Back to whale feed

thebug44

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xde7c…c933 with our methodology badges per row.

0xde7cdcab3e0c5b0e8315da358e80c7d80a12c933·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
3
lifetime
PnL per $
+24%
historical realized
Win rate
28.6%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$8,854
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✗ fails

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. 3 resolved trades · 24% PnL/$. Misses the threshold; cheap-band BUYs would surface as Watch tier only.

Trades (90d)
15
Distinct markets
7
Volume (90d)
$119.2K
avg $7,949 / trade
BUY vs SELL
$46.0K / $73.3K
net direction

Recent trades

last 15 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 20, 10:05 PMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY YES0.630$1,512Above conviction band — net-negative
Jun 20, 06:29 PMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.118$4,720Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 04:26 PMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.161$4,830Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 8, 04:26 PMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY YES0.162$4,860Killed band — neutral expectation
Jun 6, 05:53 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.789$50.6K— (SELL)
Jun 3, 10:51 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.362$1,810— (SELL)
May 31, 10:42 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.359$7,898— (SELL)
May 31, 03:27 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.360$1,926— (SELL)
May 31, 03:21 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.363$7,975— (SELL)
May 25, 04:01 PMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.490$24.6K
Apr 30, 11:51 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.046$1,049
Apr 25, 02:59 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.129$3,134Killed band — neutral expectation
Apr 25, 03:39 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.510$1,642— (SELL)
Apr 13, 01:38 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.410$1,320
Apr 7, 02:52 PMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL YES0.158$1,438— (SELL)

Markets active in

7 markets · sorted by volume