Coram_Deo

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xe403…e5a4 with our methodology badges per row.

0xe40362b6d2c1eb1134da886f4c64f02f08f6e5a4·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

-10%

historical realized

Win rate

87.5%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$331.8K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 25 resolved trades · -10% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$893.9K

avg $17.5K / trade

BUY vs SELL

$616.4K / $277.5K

net direction

Recent trades

last 51 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Jun 20, 10:32 PM	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	BUY YES	0.870	$2,036	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:55 PM	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	BUY YES	0.810	$10.2K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 09:50 PM	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	SELL NO	0.803	$11.3K	— (SELL)
Jun 20, 09:49 PM	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL YES	0.870	$1,412	— (SELL)
Jun 13, 12:24 PM	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY NO	0.620	$2,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 11:29 AM	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	BUY YES	0.879	$1,645	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 11:19 AM	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	BUY YES	0.840	$8,725	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 13, 11:17 AM	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	BUY YES	0.810	$1,175	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:47 PM	Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?	BUY YES	0.990	$1,242	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:46 PM	Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?	BUY YES	0.989	$1,265	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:44 PM	Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?	BUY YES	0.989	$1,506	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 11, 06:42 PM	Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?	BUY YES	0.987	$1,115	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 09:38 PM	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	BUY NO	0.830	$11.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 09:30 PM	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	BUY YES	0.975	$1,067	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 09:23 PM	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	BUY YES	0.850	$1,532	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 09:19 PM	Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?	BUY YES	0.973	$2,024	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 08:46 PM	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	BUY YES	0.980	$1,056	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 08:01 PM	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	BUY YES	0.970	$4,602	Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 7, 07:57 PM	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	SELL NO	0.992	$36.1K	— (SELL)
May 29, 01:42 PM	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	BUY NO	0.829	$23.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 01:41 PM	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	BUY NO	0.820	$5,031	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 01:41 PM	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	BUY NO	0.810	$2,092	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 29, 01:36 PM	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL NO	0.992	$34.7K	— (SELL)
May 21, 06:03 AM	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY NO	0.993	$17.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 07:22 PM	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY YES	0.979	$1,786	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 07:21 PM	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY YES	0.978	$1,223	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 07:21 PM	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY YES	0.977	$3,256	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 07:14 PM	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL NO	0.992	$9,920	— (SELL)
May 20, 06:56 PM	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY YES	0.971	$3,239	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 06:54 PM	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY YES	0.969	$1,163	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 06:40 PM	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	SELL NO	0.992	$5,232	— (SELL)
May 20, 06:40 PM	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	SELL NO	0.988	$1,459	— (SELL)
May 1, 09:42 AM	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY NO	0.993	$1,139	Above conviction band — net-negative
May 1, 09:41 AM	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY NO	0.993	$169.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 06:02 AM	Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	BUY YES	0.997	$78.4K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 05:37 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	BUY NO	0.985	$7,759	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 05:37 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	BUY NO	0.984	$5,600	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 05:36 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	BUY NO	0.998	$45.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 05:13 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	BUY NO	0.996	$3,012	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 05:13 AM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	BUY NO	0.997	$4,975	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 30, 05:11 AM	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	BUY NO	0.986	$2,787	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 01:59 PM	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY YES	0.997	$147.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 01:57 PM	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	BUY NO	0.984	$4,389	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 01:55 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	BUY NO	0.995	$15.3K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 01:54 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	BUY NO	0.992	$1,378	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 01:53 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	BUY NO	0.985	$2,870	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 01:51 PM	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	BUY NO	0.973	$1,429	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 01:38 PM	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	BUY NO	0.943	$1,430	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 01:37 PM	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL NO	0.992	$11.6K	— (SELL)
Apr 25, 01:36 PM	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL NO	0.992	$165.7K	— (SELL)
Apr 3, 07:23 PM	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY NO	0.993	$11.6K	Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

22 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	7	$256.1K	+$143.7K
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	1	$165.7K	$-165,745
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Finance	1	$147.9K	+$147.9K
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Other	1	$78.4K	+$78.4K
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	4	$66.2K	$-6,025
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Other	2	$50.5K	+$50.5K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Politics	2	$23.0K	+$387
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Other	1	$15.3K	+$15.3K
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	5	$15.1K	+$15.1K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	Other	2	$13.4K	+$13.4K
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Other	5	$10.7K	+$10.7K
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Other	1	$10.2K	+$10.2K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Finance	2	$9,621	$-843
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?	Tech	5	$7,153	+$7,153
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Tech	3	$6,725	+$6,725
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Other	2	$5,882	+$5,882
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	Politics	2	$2,889	$-30
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Crypto	1	$2,787	+$2,787
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	1	$2,000	+$2,000
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Other	1	$1,430	+$1,430
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	1	$1,412	$-1,412
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Other	1	$1,378	+$1,378