yikaiz

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xe258…d084 with our methodology badges per row.

0xe258c02a1ed5c159f3268cf7728ba5706f8bd084·Polymarket profile ↗

Resolved trades

lifetime

PnL per $

-32%

historical realized

Win rate

50.2%

volume-weighted

Volume resolved

$128.5K

across all resolved markets

Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 6 resolved trades · -32% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)

Distinct markets

Volume (90d)

$571.0K

avg $31.7K / trade

BUY vs SELL

$284.9K / $286.1K

net direction

Recent trades

last 18 · 90d window

When	Market	Side	Price	Size	Methodology
Apr 17, 01:43 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY NO	0.825	$80.0K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 17, 01:42 PM	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.892	$79.6K	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 01:35 PM	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.910	$1,323	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 01:35 PM	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	BUY NO	0.900	$76.7K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 12, 01:34 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL NO	0.778	$47.3K	— (SELL)
Apr 12, 01:34 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL NO	0.763	$30.7K	— (SELL)
Apr 11, 11:46 PM	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY NO	0.816	$61.9K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 11:42 PM	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	SELL NO	0.809	$49.0K	— (SELL)
Apr 11, 11:11 PM	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	SELL NO	0.827	$9,923	— (SELL)
Apr 11, 12:28 PM	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	SELL NO	0.710	$4,458	— (SELL)
Apr 10, 06:52 AM	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	BUY NO	0.830	$9,240	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 06:51 AM	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	BUY NO	0.796	$5,000	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 06:47 AM	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.890	$7,120	— (SELL)
Apr 10, 06:46 AM	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SELL NO	0.890	$7,120	— (SELL)
Apr 10, 01:09 AM	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	BUY NO	0.827	$50.8K	Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 01:08 AM	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL NO	0.890	$12.9K	— (SELL)
Apr 10, 01:08 AM	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL NO	0.908	$22.9K	— (SELL)
Apr 10, 01:08 AM	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL NO	0.918	$15.0K	— (SELL)

Markets active in

5 markets · sorted by volume

Market	Category	Trades	Volume	Net BUY
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Other	4	$219.9K	+$63.9K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	5	$171.8K	$-15,866
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Tech	4	$119.0K	+$1,141
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Other	3	$50.8K	$-50,830
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Tech	2	$9,458	+$542