| Jun 13, 05:58 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $501.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 04:51 AM | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $819.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 8, 12:05 AM | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL YES | 0.996 | $1,234 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 12:05 AM | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL YES | 0.996 | $2,586 | — (SELL) |
| Jun 8, 12:04 AM | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | SELL YES | 0.997 | $19.4K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 6, 08:36 PM | Australia vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | BUY YES | 0.999 | $2,331 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 2, 09:01 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $5,258 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 09:55 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $79.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Jun 1, 09:47 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $50.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 09:43 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $50.0K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 09:40 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $199.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 09:36 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $99.9K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 09:31 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $149.8K | — (SELL) |
| Jun 1, 05:08 PM | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.999 | $12.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:36 PM | Will Harry Kane record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League? | BUY YES | 0.985 | $1,871 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 06:34 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL YES | 0.999 | $9,990 | — (SELL) |
| May 30, 04:46 PM | Arsenal FC leading at halftime? | BUY YES | 0.945 | $1,816 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 30, 02:32 AM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY YES | 0.999 | $149.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 11:28 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY YES | 0.996 | $12.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 27, 04:15 PM | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY YES | 0.995 | $1,924 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 26, 08:58 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY NO | 0.994 | $2,026 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 11:06 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY NO | 0.990 | $24.8K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 10:42 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $3,508 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 25, 08:09 PM | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY NO | 0.989 | $10.7K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 13, 07:33 PM | Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | BUY NO | 0.992 | $2,276 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| May 3, 07:36 PM | QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.998 | $25.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 30, 09:05 PM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.997 | $18.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 30, 08:11 PM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.995 | $17.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 30, 08:07 PM | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | SELL YES | 0.990 | $13.6K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 30, 06:20 AM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $204.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 29, 04:33 AM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $9,960 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 02:43 AM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $4,980 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 02:36 AM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.996 | $6,972 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 29, 12:45 AM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $9,970 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 10:53 PM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $19.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 10:23 PM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $11.0K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 10:17 PM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $29.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 09:55 PM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $29.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 09:49 PM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $29.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 08:52 PM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $23.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 28, 08:31 PM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.997 | $29.9K | — (SELL) |
| Apr 27, 02:31 AM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY NO | 0.998 | $21.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 26, 06:37 PM | Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? | SELL YES | 0.576 | $1,689 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 26, 07:12 AM | Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? | BUY YES | 0.440 | $1,511 | —— |
| Apr 25, 11:25 PM | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | SELL NO | 0.999 | $9,990 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 25, 10:27 PM | UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY YES | 0.999 | $2,867 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 18, 10:51 PM | 0x9823d715 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $9,990 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 10:49 PM | 0xcce77771 | BUY | 0.999 | $3,789 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 18, 10:47 PM | 0x9823d715 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $9,990 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 18, 10:42 PM | 0x9823d715 | SELL YES | 0.999 | $4,995 | — (SELL) |
| Apr 16, 10:41 PM | 0x9823d715 | BUY YES | 0.997 | $1,127 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 16, 08:57 PM | 0x9823d715 | BUY YES | 0.998 | $41.4K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 01:03 AM | 0xdb5575ec | BUY YES | 0.999 | $6,512 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 12, 01:02 AM | 0x84a7e30f | BUY | 0.999 | $8,103 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 11:53 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.995 | $3,980 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 11:52 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.994 | $59.6K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 11:46 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.991 | $121.1K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 7, 11:31 PM | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY YES | 0.990 | $8,492 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Apr 1, 08:13 PM | 0x7cb525e8 | BUY NO | 0.999 | $38.0K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 27, 06:54 PM | 0x9d2812c4 | BUY | 0.999 | $2,997 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 27, 06:53 PM | 0x9d2812c4 | BUY | 0.999 | $54.9K | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |
| Mar 24, 12:01 AM | 0x7cb525e8 | BUY NO | 0.987 | $5,370 | 🔴Above conviction band — net-negative |