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EducatedGuess69420
Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xed49…8783 with our methodology badges per row.
Resolved trades
4
lifetime
PnL per $
-77%
historical realized
Win rate
12.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$15.5K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails
The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 4 resolved trades · -77% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.
Trades (90d)
15
Distinct markets
8
Volume (90d)
$130.0K
avg $8,664 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$76.2K / $53.8K
net direction
Recent trades
last 15 · 90d windowMarkets active in
8 markets · sorted by volume| Market | Category | Trades | Volume | Net BUY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Other | 4 | $44.0K | +$2,763 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Tech | 3 | $39.7K | +$1,497 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Other | 1 | $19.1K | +$19.1K |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | Other | 2 | $9,928 | +$9,928 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Other | 1 | $8,571 | $-8,571 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Other | 2 | $5,557 | $-1,557 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | 1 | $1,918 | $-1,918 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | 1 | $1,194 | +$1,194 |