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Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xded8…ca0f with our methodology badges per row.

0xded8a46ee5fa25b550689176ab7c58c2d44eca0f·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
36
lifetime
PnL per $
-40%
historical realized
Win rate
59.8%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$438.1K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 36 resolved trades · -40% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
39
Distinct markets
7
Volume (90d)
$443.2K
avg $11.4K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$265.3K / $177.9K
net direction

Recent trades

last 39 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 12, 03:00 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.992$54.1K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 07:03 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.992$49.6K— (SELL)
Jun 11, 06:20 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.992$5,952— (SELL)
Jun 11, 05:33 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?SELL YES0.993$66.6K— (SELL)
May 24, 01:46 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.975$1,348Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 02:30 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.976$3,447Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 02:28 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY NO0.994$4,067Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 02:28 PMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY NO0.994$7,861Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 08:09 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY NO0.995$2,090Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 01:52 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.976$2,759Above conviction band — net-negative
May 22, 04:02 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY NO0.995$4,975Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 04:24 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY NO0.993$4,965Above conviction band — net-negative
May 21, 03:17 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY NO0.993$5,164Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 09:00 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY NO0.990$2,901Above conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 06:06 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY NO0.990$19.8KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 20, 01:50 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY NO0.988$4,940Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 01:35 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY NO0.991$2,973Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 12:31 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.969$19.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 03:19 AMWill Trump visit China by May 31?BUY YES0.996$18.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 03:18 AMWill Trump visit China by May 31?BUY YES0.996$19.9KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 02:14 AMWill Trump visit China by May 15?BUY YES0.991$4,459Above conviction band — net-negative
May 12, 01:42 AMWill Trump visit China by May 31?BUY YES0.993$7,214Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 10:24 AM0xaaacff0fBUY YES0.997$2,215Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 02:03 AMWill Trump visit China by May 31?BUY YES0.991$1,676Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 01:25 AMWill Trump visit China by May 31?BUY YES0.995$9,190Above conviction band — net-negative
May 11, 01:25 AM0xaaacff0fBUY YES0.995$1,212Above conviction band — net-negative
May 10, 11:32 PMWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL NO0.810$1,620— (SELL)
May 8, 01:14 AMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY NO0.978$2,934Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 03:35 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.998$24.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 03:34 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.998$12.2KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 29, 03:34 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.998$1,996Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 18, 08:19 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.994$8,364Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 15, 02:07 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.987$8,850Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 02:26 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.980$11.4KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 01:44 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.982$9,923Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 01:43 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.982$9,956Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 12:45 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.983$14.3KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Apr 10, 12:32 PMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.976$5,669Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 9, 04:26 AMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY YES0.984$4,910Above conviction band — net-negative

Markets active in

7 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Finance8$203.2K$-149,308
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Finance11$111.6K+$111.6K
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Other11$62.7K+$62.7K
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Politics5$56.2K+$56.2K
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Politics1$4,459+$4,459
0xaaacff0f—2$3,427+$3,427
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Other1$1,620$-1,620