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mereck1yX

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xdf2a…5ae1 with our methodology badges per row.

0xdf2ae1db3dd587ef7bbd798b72056d9ab89a5ae1·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
18
lifetime
PnL per $
+42896%
historical realized
Win rate
60.9%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$90.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
31
Distinct markets
23
Volume (90d)
$121.1K
avg $3,907 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$43.1K / $78.0K
net direction

Recent trades

last 31 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
May 6, 06:56 PMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?BUY YES0.610$1,515Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 28, 09:01 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?SELL YES0.990$7,425— (SELL)
Apr 28, 04:29 PMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?BUY YES0.400$3,000Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 28, 04:25 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETSELL YES0.990$1,162— (SELL)
Apr 28, 04:15 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSELL YES0.990$1,719— (SELL)
Apr 28, 04:05 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETSELL YES0.990$1,060— (SELL)
Apr 28, 03:51 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSELL YES0.990$1,535— (SELL)
Apr 28, 03:45 PMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETSELL YES0.990$1,060— (SELL)
Apr 27, 07:52 PMMadrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Alexander ZverevSELL YES0.999$5,557— (SELL)
Apr 27, 05:08 PMMadrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-AliassimeBUY YES0.300$1,465Conviction tier
Apr 26, 11:23 AMMadrid Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McNallyBUY YES0.780$1,855Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 26, 11:15 AMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETSELL YES0.990$1,086— (SELL)
Apr 25, 10:13 PMDota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY YES0.510$3,942—
Apr 25, 08:24 PMDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsSELL YES0.999$15.2K— (SELL)
Apr 25, 06:27 PMDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY YES0.517$1,971—
Apr 25, 05:51 PMDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerBUY YES0.430$1,018—
Apr 25, 04:13 PMDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY YES0.520$5,914—
Apr 25, 04:12 PMDota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsSELL YES0.999$11.0K— (SELL)
Apr 25, 12:04 PMDota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY YES0.520$5,745—
Apr 25, 11:46 AMDota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsSELL YES0.999$7,652— (SELL)
Apr 25, 09:29 AMDota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY YES0.752$5,757Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 25, 09:25 AMDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsSELL YES0.999$6,977— (SELL)
Apr 24, 10:29 PMDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY YES0.470$3,283—
Apr 17, 05:26 PM0x06b9ca38BUY0.270$1,956Conviction tier
Apr 17, 05:25 PM0x3bacada1SELL0.999$1,619— (SELL)
Apr 17, 10:55 AM0x9e337108SELL0.990$1,118— (SELL)
Apr 15, 11:18 PM0x11d68477SELL0.999$8,058— (SELL)
Apr 15, 09:19 PM0x11d68477BUY0.488$3,939—
Apr 15, 09:16 PM0x74ab2fbaSELL0.999$4,755— (SELL)
Apr 15, 07:57 PM0x74ab2fbaBUY0.370$1,756Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 15, 06:51 PM0x4d1cb3b7SELL0.999$1,009— (SELL)

Markets active in

23 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsOther3$23.1K$-7,286
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsOther2$16.8K$-5,292
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsOther2$13.4K$-1,895
0x11d68477—2$12.0K$-4,119
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?Tech2$10.4K$-4,425
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsOther2$10.3K$-3,695
0x74ab2fba—2$6,511$-2,999
Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Alexander ZverevOther1$5,557$-5,557
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsOther1$3,942+$3,942
0x06b9ca38—1$1,956+$1,956
Madrid Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McNallyOther1$1,855+$1,855
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETCrypto1$1,719$-1,719
0x3bacada1—1$1,619$-1,619
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETCrypto1$1,535$-1,535
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?Other1$1,515+$1,515
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-AliassimeOther1$1,465+$1,465
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETCrypto1$1,162$-1,162
0x9e337108—1$1,118$-1,118
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETCrypto1$1,086$-1,086
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETCrypto1$1,060$-1,060
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETCrypto1$1,060$-1,060
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerOther1$1,018+$1,018
0x4d1cb3b7—1$1,009$-1,009