| Jun 13, 04:05 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.710 | $1,788 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 05:52 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.620 | $2,728 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 13, 05:51 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? | BUY YES | 0.599 | $1,971 | —— |
| Jun 13, 04:47 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.590 | $2,695 | —— |
| Jun 12, 11:20 PM | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY YES | 0.470 | $1,500 | —— |
| Jun 12, 06:31 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | BUY YES | 0.370 | $1,633 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Jun 12, 06:06 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY YES | 0.770 | $2,757 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 05:53 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY YES | 0.520 | $1,681 | —— |
| Jun 12, 05:53 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY YES | 0.770 | $4,988 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 12, 05:01 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | BUY YES | 0.270 | $2,700 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Jun 12, 05:01 AM | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $5,807 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 09:24 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.700 | $3,346 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 11, 06:43 PM | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $1,380 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 10:59 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.624 | $6,240 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 10, 05:36 AM | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? | BUY NO | 0.799 | $1,853 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 9, 06:12 AM | Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? | BUY YES | 0.790 | $1,520 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 11:14 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY NO | 0.787 | $2,983 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 11:14 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.788 | $11.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 07:21 PM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY NO | 0.781 | $4,208 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 07:21 PM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.780 | $2,878 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 05:44 PM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.766 | $8,809 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 05:04 AM | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.720 | $1,800 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 03:20 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.619 | $3,095 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 03:06 AM | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.480 | $1,925 | —— |
| Jun 8, 02:01 AM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.545 | $5,552 | —— |
| Jun 7, 11:58 PM | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? | BUY YES | 0.790 | $1,771 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 7, 04:08 PM | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? | BUY YES | 0.577 | $2,216 | —— |
| Jun 6, 11:20 PM | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.670 | $5,884 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 08:03 PM | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? | BUY YES | 0.459 | $2,827 | —— |
| Jun 6, 04:12 PM | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.619 | $4,153 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 05:32 AM | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $4,800 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 05:32 AM | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY YES | 0.801 | $8,010 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 6, 04:41 AM | Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m? | BUY NO | 0.700 | $1,208 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 5, 02:28 AM | Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY YES | 0.540 | $1,065 | —— |
| Jun 5, 02:28 AM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL YES | 0.998 | $63.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 4, 01:22 AM | Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY YES | 0.758 | $1,991 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 11:17 PM | Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $1,839 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 11:13 PM | Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY YES | 0.459 | $1,008 | —— |
| Jun 3, 09:38 PM | Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY NO | 0.600 | $2,340 | —— |
| Jun 3, 07:10 AM | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY YES | 0.810 | $16.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 06:22 AM | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY YES | 0.810 | $10.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 04:20 AM | Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY YES | 0.810 | $16.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 03:00 AM | Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party? | BUY NO | 0.702 | $1,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 12:38 AM | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY YES | 0.680 | $1,064 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 3, 12:37 AM | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.699 | $1,128 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 11:53 PM | Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY YES | 0.760 | $5,598 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 09:48 PM | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.700 | $1,231 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 08:49 PM | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY YES | 0.660 | $1,979 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 08:49 PM | Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY YES | 0.738 | $1,216 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 08:48 PM | Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY YES | 0.760 | $1,151 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 08:48 PM | Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY YES | 0.763 | $3,844 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 06:38 PM | Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by 5–10%? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $5,200 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 03:51 PM | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.773 | $9,942 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 03:50 PM | Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY NO | 0.700 | $1,050 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 07:12 AM | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY YES | 0.659 | $3,136 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 05:57 AM | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.765 | $3,078 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 12:44 AM | Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY NO | 0.690 | $1,113 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 07:09 PM | Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY NO | 0.660 | $5,983 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 07:09 PM | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.748 | $1,779 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 02:29 AM | Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary? | BUY YES | 0.765 | $3,269 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 02:27 AM | Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY NO | 0.656 | $1,516 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 10:00 PM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.886 | $2,813 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 09:50 PM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.822 | $2,384 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 09:50 PM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.800 | $1,260 