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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xe5c2…2ab0 with our methodology badges per row.

0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
24
lifetime
PnL per $
+9%
historical realized
Win rate
97.3%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$785.6K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
51
Distinct markets
16
Volume (90d)
$1.57M
avg $30.8K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$1.44M / $130.0K
net direction

Recent trades

last 51 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 12, 11:23 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.995$22.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 11:21 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.994$2,427Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 11:18 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.994$226.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 12, 11:16 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.993$148.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 11:06 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.997$229.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 3, 11:04 PMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.997$269.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 10:23 PMRussia x Ukraine Peace ParlayBUY NO0.820$1,388Above conviction band — net-negative
May 14, 10:21 PMWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY NO0.377$6,612Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 29, 06:29 AMWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY NO0.800$4,783Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 06:26 AMTrump declares election interference national emergency? BUY NO0.793$1,375Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 06:24 AMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY YES0.993$13.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 06:19 AMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL NO0.996$21.0K— (SELL)
Apr 15, 09:35 AMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY YES0.991$82.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 09:35 AMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY YES0.989$88.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 04:22 PM0xfcde02afBUY YES0.750$8,559Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 04:22 PM0xa312499cBUY NO0.750$20.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 04:21 PMWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL NO0.810$16.2K— (SELL)
Apr 11, 04:20 PMWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL NO0.820$13.1K— (SELL)
Apr 11, 09:48 AMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY NO0.710$3,670Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 09:45 AM0xfcde02afBUY YES0.750$20.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 09:45 AM0xa312499cBUY NO0.750$9,683Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 09:43 AMWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL NO0.912$6,294— (SELL)
Apr 11, 09:41 AMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL NO0.810$15.4K— (SELL)
Apr 11, 09:40 AMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL NO0.810$12.2K— (SELL)
Apr 10, 01:07 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY YES0.710$6,929Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 01:07 PMTrump out as President before 2027?SELL NO0.830$6,929— (SELL)
Apr 10, 01:06 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY YES0.710$12.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 01:05 PMWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL NO0.912$12.1K— (SELL)
Apr 8, 12:24 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY YES0.670$9,369Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 12:23 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY YES0.660$1,578Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 12:23 PM0xa312499cBUY NO0.720$3,112Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 12:22 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY NO0.670$12.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 8, 12:19 PMTrump out as President before 2027?SELL NO0.830$25.7K— (SELL)
Apr 8, 12:15 PMTrump out as President before 2027?SELL NO0.840$1,054— (SELL)
Apr 4, 09:34 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY NO0.670$9,561Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 09:34 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY NO0.670$12.1KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 09:31 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY NO0.670$11.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 09:30 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY NO0.669$13.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 09:27 PM0xa312499cBUY NO0.700$14.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 09:27 PM0xa312499cBUY NO0.700$14.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 09:22 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY NO0.660$10.5KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 09:22 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY YES0.660$9,854Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 4, 09:19 PM0xa312499cBUY NO0.690$3,104Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 3, 11:05 AM0xa312499cBUY NO0.700$6,826Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 09:23 AMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY NO0.670$17.7KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 09:22 AM0xfcde02afBUY YES0.700$3,511Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 09:21 AM0xce4b3c1aBUY YES0.833$3,819Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 09:20 AMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY YES0.664$8,727Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 2, 09:20 AMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY NO0.660$17.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 06:30 PM0xfcde02afBUY YES0.700$53.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 1, 06:30 PMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY YES0.688$25.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

16 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto2$498.4K+$498.4K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Finance4$399.1K+$399.1K
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Other10$257.2K+$257.2K
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Other10$129.3K+$87.2K
0xfcde02af—4$86.2K+$86.2K
0xa312499c—7$71.5K+$71.5K
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics3$33.7K$-33,713
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Other2$29.3K$-29,328
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Other2$27.5K$-27,540
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Tech1$12.1K$-12,109
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics1$6,612+$6,612
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics1$6,294$-6,294
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Other1$4,783+$4,783
0xce4b3c1a—1$3,819+$3,819
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayTech1$1,388+$1,388
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Politics1$1,375+$1,375