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keasiyo
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xee67…ef38 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
6
lifetime
PnL per $
-71%
historical realized
Win rate
7.8%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$32.9K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 6 resolved trades · -71% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
25
Distinct markets
20
Volume (90d)
$513.4K
avg $20.5K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$97.4K / $416.0K
net direction
Recent trades
last 25 · 90d window| When | Market | Side | Price | Size | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 01:04 AM | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.056 | $7,203 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 1, 02:47 AM | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY YES | 0.058 | $30.4K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 30, 05:08 PM | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY YES | 0.170 | $5,100 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 10, 06:20 PM | Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-10? | BUY YES | 0.070 | $1,167 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 9, 05:25 PM | Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-09? | BUY YES | 0.180 | $2,054 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 9, 05:24 PM | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.006 | $6,000 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 06:20 PM | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? | BUY YES | 0.370 | $18.5K | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 28, 06:18 PM | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.157 | $11.8K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 02:08 PM | Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 | BUY YES | 0.270 | $2,577 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 20, 06:21 AM | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? | BUY YES | 0.350 | $3,456 | Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 15, 06:42 PM | 0x600f99fb | BUY | 0.200 | $2,512 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 15, 06:42 PM | 0xcc7dcc6c | BUY YES | 0.220 | $10.7K | Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 15, 06:41 PM | 0xef8aaa5a | BUY | 0.260 | $5,721 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 14, 06:46 PM | 0xd72c3cb8 | BUY YES | 0.260 | $5,085 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 8, 09:29 PM | 0xaf91cabf | SELL | 0.999 | $3,452 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 8, 09:29 PM | 0xaf91cabf | SELL | 0.999 | $41.6K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 8, 09:29 PM | 0x04a2b19c | SELL YES | 0.999 | $1,397 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 8, 09:29 PM | 0x04a2b19c | SELL YES | 0.999 | $90.6K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 8, 09:29 PM | 0x04a2b19c | SELL YES | 0.999 | $26.1K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 8, 09:29 PM | 0x6cfe9791 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $49.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 8, 09:28 PM | 0x1c16b60c | SELL YES | 0.999 | $76.0K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 8, 09:27 PM | 0x6a8e661d | SELL | 0.999 | $107.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 5, 04:33 PM | 0x59d392e3 | BUY YES | 0.220 | $1,193 | Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 5, 04:23 PM | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL YES | 0.112 | $1,119 | — (SELL) |
| Mar 29, 05:50 PM | 0xa2cc8a4a | BUY YES | 0.210 | $1,737 | Cheap band — no rep |
Markets active in
20 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x04a2b19c | — | 3 | $118.1K | $-118,064 |
| 0x6a8e661d | — | 1 | $107.9K | $-107,936 |
| 0x1c16b60c | — | 1 | $76.0K | $-76,023 |
| 0x6cfe9791 | — | 1 | $49.9K | $-49,949 |
| 0xaf91cabf | — | 2 | $45.1K | $-45,071 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 2 | $37.6K | +$37.6K |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? | Other | 2 | $22.0K | +$22.0K |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $11.8K | $-11,791 |
| 0xcc7dcc6c | — | 1 | $10.7K | +$10.7K |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $6,000 | $-6,000 |
| 0xef8aaa5a | — | 1 | $5,721 | +$5,721 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Tech | 1 | $5,100 | +$5,100 |
| 0xd72c3cb8 | — | 1 | $5,085 | +$5,085 |
| Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 | Other | 1 | $2,577 | +$2,577 |
| 0x600f99fb | — | 1 | $2,512 | +$2,512 |
| Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-09? | Other | 1 | $2,054 | +$2,054 |
| 0xa2cc8a4a | — | 1 | $1,737 | +$1,737 |
| 0x59d392e3 | — | 1 | $1,193 | +$1,193 |
| Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-10? | Other | 1 | $1,167 | +$1,167 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Other | 1 | $1,119 | $-1,119 |