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 09:40 PM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.728 | $5,025 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 08:52 PM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.670 | $2,200 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 04:33 PM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.700 | $6,865 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 04:33 PM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.690 | $1,759 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 03:28 AM | Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m? | BUY YES | 0.854 | $1,103 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 03:24 AM | Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m? | BUY YES | 0.809 | $1,122 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 31, 01:26 AM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.650 | $10.2K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 10:53 PM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.630 | $2,108 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:23 PM | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.620 | $2,745 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:21 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.890 | $1,532 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 07:57 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL YES | 0.340 | $2,840 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 07:55 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | SELL NO | 0.840 | $3,179 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 01:43 AM | Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m? | BUY YES | 0.899 | $9,593 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 12:11 AM | Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m? | BUY YES | 0.880 | $5,305 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 29, 12:11 AM | Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m? | BUY YES | 0.862 | $5,373 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 07:12 PM | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $13.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 27, 12:22 AM | Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $15.3K | — (SELL) |
| May 26, 08:34 PM | Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more? | BUY YES | 0.710 | $3,693 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 05:16 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $5,523 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 11:34 PM | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | SELL YES | 0.330 | $1,384 | — (SELL) |
| May 24, 07:45 PM | Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more? | BUY YES | 0.830 | $4,150 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 05:24 PM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.593 | $2,625 | —— |
| May 24, 02:07 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23? | BUY NO | 0.840 | $2,489 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 24, 01:47 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23? | BUY NO | 0.810 | $1,205 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 07:12 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.649 | $1,618 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 07:07 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | BUY YES | 0.830 | $7,210 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 07:07 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? | BUY YES | 0.830 | $1,901 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 23, 07:04 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28? | BUY YES | 0.800 | $1,839 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 22, 11:49 PM | Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m? | BUY YES | 0.299 | $1,550 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| May 20, 08:43 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY YES | 0.830 | $1,374 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 06:38 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY NO | 0.810 | $2,141 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 06:36 PM | Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m? | BUY NO | 0.638 | $1,312 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 07:17 AM | Israel closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY NO | 0.740 | $1,447 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 20, 01:07 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY NO | 0.680 | $2,380 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 11:16 PM | Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more? | BUY YES | 0.836 | $1,549 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 10:56 PM | Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more? | BUY NO | 0.570 | $5,042 | —— |
| May 19, 10:54 PM | Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more? | BUY NO | 0.557 | $2,747 | —— |
| May 19, 09:38 PM | Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? | BUY YES | 0.708 | $2,594 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 07:00 AM | Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | BUY YES | 0.598 | $1,651 | —— |
| May 19, 06:57 AM | Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? | BUY YES | 0.610 | $3,050 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 06:07 AM | Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? | BUY YES | 0.620 | $1,634 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 19, 04:33 AM | Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | BUY YES | 0.600 | $1,744 | —— |
| May 19, 02:06 AM | Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? | BUY YES | 0.597 | $1,456 | —— |
| May 18, 09:19 PM | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY NO | 0.630 | $3,361 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 18, 02:20 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY NO | 0.710 | $1,751 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 04:09 PM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY YES | 0.747 | $1,822 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 07:37 AM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY YES | 0.900 | $13.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 07:33 AM | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY YES | 0.875 | $1,862 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 07:32 AM | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY YES | 0.870 | $4,340 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 07:32 AM | Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY YES | 0.872 | $4,339 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 07:25 AM | Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY YES | 0.868 | $1,765 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 07:21 AM | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY YES | 0.846 | $1,371 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 15, 04:16 AM | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY NO | 0.849 | $4,574 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 06:18 PM | Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY NO | 0.448 | $1,444 | —— |
| May 10, 01:36 AM | Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m? | BUY NO | 0.590 | $1,101 | —— |
| May 6, 09:51 PM | Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | BUY YES | 0.891 | $6,204 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 6, 06:54 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.152 | $2,064 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| May 6, 06:50 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY NO | 0.738 | $3,925 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 6, 06:06 AM | Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? | BUY YES | 0.810 | $3,581 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 6, 06:05 AM | Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? | BUY NO | 0.811 | $3,980 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 6, 05:46 AM | Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? | BUY YES | 0.790 | $1,443 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 6, 12:05 AM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $1,172 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 5, 06:03 AM | Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? | BUY NO | 0.756 | $1,700 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 5, 05:59 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.700 | $5,573 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 5, 01:17 AM | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $4,500 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 07:58 PM | Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $19.1K | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 07:58 PM | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $21.4K | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 07:58 PM | Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $37.6K | — (SELL) |
