AM ETBUY YES0.859$1,646Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 24, 03:03 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10AM ETSELL YES0.990$13.8K— (SELL)
Apr 24, 08:01 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3AM ETSELL YES0.999$22.5K— (SELL)
Apr 23, 02:02 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9AM ETSELL YES0.999$21.5K— (SELL)
Apr 23, 01:04 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8AM ETSELL YES0.999$26.5K— (SELL)
Apr 23, 12:01 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7AM ETSELL YES0.999$15.7K— (SELL)
Apr 23, 04:03 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11PM ETSELL YES0.999$14.8K— (SELL)
Apr 23, 03:02 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10PM ETSELL YES0.999$16.0K— (SELL)
Apr 23, 01:22 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8PM ETSELL YES0.999$11.6K— (SELL)
Apr 21, 07:10 PMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 21?BUY0.922$4,814Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 21, 04:05 PMBitcoin Up or Down on April 21?SELL0.999$5,203— (SELL)
Apr 21, 10:21 AMBitcoin Up or Down on April 21?BUY0.838$4,364Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 20, 02:31 PM0xd75a9de8SELL YES0.980$4,438— (SELL)
Apr 14, 09:07 PM0xd75a9de8BUY YES0.914$4,138Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 06:01 PM0xc2766ea3BUY YES0.800$1,647Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 13, 03:45 PM0x304671c0SELL YES0.850$2,228— (SELL)
Apr 13, 10:27 AM0x304671c0BUY YES0.780$1,504Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 02:04 PM0x0a738fbbBUY YES0.810$3,179Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

36 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8AM ETCrypto1$26.5K$-26,548
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4PM ETCrypto5$24.4K$-6,831
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ETCrypto8$23.9K$-4,942
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3AM ETCrypto1$22.5K$-22,501
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9AM ETCrypto1$21.5K$-21,546
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7AM ETCrypto4$18.3K$-5,183
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10PM ETCrypto1$16.0K$-15,974
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7AM ETCrypto1$15.7K$-15,667
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5AM ETCrypto3$15.5K$-6,598
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7AM ETCrypto3$15.0K$-3,542
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11PM ETCrypto1$14.8K$-14,781
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10AM ETCrypto1$13.8K$-13,843
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9PM ETCrypto3$13.7K$-5,837
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5AM ETCrypto4$13.5K$-4,627
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8PM ETCrypto1$11.6K$-11,604
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12PM ETCrypto4$11.0K$-2,837
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2PM ETCrypto3$10.2K$-3,006
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?Crypto2$9,567$-839
0xd75a9de8—2$8,576$-300
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?Other3$7,847$-951
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6PM ETCrypto3$5,345+$2,350
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6AM ETCrypto2$4,868$-1,576
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 21?Finance1$4,814+$4,814
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ETCrypto2$4,112+$4,112
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3PM ETCrypto2$3,852+$3,852
0x304671c0—2$3,732$-724
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ETCrypto2$3,700+$3,700
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2PM ETCrypto2$3,189$-875
0x0a738fbb—1$3,179+$3,179
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5AM ETCrypto1$2,554+$2,554

Showing top 30 by volume.