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0xDdF449fC36375Beb7A887B41b54A29817c662680-1768335595795

Last 90 days of Polymarket trades by 0xddf4…2680 with our methodology badges per row.

0xddf449fc36375beb7a887b41b54a29817c662680·Polymarket profile ↗
Resolved trades
23
lifetime
PnL per $
+26%
historical realized
Win rate
60.0%
volume-weighted
Volume resolved
$287.4K
across all resolved markets
Wave-34 gate verdict: ✓ passes

The live cheap_conviction detector only fires on wallets with at least 10 resolved trades AND historical PnL/$ ≥ +5%. This wallet clears the bar — its BUYs in 0.20–0.30 trigger our high-conviction tier.

Trades (90d)
30
Distinct markets
21
Volume (90d)
$440.4K
avg $14.7K / trade
BUY vs SELL
$336.2K / $104.3K
net direction

Recent trades

last 30 · 90d window
WhenMarketSidePriceSizeMethodology
Jun 11, 06:04 PMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.803$50.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Jun 8, 07:08 AMIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?BUY YES0.528$3,000—
Jun 7, 07:17 AMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY YES0.787$50.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 31, 07:54 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY NO0.900$50.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 30, 06:46 PMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.545$20.0K—
May 27, 10:22 AMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY NO0.790$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 10:08 AMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY NO0.854$6,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 10:03 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY YES0.790$15.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 27, 09:47 AMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY YES0.783$10,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 03:02 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.858$36.6KAbove conviction band — net-negative
May 25, 03:02 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.880$3,438Above conviction band — net-negative
May 24, 09:57 AMWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY YES0.720$3,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 23, 11:22 PMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL NO0.305$1,991— (SELL)
May 23, 09:29 PMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY NO0.448$5,000—
May 22, 10:12 PMIran closes its airspace by May 31?SELL YES0.952$6,799— (SELL)
May 19, 06:22 PMWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY YES0.710$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 19, 10:49 AMWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY YES0.715$5,000Above conviction band — net-negative
May 7, 11:55 AMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY YES0.580$40.0K—
May 4, 09:57 PMIran closes its airspace by May 31?BUY YES0.560$4,000—
May 4, 09:56 PMIran closes its airspace by May 8?BUY YES0.294$3,000Conviction tier
Apr 25, 11:08 AMSpread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)BUY YES0.627$2,966Above conviction band — net-negative
Apr 11, 12:43 PMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?SELL YES0.753$11.0K— (SELL)
Apr 11, 12:43 PMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?SELL YES0.783$38.6K— (SELL)
Apr 8, 02:08 AMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?SELL YES0.678$4,332— (SELL)
Apr 8, 02:08 AM0x5c2e6aefSELL YES0.658$4,294— (SELL)
Mar 27, 11:34 PMWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY NO0.969$10.0KAbove conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 11:33 PMWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY NO0.731$4,000Above conviction band — net-negative
Mar 27, 11:31 PMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY NO0.537$3,500—
Mar 25, 06:17 PMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?BUY YES0.571$1,700—
Mar 24, 12:32 PM0x24fb7c2dSELL YES0.998$37.2K— (SELL)

Markets active in

21 markets · sorted by volume
MarketCategoryTradesVolumeNet BUY
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports2$100.0K+$100.0K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Sports3$51.3K$-47,946
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Other1$50.0K+$50.0K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Other3$45.0K+$45.0K
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Other1$40.0K+$40.0K
0x24fb7c2d—1$37.2K$-37,210
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Sports2$25.0K+$25.0K
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Other1$20.0K+$20.0K
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Tech2$10.8K$-2,799
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Sports2$10.0K+$10.0K
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?Other1$10.0K+$10.0K
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports1$6,000+$6,000
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Other2$5,491+$1,509
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Other1$5,000+$5,000
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Sports1$4,332$-4,332
0x5c2e6aef—1$4,294$-4,294
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Other1$4,000+$4,000
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Tech1$3,000+$3,000
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Other1$3,000+$3,000
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Tech1$3,000+$3,000
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Other1$2,966+$2,966