| May 4, 07:57 PM | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY YES | 0.830 | $2,426 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 04:46 AM | Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY YES | 0.856 | $1,284 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 04:33 AM | Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY YES | 0.760 | $6,276 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 4, 02:55 AM | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | BUY YES | 0.698 | $2,128 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 2, 04:54 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $51.8K | — (SELL) |
| May 1, 06:19 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.730 | $1,843 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 06:19 PM | Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? | BUY YES | 0.840 | $2,100 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 1, 06:22 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $21.7K | — (SELL) |
| May 1, 06:21 AM | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $50.4K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 30, 06:34 AM | Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m? | BUY NO | 0.836 | $1,307 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 11:08 PM | Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m? | BUY NO | 0.750 | $2,935 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 04:59 PM | James Comey arrested by April 29? | BUY YES | 0.905 | $1,330 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 06:34 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.640 | $3,839 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 06:33 AM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.710 | $4,259 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 06:33 AM | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | BUY NO | 0.660 | $3,959 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 28, 01:07 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.560 | $2,290 | —— |
| Apr 28, 12:18 AM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.720 | $4,308 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 12:53 AM | Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m? | BUY NO | 0.800 | $1,546 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 07:56 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.700 | $3,213 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 25, 06:40 PM | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.830 | $1,006 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 23, 06:27 PM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.998 | $89.7K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 21, 11:29 PM | Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%? | BUY NO | 0.575 | $2,680 | —— |
| Apr 21, 08:19 PM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | BUY YES | 0.830 | $3,359 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 21, 12:37 AM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.680 | $1,085 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 20, 08:56 PM | Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | BUY YES | 0.840 | $4,794 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 20, 08:28 PM | Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | BUY YES | 0.840 | $2,254 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 18, 05:10 PM | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | BUY NO | 0.650 | $1,726 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 08:02 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY NO | 0.610 | $2,132 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 17, 05:31 AM | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | BUY NO | 0.810 | $8,642 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 16, 07:08 PM | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.600 | $1,422 | —— |
| Apr 16, 07:06 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY NO | 0.740 | $8,207 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 16, 06:32 AM | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | BUY NO | 0.600 | $6,000 | —— |
| Apr 15, 11:47 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL YES | 0.260 | $2,296 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 13, 02:29 AM | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.458 | $1,307 | —— |
| Apr 13, 02:25 AM | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.250 | $2,574 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 13, 02:17 AM | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.430 | $2,092 | —— |
| Apr 13, 02:17 AM | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY YES | 0.240 | $2,385 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 13, 02:17 AM | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY NO | 0.819 | $1,453 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 06:37 PM | 0x0e47ad37 | BUY YES | 0.823 | $2,694 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 06:32 PM | 0x0e47ad37 | BUY YES | 0.589 | $4,177 | —— |
| Apr 12, 06:17 PM | 0x0e47ad37 | BUY YES | 0.400 | $1,896 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 12, 04:00 PM | 0xcb9cf7bb | SELL YES | 0.560 | $4,195 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 12, 07:36 AM | 0x22a6788e | BUY YES | 0.670 | $1,079 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 01:17 AM | 0x14e084f7 | BUY NO | 0.621 | $4,252 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 11, 08:29 PM | 0xde38c515 | BUY NO | 0.560 | $1,157 | —— |
| Apr 11, 08:26 PM | 0xa312499c | BUY YES | 0.280 | $1,680 | 🟡Cheap band — no rep |
| Apr 11, 08:09 AM | 0xcb9cf7bb | BUY YES | 0.720 | $1,923 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 11, 08:08 AM | 0x22a6788e | BUY YES | 0.519 | $1,500 | —— |
| Apr 8, 05:50 AM | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | BUY NO | 0.500 | $1,578 | —— |
| Apr 7, 11:40 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY YES | 0.627 | $1,546 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 11:08 PM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY YES | 0.500 | $1,426 | —— |
| Apr 7, 01:32 AM | 0x0106fd15 | BUY | 0.700 | $4,162 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 01:31 AM | 0x0106fd15 | BUY | 0.710 | $1,457 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 04:43 PM | 0x0106fd15 | BUY | 0.510 | $1,507 | —— |
| Apr 5, 02:19 AM | 0x50294abc | BUY | 0.680 | $1,077 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 5, 01:41 AM | 0x50294abc | BUY | 0.525 | $1,513 | —— |
| Apr 4, 10:35 PM | 0xa1548c18 | BUY | 0.550 | $2,475 | —— |
| Apr 4, 07:02 PM | 0x306d10d4 | SELL NO | 0.999 | $97.4K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 4, 03:27 PM | 0x51c5e5e7 | BUY YES | 0.142 | $1,403 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 4, 02:59 AM | 0x51c5e5e7 | BUY YES | 0.143 | $1,215 | ⚫Killed band — neutral expectation |
| Apr 1, 02:21 AM | 0xdb6830a6 | BUY NO | 0.798 | $2,830 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 31, 07:34 AM | 0xdb6830a6 | BUY NO | 0.749 | $2,203 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 29, 07:37 PM | 0xe285bf84 | BUY NO | 0.810 | $4,095 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 29, 07:04 PM | 0xe285bf84 | BUY NO | 0.810 | $1,581 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 24, 05:07 AM | 0x773abaa5 | BUY NO | 0.690 | $3,713 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |